MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s3

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 501

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

166

of 167 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0327

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0024

actual -0.0068

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04613	0.04597	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-21	oos	0.04599	0.045835	-0.34%	0.04613	+0.30%	0.0028	✓	1.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.04323	-0.29%	0.04599	+6.08%	0.0419	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043916	-0.30%	0.043355	-1.58%	0.0335	✓	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.0437	-0.31%	0.04405	+0.49%	0.0111	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.045133	-0.34%	0.043835	-3.20%	0.0409	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.046656	-0.38%	0.045285	-3.31%	0.0276	✓	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.045324	-0.37%	0.046835	+2.96%	0.0446	✗	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.045545	-0.36%	0.04549	-0.48%	0.0118	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.044262	-0.33%	0.04571	+2.93%	0.0620	✗	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.043522	-0.32%	0.04441	+1.72%	0.0062	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.046533	-0.42%	0.04366	-6.57%	0.0274	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.042906	-0.29%	0.04673	+8.60%	0.0716	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.041367	-0.25%	0.04303	+3.76%	0.0328	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040918	-0.24%	0.04147	+1.11%	0.0021	✓	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.044201	-0.33%	0.041015	-7.51%	0.0469	✓	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.046066	-0.38%	0.044345	-4.10%	0.0010	✓	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.04981	-0.46%	0.04624	-7.59%	0.0708	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.048934	-0.45%	0.05004	+1.80%	0.0352	✗	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.049729	-0.49%	0.049155	-1.64%	0.0421	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.046095	-0.49%	0.049975	+7.89%	0.0767	✗	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.049728	-0.81%	0.04632	-7.61%	0.0650	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.041629	-0.34%	0.050135	+20.03%	0.1642	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041836	-0.34%	0.04177	-0.50%	0.0002	✓	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.042056	-0.35%	0.04198	-0.53%	0.0049	✓	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043734	-0.38%	0.042205	-3.86%	0.0183	✓	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.044649	-0.40%	0.0439	-2.07%	0.0177	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.046315	-0.45%	0.04483	-3.64%	0.0382	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044727	-0.41%	0.046525	+3.60%	0.0445	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.043463	-0.38%	0.04491	+2.93%	0.0326	✗	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.04634	-0.44%	0.04363	-6.26%	0.0288	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.045085	-0.42%	0.046545	+2.81%	0.0388	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.04281	-0.42%	0.045275	+5.32%	0.0456	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.042213	-0.41%	0.04299	+1.43%	0.0197	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040726	-0.38%	0.042385	+3.68%	0.0332	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.035205	-0.24%	0.04088	+15.84%	0.0687	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034453	-0.20%	0.03529	+2.23%	0.0203	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.034025	-0.16%	0.03452	+1.29%	0.0050	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035656	-0.15%	0.03408	-4.56%	0.0025	✓	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035424	-0.13%	0.03571	+0.68%	0.0147	✓	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.037029	-0.12%	0.03547	-4.33%	0.0354	✓	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.0376	-0.07%	0.037075	-1.46%	0.0149	✓	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.03687	+0.01%	0.037625	+2.06%	0.0084	✓	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038689	+0.11%	0.036865	-4.61%	0.0179	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042161	+0.04%	0.038645	-8.30%	0.0842	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.040268	+0.24%	0.042145	+4.92%	0.0571	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039724	+0.36%	0.04017	+1.49%	0.0339	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040306	+0.39%	0.03958	-1.42%	0.0273	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.038763	+0.45%	0.04015	+4.04%	0.0322	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040262	+0.48%	0.03859	-3.69%	0.0131	✗	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.036846	+0.43%	0.04007	+9.21%	0.0098	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037602	+0.43%	0.03669	-2.00%	0.0228	✗	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038118	+0.47%	0.03744	-1.32%	0.0034	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036856	+0.44%	0.03794	+3.39%	0.0131	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038575	+0.43%	0.036695	-4.46%	0.0400	✗	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037559	+0.40%	0.03841	+2.67%	0.0155	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039298	+0.43%	0.03741	-4.40%	0.0071	✗	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039651	+0.36%	0.03913	-0.96%	0.0348	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039008	+0.28%	0.03951	+1.57%	0.0040	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040272	+0.21%	0.0389	-3.21%	0.0268	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042884	+0.06%	0.04019	-6.23%	0.0876	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.040225	-0.04%	0.04286	+6.51%	0.0512	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.042427	-0.12%	0.04024	-5.27%	0.0301	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037706	-0.28%	0.04248	+12.35%	0.0253	✗	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034768	-0.35%	0.03781	+8.37%	0.0142	✗	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031915	-0.42%	0.03489	+8.86%	0.0032	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.032062	-0.43%	0.03205	-0.47%	0.0046	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031418	-0.42%	0.0322	+2.06%	0.0101	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.031111	-0.38%	0.03155	+1.02%	0.0179	✗	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.031036	-0.37%	0.03123	+0.26%	0.0053	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032527	-0.39%	0.03115	-4.61%	0.0335	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.033084	-0.41%	0.032655	-1.70%	0.0134	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.033006	-0.40%	0.03322	+0.24%	0.0090	✗	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.036231	-0.47%	0.03314	-8.96%	0.0810	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035819	-0.45%	0.0364	+1.17%	0.0366	✗	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.036001	-0.45%	0.03598	-0.51%	0.0007	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.035125	-0.44%	0.036165	+2.51%	0.0288	✗	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.035388	-0.45%	0.03528	-0.76%	0.0168	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035906	-0.45%	0.03555	-1.44%	0.0026	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.035679	-0.45%	0.03607	+0.64%	0.0014	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036519	-0.47%	0.03584	-2.32%	0.0319	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.036348	-0.44%	0.03669	+0.49%	0.0101	✗	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.036342	-0.43%	0.03651	+0.03%	0.0121	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036392	-0.41%	0.0365	-0.11%	0.0044	✗	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036867	-0.36%	0.03654	-1.24%	0.0338	✗	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036277	-0.32%	0.037	+1.66%	0.0022	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039425	-0.37%	0.036395	-8.02%	0.0810	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039587	-0.33%	0.03957	-0.38%	0.0037	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.043096	-0.36%	0.03972	-8.16%	0.0473	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.042381	-0.34%	0.04325	+1.70%	0.0013	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.043342	-0.34%	0.042525	-2.22%	0.0235	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.043036	-0.30%	0.04349	+0.75%	0.0309	✗	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043569	-0.28%	0.043165	-1.20%	0.0123	✗	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043251	-0.25%	0.04369	+0.76%	0.0190	✗	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.04268	-0.23%	0.04336	+1.36%	0.0114	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043942	-0.24%	0.04278	-2.88%	0.0381	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.04438	-0.22%	0.04405	-0.97%	0.0050	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.04322	-0.19%	0.04448	+2.73%	0.0095	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045998	-0.22%	0.0433	-6.07%	0.0631	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047908	-0.24%	0.0461	-4.01%	0.0182	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048915	-0.26%	0.048025	-2.07%	0.0126	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.047148	-0.24%	0.04904	+3.77%	0.0203	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045993	-0.22%	0.04726	+2.53%	0.0612	✗	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046573	-0.23%	0.046095	-1.25%	0.0096	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047318	-0.24%	0.04668	-1.58%	0.0055	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047848	-0.23%	0.04743	-1.11%	0.0307	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.047231	-0.21%	0.04796	+1.33%	0.0066	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.050173	-0.29%	0.04733	-5.94%	0.0333	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049272	-0.28%	0.05032	+1.84%	0.0367	✗	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051151	-0.33%	0.04941	-3.72%	0.0443	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052233	-0.36%	0.05132	-2.10%	0.0293	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050874	-0.31%	0.05242	+2.72%	0.0167	✗	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049448	-0.25%	0.05103	+2.95%	0.0071	✗	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.045093	-0.11%	0.04957	+9.81%	0.0604	✗	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045203	-0.06%	0.04514	-0.20%	0.0351	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.048017	-0.15%	0.04523	-5.95%	0.0216	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045656	-0.08%	0.04809	+5.25%	0.0365	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.047193	-0.12%	0.04569	-3.30%	0.0220	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04666	-0.11%	0.04725	+1.16%	0.0141	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046464	-0.10%	0.04671	+0.43%	0.0014	✓	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050547	-0.28%	0.04651	-8.25%	0.0557	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055204	-0.55%	0.05069	-8.68%	0.0516	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055491	-0.60%	0.05551	-0.56%	0.0268	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.05612	-0.64%	0.055825	-1.16%	0.0198	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.05437	-0.60%	0.05648	+3.25%	0.0588	✗	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056648	-0.69%	0.0547	-4.10%	0.0510	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061655	-0.83%	0.05704	-8.25%	0.0912	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056714	-0.69%	0.06217	+8.86%	0.1307	✗	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.057078	-0.72%	0.05711	-0.66%	0.0295	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.059788	-0.82%	0.05749	-4.63%	0.0232	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.06212	-1.19%	0.06028	-4.12%	0.0441	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.061885	-1.32%	0.06287	+0.26%	0.0165	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046553	-0.21%	0.06271	+34.43%	0.2792	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.04604	-0.11%	0.04665	+1.22%	0.0137	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042627	+0.25%	0.04609	+8.40%	0.0380	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.047268	+0.12%	0.04252	-9.93%	0.1012	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.050084	-0.03%	0.04721	-5.77%	0.0330	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048548	+0.14%	0.0501	+3.34%	0.0359	✓	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.044778	+0.40%	0.04848	+8.70%	0.0414	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046296	+0.40%	0.0446	-3.27%	0.0345	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050691	+0.24%	0.04611	-8.82%	0.0547	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054367	+0.14%	0.05057	-6.85%	0.0691	✗	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054601	+0.08%	0.05429	-0.49%	0.0385	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.059024	-0.18%	0.05456	-7.73%	0.0116	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.060831	-0.23%	0.05913	-3.02%	0.0200	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.062911	-0.24%	0.06097	-3.31%	0.0272	✓	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.061539	-0.14%	0.06306	+2.33%	0.0189	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.063309	-0.14%	0.061625	-2.80%	0.0250	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.067383	-0.22%	0.0634	-6.12%	0.0501	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.067564	-0.20%	0.06753	-0.25%	0.0196	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.073687	-0.31%	0.0677	-8.41%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077123	-0.33%	0.073915	-4.48%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.079878	-0.34%	0.07738	-3.46%	0.0360	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.080086	-0.29%	0.08015	-0.21%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086657	-0.39%	0.08032	-7.68%	0.0484	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.081401	-0.25%	0.087	+6.61%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.080955	-0.20%	0.081605	+0.60%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.08578	-0.26%	0.08112	-5.67%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.089677	-0.29%	0.086	-4.38%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.09245	-0.30%	0.08994	-3.01%	0.0185	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.099909	-0.35%	0.09273	-7.51%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.105008	-0.35%	0.10026	-4.86%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.103013	-0.35%	0.10538	+1.94%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.109377	-0.36%	0.10337	-5.83%	0.0415	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.11813	-0.37%	0.10977	-7.42%	0.0581	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.126429	-0.39%	0.11857	-6.58%	0.0584	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.125001	-0.41%	0.12692	+1.12%	0.0037	✓	1.00