MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s3

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

160

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

72.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0796

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0166

actual -0.0431

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.045285	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045164	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042646	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043284	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.043062	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.044438	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045921	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044625	-1.90%	0.04613	+1.41%	0.0059	✓	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044845	-1.89%	0.04599	+0.61%	0.0209	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043624	-1.77%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0030	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042897	-1.75%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0247	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045834	-1.92%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0132	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.04234	-1.60%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.0951	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040875	-1.43%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1551	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040455	-1.37%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1094	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043618	-1.64%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0770	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045445	-1.72%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0191	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.049096	-1.89%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0473	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.04823	-1.88%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0170	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048958	-2.03%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0968	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045363	-2.07%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0551	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.048952	-2.36%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1214	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041091	-1.63%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0810	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041295	-1.63%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0805	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041498	-1.68%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1483	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043127	-1.76%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0964	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044001	-1.85%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1217	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045582	-2.03%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0090	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044055	-1.90%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1213	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042832	-1.83%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0108	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045599	-2.03%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0382	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044412	-1.91%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0052	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042147	-1.96%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0218	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041579	-1.90%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0152	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040153	-1.78%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0876	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034751	-1.53%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1161	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034016	-1.46%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1071	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033596	-1.42%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1582	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035211	-1.40%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1218	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034973	-1.40%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1357	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036546	-1.43%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0849	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037084	-1.44%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0392	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036347	-1.41%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0262	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038111	-1.38%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0617	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041444	-1.66%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1446	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.03965	-1.30%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.0882	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.03921	-0.94%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0348	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.03979	-0.90%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0234	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038391	-0.52%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0264	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040103	+0.08%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0048	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036516	-0.47%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0380	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037298	-0.38%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.1021	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037964	+0.06%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0469	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036668	-0.07%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0296	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.03847	+0.16%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0152	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037446	+0.10%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0016	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039709	+1.48%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0077	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039814	+0.77%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0514	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039068	+0.43%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0225	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040413	+0.55%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0559	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042652	-0.49%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1493	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.039941	-0.74%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0605	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042277	-0.48%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1136	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037106	-1.86%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0736	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034116	-2.22%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0285	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031298	-2.34%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0422	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031411	-2.45%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0253	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030801	-2.37%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0441	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030513	-2.30%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0052	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030447	-2.26%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0383	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031842	-2.49%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0203	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032359	-2.59%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0464	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032287	-2.57%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0319	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035359	-2.86%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1057	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034973	-2.80%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0586	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035157	-2.79%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0766	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034331	-2.69%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0550	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034584	-2.72%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0387	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035079	-2.75%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0280	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034873	-2.70%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0394	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035685	-2.74%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0098	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035532	-2.68%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0176	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.03555	-2.60%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0311	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035621	-2.52%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0560	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036082	-2.48%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0047	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.03555	-2.32%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0005	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038603	-2.44%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0787	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038798	-2.32%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0509	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042257	-2.30%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1078	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041598	-2.18%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.0985	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042568	-2.12%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1261	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042315	-1.97%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1273	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.04287	-1.88%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1175	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042594	-1.77%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0173	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042059	-1.68%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0248	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.04332	-1.66%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0157	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043775	-1.58%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0182	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042648	-1.50%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0155	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045397	-1.52%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0779	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047282	-1.55%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1079	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.04828	-1.55%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1395	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046533	-1.54%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1485	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045396	-1.52%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0514	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045992	-1.47%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0565	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046764	-1.41%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0716	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047307	-1.36%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0396	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046696	-1.34%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0290	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049647	-1.34%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0499	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048771	-1.29%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0088	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050652	-1.30%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.0979	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051731	-1.31%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1188	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050373	-1.29%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.0976	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048952	-1.25%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0600	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044645	-1.10%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0075	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.044803	-0.94%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0065	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.04762	-0.98%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0486	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.04534	-0.77%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0341	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.04691	-0.72%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0422	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04643	-0.60%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0394	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046274	-0.51%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0296	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050373	-0.62%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0878	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055078	-0.78%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1117	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055361	-0.83%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0624	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05598	-0.89%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1239	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054195	-0.92%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0449	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056436	-1.06%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1123	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061254	-1.47%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.2016	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056376	-1.29%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0192	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.05663	-1.50%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0545	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059013	-2.10%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0017	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.061015	-2.95%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0148	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060857	-2.95%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.1014	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046021	-1.35%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2160	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045499	-1.28%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3266	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042251	-0.63%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2449	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.046728	-1.02%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1336	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049448	-1.30%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1393	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048043	-0.90%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2250	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.04483	+0.52%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2805	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046385	+0.60%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0331	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050373	-0.39%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0854	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.053834	-0.84%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.1985	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.053903	-1.20%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0470	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.057741	-2.35%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0224	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.059435	-2.52%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0293	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.061444	-2.56%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0219	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.060235	-2.26%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.06196	-2.27%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.0615	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.065839	-2.50%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0441	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.06605	-2.44%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.071898	-2.73%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1156	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.075215	-2.80%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1648	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.077889	-2.82%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.1729	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.078141	-2.71%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2095	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.084418	-2.97%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2329	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.079481	-2.60%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1213	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.079137	-2.44%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1438	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.083803	-2.55%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.087601	-2.60%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1185	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.090346	-2.57%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1009	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.097636	-2.62%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1484	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.102689	-2.55%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1213	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.100779	-2.51%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1879	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.107073	-2.46%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2303	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115699	-2.42%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2363	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123834	-2.43%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2597	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.122431	-2.45%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2457	✓	1.00