PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s3

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0054

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.625788	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.616345	-0.51%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0227	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.63082	-0.53%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0270	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.629014	-0.50%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0095	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.612005	-0.45%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0274	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.649948	-0.53%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0546	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.589697	-0.40%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1076	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.582259	-0.39%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0122	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.620328	-0.48%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0479	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.613707	-0.49%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0054	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.673409	-0.63%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0762	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.674973	-0.66%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0010	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.656791	-0.65%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0315	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.637141	-0.62%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0313	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.654004	-0.67%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0096	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.653211	-0.69%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0224	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.735124	-0.80%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1099	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.805553	-1.02%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0791	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.71252	-0.80%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1237	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.740679	-0.85%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0320	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.696198	-0.83%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0722	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.710038	-0.96%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0185	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.674361	-0.84%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0617	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.663838	-1.02%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0232	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.648669	-1.13%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0396	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.613011	-0.75%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0676	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.654459	-1.07%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0599	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.614065	-0.77%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0763	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.575519	-0.76%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0725	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.574604	-0.66%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0213	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.569778	-0.71%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0179	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.509759	-0.54%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0831	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.535059	-0.63%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0425	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.534981	-0.65%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0041	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.511888	-0.66%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0215	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.51189	-0.68%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0053	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.484122	-0.62%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0597	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.493626	-0.63%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0001	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.47187	-0.58%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0445	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.477772	-0.61%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0043	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.486308	-0.76%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0119	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.486245	-1.23%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0046	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.473727	-0.95%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0471	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.437163	-0.21%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0905	✗	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.447862	-0.14%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0194	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.423881	+0.21%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0624	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.416378	+0.24%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0133	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.412704	+0.24%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0058	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.409934	+0.30%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0118	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.406611	+0.13%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0090	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.414293	+0.10%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0196	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.413149	+0.15%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0057	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.417342	+0.07%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0149	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.425227	+0.04%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0174	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.420117	+0.00%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0103	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.415988	-0.00%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0188	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.407979	-0.10%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0150	✗	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419174	-0.21%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0279	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.445949	-0.35%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0584	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.405649	-0.26%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0947	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.391696	-0.23%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0357	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.419355	-0.30%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0630	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.396113	-0.32%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0533	✗	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39594	-0.44%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0023	✓	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.385952	-0.50%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0255	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.366822	-0.46%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0556	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.365839	-0.47%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0050	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.374553	-0.46%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0186	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.36762	-0.43%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0233	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.376437	-0.43%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0188	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.377303	-0.42%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0020	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.389905	-0.45%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0283	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.398938	-0.45%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0173	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.40699	-0.47%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0126	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.391077	-0.45%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0448	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.391359	-0.47%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0038	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.392932	-0.51%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0011	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.392312	-0.53%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0079	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.399073	-0.58%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0138	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.412076	-0.66%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0286	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.436909	-0.75%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0518	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.441491	-0.79%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0055	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.432302	-0.76%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0292	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.447853	-0.75%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0218	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.43088	-0.78%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0447	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.423052	-0.85%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0261	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.396127	-0.58%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0741	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.376308	-0.47%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0610	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.383947	-0.51%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0179	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.383494	-0.51%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0057	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.378056	-0.52%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0219	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.362972	-0.32%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0491	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.340516	-0.23%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0685	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.323858	-0.15%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0492	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.349168	-0.21%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0753	✓	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.365635	-0.25%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0437	✓	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.393458	-0.34%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0740	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.392297	-0.33%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0059	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386025	-0.32%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0229	✗	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.382898	-0.31%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0123	✗	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.389538	-0.31%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0255	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.41397	-0.42%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0523	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415271	-0.44%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0011	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.412343	-0.45%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0128	✗	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391505	-0.38%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0535	✗	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.397967	-0.38%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0155	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.412508	-0.48%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0289	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.403482	-0.52%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0290	✗	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.38932	-0.43%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0398	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417972	-0.51%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0683	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.422141	-0.53%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0067	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.414347	-0.48%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0209	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.414287	-0.41%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0007	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.416106	-0.33%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0043	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452088	-0.60%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0771	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.456464	-0.75%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0047	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.457598	-0.49%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0057	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.426979	-0.19%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0743	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.433847	-0.17%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0144	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.457484	-0.31%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0503	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.499593	-0.49%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0860	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.538293	-0.60%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0717	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.547467	-0.64%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0098	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.554718	-0.68%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0082	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.560183	-0.70%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0019	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.598074	-0.82%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0578	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.54819	-0.67%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0965	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.553875	-0.69%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0027	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.580353	-0.75%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0394	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.578203	-0.74%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0110	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.588425	-0.75%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0109	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.611737	-0.82%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0323	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.55018	-0.62%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1143	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.582604	-0.65%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0565	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.578504	-0.62%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0142	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.598696	-0.66%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0251	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.631455	-0.73%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0461	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.639426	-0.73%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0119	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.641922	-0.75%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0039	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.609628	-0.61%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0767	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.605939	-0.60%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0137	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.60179	-0.61%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0329	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.627495	-0.67%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0010	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.621538	-0.64%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0380	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.614245	-0.62%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0201	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.60542	-0.60%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0170	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.622569	-0.61%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0206	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.635082	-0.61%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.605372	-0.55%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0742	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.613978	-0.55%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0100	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.613882	-0.55%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648458	-0.60%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.634918	-0.59%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0113	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.656105	-0.62%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.62783	-0.60%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0493	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.571877	-0.53%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0901	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.630759	-0.62%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0904	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.717025	-0.72%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1160	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.757112	-0.77%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.706941	-0.68%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0884	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.735054	-0.71%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.697706	-0.67%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0369	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.76149	-0.71%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.794746	-0.71%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0203	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.90292	-0.87%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1148	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.98891	-1.42%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.1012	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.854139	-1.40%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1550	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.62866	-0.56%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3184	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.