PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s3

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

60.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0905

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0187

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.616442	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.607637	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.621483	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.620089	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.604174	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.640332	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.583202	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.575893	-1.48%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0795	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.611647	-1.88%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0140	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.604976	-1.90%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0464	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.661149	-2.44%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0346	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.661941	-2.58%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0637	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.643982	-2.59%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0215	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.624976	-2.52%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0570	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.640757	-2.68%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0806	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.639691	-2.75%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0102	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.718101	-3.10%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1264	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.784097	-3.66%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1292	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.695738	-3.13%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0139	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.722494	-3.28%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0785	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.679693	-3.18%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0415	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.691794	-3.51%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0479	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.658447	-3.18%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0114	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.64706	-3.52%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1235	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.631628	-3.73%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2410	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.600106	-2.84%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1777	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.637593	-3.62%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1558	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.601047	-2.87%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1524	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.564124	-2.72%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2449	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.56449	-2.40%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.2035	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.559845	-2.44%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.2039	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.501972	-2.06%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2461	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.525648	-2.38%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1408	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.525259	-2.46%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.2098	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.501998	-2.58%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1585	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.501641	-2.67%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0946	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.475181	-2.46%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1441	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.484963	-2.37%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1278	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.464061	-2.22%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0778	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.469871	-2.25%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1167	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.477298	-2.60%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.1032	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.474836	-3.55%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0827	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.466413	-2.48%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1105	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.436767	-0.30%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1216	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.449431	+0.21%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.1039	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.430737	+1.83%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.1141	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.423745	+2.01%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1388	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.420411	+2.12%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1647	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.419201	+2.57%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1834	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.411613	+1.36%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1465	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.419138	+1.27%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0405	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.4192	+1.61%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0658	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.421871	+1.16%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0073	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.429655	+1.08%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0393	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.423607	+0.83%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0348	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.42024	+1.02%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0314	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.410413	+0.49%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0043	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.420478	+0.10%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0115	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.446417	-0.24%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0775	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406208	-0.12%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0265	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392171	-0.11%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0773	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.419462	-0.27%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0026	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.39435	-0.77%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0445	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39196	-1.44%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0259	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.381029	-1.77%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0850	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.36268	-1.58%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1913	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.361518	-1.64%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0990	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.370087	-1.65%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0381	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.363602	-1.52%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1211	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.372343	-1.51%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0535	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.373305	-1.48%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0539	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.385513	-1.57%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0034	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.394344	-1.60%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0694	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.402273	-1.62%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0841	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.386794	-1.54%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0214	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.386832	-1.62%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0424	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.38783	-1.80%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0231	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.386928	-1.89%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0166	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.392826	-2.14%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0010	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.404579	-2.46%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0113	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.427767	-2.82%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0504	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.43162	-3.01%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1016	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.423029	-2.89%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0804	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.43872	-2.78%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1037	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.422277	-2.76%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0696	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.414445	-2.87%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0322	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.389979	-2.13%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0621	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.371861	-1.65%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1730	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.378971	-1.80%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1644	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.378695	-1.75%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1431	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.37385	-1.63%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1890	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.360483	-1.01%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1928	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339153	-0.63%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2382	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32326	-0.34%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2130	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347968	-0.55%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0812	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363993	-0.70%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0599	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.390674	-1.05%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0141	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.389572	-1.02%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0292	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.383545	-0.96%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0569	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.380484	-0.94%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1142	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.386947	-0.97%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1889	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.409907	-1.39%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1617	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.410861	-1.50%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1178	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.407853	-1.53%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0317	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.387987	-1.28%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0126	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.394201	-1.33%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0254	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.407652	-1.65%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0643	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.398681	-1.71%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0148	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.385547	-1.39%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0749	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.412731	-1.75%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0083	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.416399	-1.89%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0105	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.409204	-1.72%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0453	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.409793	-1.49%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0318	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.412563	-1.18%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0084	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.445368	-2.07%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.0990	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.449243	-2.32%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1448	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.452127	-1.68%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0782	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.425191	-0.61%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0052	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.432359	-0.52%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0401	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.454038	-1.06%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0867	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.493208	-1.76%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1694	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.529709	-2.19%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1584	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.537933	-2.37%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1624	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.544431	-2.52%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1754	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.549307	-2.63%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2554	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.585248	-2.94%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3006	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.53796	-2.53%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1562	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.543222	-2.60%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0764	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.568409	-2.79%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0471	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.566314	-2.78%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0263	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.575997	-2.85%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0307	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.598097	-3.03%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0584	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.540545	-2.36%	0.603	+8.92%	0.1098	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.57177	-2.49%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0431	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.568196	-2.39%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0285	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.587202	-2.57%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0110	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.618157	-2.82%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0646	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.626143	-2.79%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0643	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.628511	-2.83%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0256	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.59888	-2.37%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0771	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.595486	-2.32%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0008	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.591238	-2.36%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0231	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.615759	-2.52%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0417	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.610426	-2.42%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1463	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.603465	-2.37%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.2010	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.595193	-2.28%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.2082	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.611887	-2.32%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0984	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.624258	-2.31%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1251	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.596229	-2.05%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1443	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.604627	-2.07%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1237	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.604389	-2.09%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0796	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.637393	-2.30%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.624105	-2.29%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.64457	-2.37%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.617002	-2.31%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0767	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.562763	-2.11%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0908	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.61888	-2.49%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.701709	-2.84%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1226	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.740236	-2.98%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1075	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.692622	-2.69%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0343	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.72033	-2.70%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.683744	-2.66%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0562	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.745842	-2.75%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2130	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.779077	-2.66%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1446	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.883234	-3.03%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1412	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.959171	-4.39%	0.763	-23.94%	0.1967	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.830297	-4.16%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1398	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.619324	-2.04%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1651	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.