PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s3

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

61.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1968

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0445

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.592016	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.585372	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.597471	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.596915	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.582013	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.615069	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.563121	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.555568	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.58841	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.580588	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.630909	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.62986	-7.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.612265	-7.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.594339	-7.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.608843	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.607996	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.679363	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.738293	-9.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.6569	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.68105	-8.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.642442	-8.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.652304	-9.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.623088	-8.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.612413	-8.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.598351	-8.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.571889	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.603968	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.572999	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.540897	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.544032	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.541634	-5.61%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1791	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.485245	-5.33%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.2325	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.505184	-6.18%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.2234	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.503983	-6.41%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.2192	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.478727	-7.10%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.2178	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.477543	-7.35%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2802	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.454089	-6.79%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.2321	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.465839	-6.22%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.2102	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.446272	-5.97%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.3034	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.452867	-5.79%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2868	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.459797	-6.17%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3576	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.456545	-7.26%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3686	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.45744	-4.35%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3479	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.433526	-1.04%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3777	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.44622	-0.51%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3722	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.426576	+0.85%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.4092	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.420542	+1.24%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5389	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.418125	+1.56%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6360	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.419326	+2.60%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5223	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.410255	+1.02%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5742	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.41848	+1.11%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4917	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.421706	+2.22%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.5148	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.424917	+1.89%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4485	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.435407	+2.44%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.4143	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.431666	+2.75%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3966	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.438194	+5.34%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3286	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.42754	+4.69%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.4188	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.438694	+4.44%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.3229	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.468386	+4.67%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1968	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.422641	+3.92%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2911	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.40581	+3.36%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.3218	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.435712	+3.59%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1560	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396097	-0.33%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2969	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.385482	-3.07%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.3165	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.36954	-4.73%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.3218	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.352375	-4.38%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3648	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.350223	-4.71%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.3137	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.359032	-4.59%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.3022	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.353615	-4.22%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2720	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.362644	-4.08%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2655	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.363761	-4.00%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2771	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.375412	-4.15%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2421	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.384269	-4.11%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1808	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.392264	-4.07%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0730	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.3775	-3.91%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1313	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.377131	-4.09%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0847	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.376647	-4.63%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0583	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.375424	-4.81%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0431	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.379387	-5.48%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0172	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.388168	-6.42%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0054	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.407796	-7.36%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0353	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.409722	-7.93%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.0433	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.402656	-7.56%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0124	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.419533	-7.03%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0250	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.40478	-6.79%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0144	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.397783	-6.78%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0265	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.376712	-5.46%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0595	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.363214	-3.94%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.1178	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.369038	-4.37%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1602	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.369793	-4.06%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0650	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.36756	-3.29%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0374	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.356383	-2.13%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1325	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.336884	-1.29%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1458	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.321539	-0.87%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.2026	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.345209	-1.34%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1166	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.360696	-1.60%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0223	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.384503	-2.61%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0413	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.383842	-2.48%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0172	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.379124	-2.10%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0201	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.376601	-1.95%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0097	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.381621	-2.34%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0120	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.402096	-3.27%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0256	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.402531	-3.49%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0049	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.399787	-3.48%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0199	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.382453	-2.68%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0217	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.388445	-2.77%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0040	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.399994	-3.50%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0154	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.391837	-3.39%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0047	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.380099	-2.79%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0532	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.402679	-4.15%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0284	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.405212	-4.52%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0797	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.399464	-4.06%	0.445	+6.88%	0.1042	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.401398	-3.51%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0738	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.406115	-2.73%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0887	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.433313	-4.72%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0032	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.437956	-4.77%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0324	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.441804	-3.92%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1089	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.419877	-1.85%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1116	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.426534	-1.86%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1062	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.444835	-3.06%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1457	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.478334	-4.72%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2285	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.510422	-5.75%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3345	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.516336	-6.29%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4093	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.521698	-6.59%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.4738	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.525643	-6.83%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4052	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.558174	-7.43%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4188	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.515231	-6.64%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.2658	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.519921	-6.78%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.2769	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.542934	-7.15%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3370	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.540271	-7.25%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3409	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.548601	-7.47%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3379	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.568379	-7.85%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3131	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.517639	-6.50%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2161	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.544944	-7.07%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.2812	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.541993	-6.89%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3253	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.558759	-7.29%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3337	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.586055	-7.87%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3464	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.592812	-7.96%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.3881	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.594654	-8.06%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4262	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.569076	-7.23%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.2991	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.565834	-7.18%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.2782	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.562201	-7.15%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2600	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.586293	-7.19%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2541	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.582821	-6.83%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.1736	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.576887	-6.67%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.0939	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.569608	-6.48%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.0713	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.585329	-6.56%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1029	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.597198	-6.54%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1197	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.572484	-5.95%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.581194	-5.86%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.58063	-5.94%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.610526	-6.42%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0613	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.596873	-6.55%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0966	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.6167	-6.59%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0894	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.589932	-6.60%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1546	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.538246	-6.38%	0.603	+4.89%	0.3132	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.589386	-7.14%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.1115	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.665799	-7.81%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.701995	-8.00%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0185	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.659657	-7.33%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.687989	-7.07%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0811	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.651356	-7.27%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1669	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.710547	-7.35%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0136	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.74524	-6.89%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.843058	-7.44%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.0833	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.904289	-9.86%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.1597	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.788788	-8.95%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0213	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.597193	-5.54%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3493	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.