SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s3
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2512
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1580
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.085888 | -5.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.086288 | -5.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.086607 | -5.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.086799 | -5.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.088169 | -5.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.087852 | -6.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.089009 | -6.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.082842 | -6.59% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.083757 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.096831 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.093843 | -7.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.093215 | -7.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.092631 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.091169 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.090894 | -8.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.088543 | -8.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.090685 | -7.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.07815 | -7.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.085578 | -7.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.083248 | -8.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.085676 | -8.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.086935 | -8.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.098973 | -8.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.114597 | -9.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.111701 | -9.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.137687 | -12.96% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.114912 | -10.16% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.096091 | -8.85% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.094704 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.094445 | -9.08% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.086498 | -8.77% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.094061 | -8.54% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.0947 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.10089 | -10.81% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0520 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.104906 | -11.78% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1160 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.10448 | -12.64% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.0802 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.1078 | -16.63% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.113103 | -19.47% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.2420 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.105058 | -19.07% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.2523 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.121129 | -22.22% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.3409 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.120226 | -23.23% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.2276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.139266 | -24.94% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.3779 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.145789 | -25.66% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.4552 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.138091 | -25.72% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.4021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.10523 | -23.02% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.105063 | -23.41% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.0998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.09342 | -20.48% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.087409 | -15.07% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0554 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.071113 | -7.62% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1006 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.070245 | -7.13% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1968 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.068832 | -6.08% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2350 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.06513 | -7.12% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2745 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.065041 | -6.79% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2885 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.065147 | -6.21% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4455 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.066692 | -6.65% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5680 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.067181 | -6.25% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5445 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.069852 | -6.40% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7358 | ✗ | 1.00 |