GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s3

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

77.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1129

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0587

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.286713	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.285603	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.280034	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.282542	-6.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.280261	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.28646	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.283869	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.298964	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.300057	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.308663	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.316972	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.324995	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.322604	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.304798	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.309041	-4.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.315374	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.316625	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.311898	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.313723	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.31481	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.308621	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.310244	-3.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.307888	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.305584	-3.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.318903	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.33084	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.336193	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.343667	-3.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.335625	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.351321	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.359136	+0.08%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1565	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.346095	-7.63%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1260	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.324667	-4.75%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0792	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.322428	-5.22%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0655	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.322079	-10.66%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.0857	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.282699	-6.51%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0625	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.283244	-6.70%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0336	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.283902	-4.99%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.1012	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.279567	-5.38%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0999	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.282611	-4.86%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1350	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.289873	-4.69%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.1170	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.274752	-4.30%	0.346	+20.52%	0.2018	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.279976	-2.97%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1829	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.295305	-2.84%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0698	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.28704	-1.77%	0.324	+10.88%	0.1023	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29438	-0.61%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0837	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.297921	-0.81%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0709	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.291591	-0.58%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0498	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.294403	+1.08%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0772	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286252	+0.12%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0896	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279232	+0.70%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0845	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.286993	+1.16%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0836	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.285572	+1.36%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0943	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.290342	+2.05%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0718	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.289345	+2.37%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1093	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.31568	+3.67%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0723	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.318816	+3.76%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0765	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.322702	+4.67%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0762	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.33044	+5.71%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0217	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.340986	+5.24%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0124	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.349345	+4.47%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0041	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.361414	+5.88%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0289	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.315244	+1.33%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0721	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.316768	-3.75%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0927	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.339303	-6.90%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0464	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.341453	-7.15%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1381	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.336158	-7.76%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1189	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.343123	-7.84%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.1569	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.339997	-7.76%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.1622	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.361404	-8.06%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2132	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.347349	-7.62%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1490	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.344567	-7.60%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.1977	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.336998	-7.41%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.1725	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.321311	-6.88%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.0766	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.321331	-7.20%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1169	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.316613	-7.31%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.0899	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.312702	-7.66%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.0628	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.330246	-7.83%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1394	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.321536	-8.01%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1198	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.314413	-8.36%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1106	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.301108	-8.18%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.0971	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.293801	-8.62%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0489	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.299973	-8.74%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.0761	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.304874	-7.87%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.0811	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.302072	-8.28%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.0779	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.320155	-8.53%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.0652	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.33568	-8.72%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1047	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.346444	-7.82%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1277	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.339001	-8.56%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.0911	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.331905	-8.24%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0321	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.326731	-7.36%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0137	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.332481	-6.49%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0171	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.339501	-6.56%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.0922	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.302878	-6.49%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0865	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.295763	-6.63%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.2088	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.298185	-6.60%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.2093	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.302316	-6.92%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1859	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.309563	-6.97%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1838	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.311289	-6.49%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1674	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.310207	-6.35%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2354	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.303573	-7.18%	0.376	+14.97%	0.2159	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.315141	-6.87%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1679	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.321621	-6.83%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.1239	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.325075	-6.49%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0611	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.324975	-6.72%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0670	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.330369	-7.08%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0385	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.348674	-6.97%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0269	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.351522	-6.63%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0205	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.355756	-6.81%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0165	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.360539	-7.01%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0487	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.357064	-7.01%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.0826	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.360604	-7.25%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1117	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.364936	-7.54%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.0981	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.364734	-7.59%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.0820	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.365725	-7.14%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.0958	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.353153	-6.65%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0052	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.353342	-6.36%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0520	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.365886	-6.34%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0430	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.367858	-5.99%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0221	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.36015	-5.45%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0126	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.370393	-5.29%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0414	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.379216	-5.18%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0572	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.389822	-5.15%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0603	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.395461	-5.14%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1965	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.38341	-4.71%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1862	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.357832	-3.91%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.1036	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.394208	-5.01%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1979	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.403588	-5.55%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2077	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.40952	-6.01%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2195	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.457577	-7.28%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3275	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.419386	-6.31%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2145	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.42571	-6.43%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2327	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.43833	-7.21%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2421	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.439347	-6.74%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2768	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.422158	-6.75%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2159	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.427207	-7.87%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1704	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.428924	-8.29%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1352	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.379803	-6.34%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.403729	-7.32%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.0969	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.393892	-8.42%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.435128	-9.27%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1010	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.457977	-10.02%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.0830	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.404814	-9.30%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1481	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.409628	-9.19%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1917	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.431453	-9.50%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.1127	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.408234	-9.99%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1338	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.557153	-11.26%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.1855	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.632282	-11.28%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.2676	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.595886	-11.11%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.1815	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.568951	-10.56%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.1648	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.639108	-11.61%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.2851	✓	1.00