GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s3

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

54.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0338

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.308695	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.308437	-0.60%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0069	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.303812	-0.62%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0224	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298336	-0.60%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0257	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300621	-0.59%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0017	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.297977	-0.56%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0150	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.303925	-0.55%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0142	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298962	-0.50%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0217	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317182	-0.52%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0540	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.316165	-0.45%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0079	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327783	-0.51%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0313	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.33429	-0.48%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0150	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.34424	-0.51%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0246	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341148	-0.48%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0141	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320099	-0.37%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0685	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322854	-0.35%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0049	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326589	-0.32%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0084	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327385	-0.32%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0008	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319033	-0.22%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0293	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324369	-0.30%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0149	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.32591	-0.32%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0018	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317494	-0.27%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0295	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321606	-0.31%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0107	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318499	-0.30%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0128	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315869	-0.29%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0112	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328198	-0.30%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0352	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341529	-0.36%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0368	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347621	-0.40%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0142	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353228	-0.43%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0120	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340977	-0.47%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0396	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349949	-0.71%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0216	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356363	-0.69%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0110	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.369478	-1.39%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0349	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337969	-0.85%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1033	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336154	-1.19%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0134	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.353735	-1.88%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0512	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.300546	-0.61%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1813	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.301718	-0.62%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0000	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.297396	-0.47%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0325	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294054	-0.47%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0098	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.295852	-0.40%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0006	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.302995	-0.38%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0201	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286377	-0.25%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0571	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288329	-0.08%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0041	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.303749	-0.07%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0506	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29247	+0.09%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0415	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296682	+0.16%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0094	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.300852	+0.17%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0179	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293927	+0.21%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0206	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.292093	+0.29%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0148	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286824	+0.32%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0090	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278344	+0.38%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0274	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284747	+0.37%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0184	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282792	+0.37%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285556	+0.37%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0117	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283655	+0.36%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0018	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.30541	+0.30%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0713	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.308083	+0.27%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0152	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.309145	+0.27%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0078	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.313363	+0.24%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0150	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324439	+0.14%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0404	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334417	+0.01%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0333	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341436	+0.03%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0175	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310456	-0.21%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0909	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.327653	-0.44%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0446	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362162	-0.63%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1016	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365379	-0.64%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0029	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.361979	-0.68%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0134	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.369646	-0.71%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0139	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366091	-0.68%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0167	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390209	-0.74%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0564	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373303	-0.72%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0517	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370007	-0.78%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0162	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.361347	-0.72%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0320	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.342872	-0.63%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0613	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.34396	-0.66%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0033	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.339308	-0.67%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0202	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336307	-0.69%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0146	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.355669	-0.73%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0485	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.346832	-0.78%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0318	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340332	-0.81%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0260	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.325534	-0.74%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0526	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319068	-0.76%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0267	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326125	-0.78%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0142	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328432	-0.75%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0027	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.326906	-0.74%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0114	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347279	-0.78%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0531	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364743	-0.82%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0414	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372733	-0.83%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0119	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.367065	-0.99%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0229	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.358906	-0.77%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0323	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.350163	-0.72%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0333	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.353049	-0.70%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0001	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.360071	-0.90%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0123	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321902	-0.62%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1223	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.3148	-0.62%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0291	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317284	-0.62%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0018	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.322732	-0.64%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0100	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.330572	-0.65%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0175	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.330706	-0.66%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0053	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.329285	-0.59%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0107	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325033	-0.62%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0234	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.33631	-0.62%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0310	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.343066	-0.62%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0138	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.34556	-0.60%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0018	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346306	-0.60%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0059	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353299	-0.63%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0121	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372477	-0.62%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0492	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.374218	-0.61%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0001	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.379389	-0.62%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0067	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385253	-0.63%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0080	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.381615	-0.62%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0172	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.386363	-0.63%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0036	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392202	-0.63%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0052	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392314	-0.60%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0098	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.391559	-0.58%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0039	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.376401	-0.50%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0476	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.375557	-0.48%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0057	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.388767	-0.48%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0300	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.389595	-0.44%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0037	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.379431	-0.39%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0273	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38952	-0.40%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0277	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398278	-0.42%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0227	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409329	-0.41%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0210	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415138	-0.42%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0132	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400937	-0.35%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0420	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371591	-0.22%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0828	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.41335	-0.40%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1163	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.425278	-0.47%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0337	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.433403	-0.53%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0194	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490269	-0.65%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1146	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.445292	-0.53%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0832	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.4526	-0.52%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.46962	-0.59%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0313	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.468755	-0.50%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.450555	-0.47%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0485	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.461015	-0.58%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464897	-0.60%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.404207	-0.32%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1064	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433812	-0.41%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0645	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427779	-0.54%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0626	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.476352	-0.68%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.504861	-0.81%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443138	-0.71%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2061	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447751	-0.74%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0280	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.472627	-0.86%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.44877	-1.05%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0550	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.620086	-1.24%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3108	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.704775	-1.11%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1047	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.661846	-1.27%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0941	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.627874	-1.29%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0841	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.711018	-1.66%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1149	✓	1.00