UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s3

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 192

Track record at +1d

assessed

63

of 64 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1452

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0112

actual +0.0126

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.28138	0.279849	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.281425	0.279675	-0.62%	0.28138	-0.02%	0.0007	✓	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.275718	-0.67%	0.281425	+1.38%	0.0100	✓	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.247372	-0.59%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0843	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218541	-0.51%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1347	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.229815	-0.54%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0632	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.279955	-0.75%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1885	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.27777	-0.78%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0332	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.272172	-0.80%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0123	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.29435	-1.02%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0271	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.197906	-0.27%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3716	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.234969	-0.57%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1207	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.207877	-0.29%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1094	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.205376	-0.20%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0060	✗	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.19785	-0.08%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0182	✗	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.228454	-0.32%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1054	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.24257	-0.44%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0040	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.264991	-0.53%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0793	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.286137	-0.58%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0545	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.288648	-0.57%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0429	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272036	-0.50%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0595	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.298218	-0.56%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0791	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.402766	-0.77%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3262	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.390789	-0.75%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0400	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.289666	-0.52%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.3024	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.313252	-0.58%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0484	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.362208	-0.62%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1405	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.333821	-0.61%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0800	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.337854	-0.62%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0012	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392612	-0.68%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1442	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.478842	-0.85%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1525	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.551087	-1.08%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1238	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.457401	-1.02%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0937	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.47983	-1.19%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0362	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.575295	-1.62%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1764	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.466548	-1.41%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1531	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.370344	-0.92%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2417	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.316628	-0.73%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1565	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.367259	-0.97%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1057	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.374992	-1.06%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0302	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.350168	-1.08%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0859	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.377439	-1.22%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0649	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.391207	-1.33%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0333	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.412902	-1.41%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.494158	-1.55%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1633	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.54861	-1.67%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0807	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.666723	-1.84%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1625	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.772294	-2.28%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1347	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.617924	-2.07%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2441	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.751213	-2.40%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1546	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.80987	-3.37%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1008	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.839546	-3.97%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.87585	-4.21%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.507505	-3.26%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5772	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.317115	-2.23%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5107	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.238111	-1.31%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.3040	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.260985	-1.40%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0478	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.360219	-3.23%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3238	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.15684	-0.44%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8579	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.19744	-0.61%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2200	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140212	-0.49%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3324	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084562	-0.63%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.5018	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110277	-0.38%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2428	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104779	-0.59%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0153	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.