MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s3

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

137

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

75.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1718

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0476

actual -0.1607

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.043924	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.044033	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.04162	-4.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042196	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042008	-4.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043231	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044648	-4.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043418	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043539	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.04246	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.04175	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044655	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.04116	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039732	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039289	-4.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.0424	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044265	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047849	-4.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047069	-4.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.0478	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044364	-4.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047786	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040119	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040371	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040594	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042154	-3.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.042978	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044482	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.04309	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.041996	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.044626	-4.12%	0.04613	-0.89%	0.0674	✗	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.043553	-3.80%	0.04599	+1.58%	0.1003	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.041102	-4.39%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0194	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.040615	-4.18%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0696	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039276	-3.92%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0886	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.033911	-3.91%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1997	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033215	-3.78%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2498	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032785	-3.80%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2215	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.03447	-3.47%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2284	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034198	-3.59%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1603	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.035811	-3.41%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1269	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036406	-3.24%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1486	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.035665	-3.26%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0792	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.037423	-3.16%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0313	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.040524	-3.85%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0436	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.038784	-3.45%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0612	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.038372	-3.05%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0954	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.03894	-3.01%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1474	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.03758	-2.62%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1466	✗	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.039197	-2.18%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1807	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.035568	-3.06%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.1321	✗	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.036377	-2.84%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1837	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.037082	-2.26%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0311	✗	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.035849	-2.31%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0555	✗	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.037731	-1.77%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0240	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.03686	-1.47%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0636	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039526	+1.01%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0572	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039798	+0.73%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0706	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039235	+0.86%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0353	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040929	+1.84%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0265	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.04293	+0.16%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0665	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040198	-0.10%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0455	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.043081	+1.41%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0517	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.036617	-3.16%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0037	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.033252	-4.70%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0004	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.030286	-5.51%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0691	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.030336	-5.79%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.0936	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.029637	-6.06%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1089	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.0293	-6.18%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.0931	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.02923	-6.16%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.0747	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.0305	-6.60%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.0741	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.030899	-6.99%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.0729	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.030749	-7.21%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.0734	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.033616	-7.65%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1389	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.033273	-7.52%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0320	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.033467	-7.46%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.0970	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.032762	-7.14%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1115	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.032976	-7.24%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1110	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.03343	-7.32%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1549	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.033243	-7.24%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1527	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.034032	-7.24%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2072	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.033887	-7.18%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.1843	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.03392	-7.07%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2107	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.034042	-6.84%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2290	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.034588	-6.52%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.1673	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.034108	-6.28%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.1777	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.037082	-6.29%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2610	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.037226	-6.28%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2368	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.040678	-5.95%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.2918	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.04011	-5.68%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.2735	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.041106	-5.48%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2172	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.04097	-5.08%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2483	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.041584	-4.82%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2117	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.041399	-4.52%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2189	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.040931	-4.32%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2433	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042167	-4.27%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2743	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.042723	-3.95%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2759	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.041596	-3.94%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2535	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044286	-3.93%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3329	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046082	-4.05%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3540	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047042	-4.07%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3315	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045093	-4.58%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3310	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.043951	-4.65%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2776	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.04467	-4.31%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2079	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.04563	-3.80%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2538	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046289	-3.48%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2865	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.045708	-3.43%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3200	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.048689	-3.24%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3359	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.04792	-3.02%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.2978	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.049826	-2.91%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3403	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.050928	-2.85%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3368	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.04955	-2.90%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3283	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048081	-3.00%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3056	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.043627	-3.35%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2410	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.043662	-3.47%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3055	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.046474	-3.36%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3277	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.044092	-3.50%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2036	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.045688	-3.31%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2217	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.045241	-3.15%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1591	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.0451	-3.03%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1575	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.049416	-2.51%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.1921	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054299	-2.18%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2767	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054717	-1.99%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2672	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055378	-1.95%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3100	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053704	-1.82%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2478	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.05597	-1.88%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2652	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060473	-2.73%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3499	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.055832	-2.24%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2406	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056053	-2.50%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1496	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058011	-3.76%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1507	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059446	-5.45%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1746	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059111	-5.74%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1675	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045131	-3.26%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0169	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.044537	-3.37%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0426	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.041074	-3.40%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0932	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.045553	-3.51%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0231	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.048153	-3.89%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0017	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.046471	-4.14%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0792	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.042712	-4.23%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0970	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044146	-4.26%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.1111	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048238	-4.61%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0934	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.051435	-5.26%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0138	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.051346	-5.89%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0540	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.054757	-7.40%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0387	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.056287	-7.68%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1360	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.058123	-7.83%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.1266	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.057026	-7.46%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0117	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.058563	-7.63%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.062035	-8.14%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.0698	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.062397	-7.83%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0548	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.067766	-8.32%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0539	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.070891	-8.39%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0386	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.073538	-8.25%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.0944	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.073808	-8.11%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.0911	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.07959	-8.52%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.1865	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.074929	-8.18%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.0735	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.074559	-8.09%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.078998	-8.14%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1472	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.082561	-8.20%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.1967	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.085374	-7.93%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.1838	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.092472	-7.77%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2008	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.097663	-7.32%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2131	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.095703	-7.42%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.4971	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.102099	-6.99%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5593	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.110734	-6.61%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6719	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.118702	-6.48%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6349	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.117117	-6.69%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6031	✓	1.00