GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s3

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0823

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0182

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.299707	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.298329	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.292847	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.295168	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.292757	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.298752	-2.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.294553	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.31205	-2.13%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0155	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.311792	-1.83%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0198	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.3226	-2.08%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0721	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.329501	-1.91%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0862	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.338873	-2.06%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1228	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.336082	-1.96%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.0949	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.316323	-1.55%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0515	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.319487	-1.39%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0020	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.323902	-1.14%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0202	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.3248	-1.11%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0148	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.317683	-0.65%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0565	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.321758	-1.10%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0733	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.323122	-1.17%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0598	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.315424	-0.92%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0198	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.318665	-1.22%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0167	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.315801	-1.14%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0362	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.313213	-1.13%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0467	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.325744	-1.05%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0188	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.338447	-1.26%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0395	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.344086	-1.41%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0512	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.349824	-1.39%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0944	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338078	-1.32%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0467	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.347133	-1.51%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0836	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.353682	-1.44%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1101	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.360044	-3.91%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.0931	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.332312	-2.50%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0274	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.32959	-3.12%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0534	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.341264	-5.34%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0175	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.294997	-2.45%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1263	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.296036	-2.49%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1342	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.2933	-1.84%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1657	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.289815	-1.91%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2375	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.292214	-1.63%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1376	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.299567	-1.51%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.1097	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.284077	-1.05%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2391	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288009	-0.19%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0590	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303837	-0.04%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0126	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.294708	+0.86%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0181	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.300412	+1.42%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0001	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.304954	+1.53%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0141	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.298821	+1.88%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0339	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.298181	+2.38%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0054	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.292907	+2.45%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0211	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.285111	+2.82%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0572	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.291921	+2.90%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0027	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.28991	+2.90%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0133	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.292912	+2.96%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0203	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.290741	+2.86%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0031	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.312714	+2.70%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0735	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.315021	+2.53%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0921	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.316014	+2.50%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1270	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.320102	+2.40%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1196	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.329602	+1.73%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1567	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.337887	+1.04%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1749	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.345875	+1.33%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2006	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310492	-0.20%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0248	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.323825	-1.60%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0344	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.355147	-2.55%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1580	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.358	-2.65%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1559	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.354113	-2.84%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1085	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.36144	-2.92%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.0951	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.358116	-2.84%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0719	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.381295	-3.00%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2156	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.365201	-2.87%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1114	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.361872	-2.96%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0056	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.353731	-2.81%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0381	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.336256	-2.55%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0840	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.336968	-2.68%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.1030	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332258	-2.73%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.1071	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.328981	-2.86%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1794	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.347672	-2.97%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0802	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.338791	-3.08%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0966	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.332119	-3.20%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0910	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.317957	-3.05%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0802	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.311292	-3.18%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.1043	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.318019	-3.25%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0695	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.32097	-3.00%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0541	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.319191	-3.08%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.1149	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.338815	-3.20%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0310	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.355612	-3.30%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0355	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.364136	-3.12%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1029	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.357625	-3.54%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1053	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.350453	-3.11%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0633	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.342723	-2.83%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0348	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.346277	-2.61%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0483	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.352655	-2.94%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0055	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.31609	-2.41%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1500	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.309061	-2.43%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1964	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.31149	-2.43%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1736	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.31654	-2.54%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1336	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.324159	-2.58%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0856	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.324622	-2.49%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0922	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.323579	-2.32%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.1173	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.318835	-2.51%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0205	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.330025	-2.47%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0391	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.336618	-2.49%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0509	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.339318	-2.40%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0442	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.339983	-2.42%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0202	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.346571	-2.53%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0355	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.365521	-2.48%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.0945	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.367475	-2.40%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1208	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.37236	-2.46%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.0953	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.377906	-2.53%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.0890	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.374375	-2.51%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0701	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.37887	-2.55%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.0798	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.384418	-2.60%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0729	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.384758	-2.52%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0142	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.384441	-2.39%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0117	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.370425	-2.08%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0434	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.369947	-1.96%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0571	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.382876	-1.99%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0107	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.384211	-1.81%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0175	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.374791	-1.60%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0489	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.384565	-1.67%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0125	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.39312	-1.71%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0115	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.40417	-1.66%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0783	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.409771	-1.71%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.0966	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.39655	-1.44%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0294	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.368945	-0.93%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0407	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.408248	-1.63%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.0962	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.419054	-1.93%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.0928	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.426304	-2.16%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.0824	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.480313	-2.67%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1711	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.437783	-2.20%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.444934	-2.20%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.0996	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.460593	-2.50%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2017	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.460851	-2.18%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1525	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.443148	-2.11%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.451729	-2.58%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.455057	-2.70%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.398973	-1.61%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0580	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.426819	-2.02%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.419057	-2.57%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.1236	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.465157	-3.01%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.491379	-3.46%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.43212	-3.18%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1935	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.436538	-3.23%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2193	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.460085	-3.50%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0663	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.435879	-3.90%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1834	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.599722	-4.48%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.1908	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.682007	-4.30%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2033	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.64015	-4.51%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1004	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.608042	-4.41%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2293	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.685212	-5.23%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3729	✓	1.00