SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s3
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +7d
assessed
48
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2622
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0295
actual +0.0240
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.09181 | 0.089928 | -2.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.0896 | -2.02% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.089983 | -2.13% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.091539 | -2.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.09147 | -2.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.092791 | -2.37% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.086818 | -2.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.087889 | -2.21% | 0.09181 | +2.15% | 0.0650 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.101025 | -2.49% | 0.091445 | -11.74% | 0.1030 | ✓ | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.098384 | -2.57% | 0.09194 | -8.95% | 0.0657 | ✓ | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.097975 | -2.25% | 0.093595 | -6.62% | 0.0810 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.097755 | -2.31% | 0.09361 | -6.45% | 0.0760 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.096655 | -2.26% | 0.09504 | -3.89% | 0.0392 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.096735 | -2.30% | 0.08869 | -10.43% | 0.0776 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.094487 | -1.95% | 0.089875 | -6.73% | 0.0865 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.096694 | -1.70% | 0.10361 | +5.33% | 0.0161 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.083431 | -1.22% | 0.100975 | +19.55% | 0.1054 | ✗ | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.091648 | -1.30% | 0.10023 | +7.94% | 0.0283 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.089568 | -1.35% | 0.100065 | +10.21% | 0.0695 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.09235 | -1.42% | 0.09889 | +5.56% | 0.0240 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.093775 | -1.44% | 0.099015 | +4.07% | 0.0175 | ✓ | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.1062 | -1.83% | 0.096365 | -10.92% | 0.1034 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.123711 | -2.39% | 0.098365 | -22.39% | 0.1867 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.120646 | -2.34% | 0.084465 | -31.63% | 0.3054 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.152448 | -3.63% | 0.092855 | -41.30% | 0.4458 | ✓ | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.124657 | -2.54% | 0.090795 | -29.01% | 0.3091 | ✓ | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.103428 | -1.89% | 0.09368 | -11.14% | 0.0891 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.102044 | -1.89% | 0.095145 | -8.52% | 0.0589 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.10183 | -1.97% | 0.10818 | +4.14% | 0.0407 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.093413 | -1.48% | 0.12674 | +33.67% | 0.2466 | ✗ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.101082 | -1.71% | 0.123535 | +20.12% | 0.1274 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.109584 | -3.13% | 0.15819 | +39.84% | 0.4522 | ✗ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.114779 | -3.47% | 0.127905 | +7.56% | 0.1908 | ✗ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.115155 | -3.72% | 0.10542 | -11.86% | 0.0046 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.123011 | -4.87% | 0.10401 | -19.57% | 0.2679 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.132775 | -5.46% | 0.10388 | -26.03% | 0.3481 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.122803 | -5.40% | 0.094815 | -26.96% | 0.3901 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.146369 | -6.01% | 0.10284 | -33.96% | 0.4552 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.146788 | -6.27% | 0.11312 | -27.77% | 0.3158 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.172715 | -6.92% | 0.11891 | -35.91% | 0.4234 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.18164 | -7.38% | 0.1196 | -39.01% | 0.4643 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.171693 | -7.65% | 0.12931 | -30.44% | 0.2810 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.127967 | -6.39% | 0.14044 | +2.74% | 0.1207 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.128066 | -6.64% | 0.129815 | -5.36% | 0.0508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.111116 | -5.42% | 0.15573 | +32.55% | 0.3492 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.099174 | -3.64% | 0.156615 | +52.18% | 0.5020 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.075465 | -1.97% | 0.18555 | +141.04% | 0.9324 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.074274 | -1.81% | 0.196105 | +159.26% | 1.0023 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.072551 | -1.01% | 0.18591 | +153.66% | 1.0009 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068948 | -1.67% | 0.1367 | +94.95% | 0.6719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068908 | -1.25% | 0.13717 | +96.57% | 0.6750 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.069168 | -0.42% | 0.117485 | +69.14% | 0.5231 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.071159 | -0.39% | 0.102915 | +44.06% | 0.3351 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.071849 | +0.26% | 0.07698 | +7.42% | 0.0488 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.074922 | +0.39% | 0.07564 | +1.35% | 0.0138 | ✗ | 1.00 |