DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

131

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1623

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0358

actual +0.0604

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.370995	-3.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.382405	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.381935	-4.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.365561	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.384975	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.369656	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.392085	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.396735	-4.72%	0.386075	-7.28%	0.0464	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.429403	-4.76%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0713	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.419799	-4.76%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0529	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.472753	-4.75%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1819	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.512624	-4.83%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2107	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.488356	-5.32%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2116	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.414141	-5.18%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0152	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.355868	-4.73%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1917	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.387734	-4.87%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1980	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.391642	-4.96%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1961	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.395963	-5.03%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2802	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.365217	-5.02%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4238	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.3764	-5.05%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3529	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.374809	-5.15%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2139	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.369528	-5.21%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0162	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.361704	-5.23%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0836	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.350163	-5.24%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1212	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.411056	-5.56%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0189	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.390444	-5.45%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0206	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.419402	-5.59%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0629	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.427072	-5.86%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0849	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.451296	-7.15%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1335	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.409074	-6.24%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0273	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.379816	-6.06%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0250	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.366325	-6.43%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1108	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.402143	-9.94%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0316	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.27462	-6.97%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4213	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.235356	-7.74%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.5114	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.221521	-9.42%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6375	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.133627	-2.50%	0.436315	+218.36%	1.0047	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.137579	-2.42%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9370	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.139669	-2.71%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9534	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.145408	-3.01%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0521	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.144204	-2.90%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6525	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.143449	-2.88%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5790	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.14945	-3.01%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5302	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.158122	-3.54%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.0925	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.152925	-2.90%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0651	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.160031	-3.09%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0458	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.165007	-4.20%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0506	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.147539	-1.40%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0524	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.156567	-1.26%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0274	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140943	-1.93%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0703	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.140369	-1.73%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1348	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.150726	-1.97%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0355	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.152449	-2.48%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0372	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.166549	-3.11%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0117	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.164017	-3.20%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1170	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.171391	-2.89%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0909	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.162312	-2.76%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0985	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.145478	-1.73%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0032	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159182	-2.83%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0292	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129366	-1.32%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1900	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112302	-0.92%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4117	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117499	-1.16%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3717	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097047	-1.45%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5355	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096576	-2.14%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4519	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091005	-2.64%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3466	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.0932	-2.68%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4165	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.098916	-4.44%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1044	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.090419	-2.75%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0576	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.090266	-2.67%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0927	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.092467	-2.65%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0543	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.095935	-2.74%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0460	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.094988	-2.71%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0311	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.090981	-2.55%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0438	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.09444	-2.71%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1178	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.094673	-2.76%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0064	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094209	-2.76%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0091	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.094962	-2.91%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0112	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.09791	-2.94%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0230	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.098644	-2.98%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0034	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.094589	-2.65%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0188	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097073	-2.64%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0175	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.10277	-2.82%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0834	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.112306	-3.75%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1761	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.092791	-1.89%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0606	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.094897	-1.84%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0483	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.101056	-2.04%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0023	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.103664	-2.05%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0606	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112004	-2.24%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0843	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.11109	-2.27%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0218	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112355	-2.28%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0604	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.116166	-2.48%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1999	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118411	-2.62%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1650	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.116757	-2.65%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0779	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120107	-2.92%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.0986	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.119405	-2.98%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0534	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.122233	-3.07%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0633	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.125751	-3.21%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0932	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.13077	-3.34%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1182	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.140157	-3.90%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1674	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.146947	-5.32%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2310	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.113324	-3.05%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0554	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.119501	-3.10%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0199	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120189	-3.09%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0376	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.113945	-3.21%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1337	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.11079	-3.13%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1937	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.105555	-3.21%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2990	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107026	-3.18%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3557	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.110079	-3.14%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0766	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.108629	-3.17%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1254	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.104269	-3.16%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1671	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.106664	-3.31%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0830	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.108463	-3.25%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0351	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.103254	-3.79%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0309	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.109362	-3.74%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0526	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.102432	-3.07%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0474	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.098497	-3.12%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0702	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085276	-2.34%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1868	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081292	-2.01%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2641	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081499	-1.86%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2895	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.08128	-1.81%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2948	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084461	-1.97%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3645	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.08547	-2.07%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2733	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.088804	-2.19%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1966	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096007	-2.57%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0257	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.092674	-2.58%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.091552	-2.68%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0458	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.094998	-2.98%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.097225	-3.19%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.098528	-3.40%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.097234	-3.61%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0302	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.096852	-3.89%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0204	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.097928	-4.15%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.099821	-4.33%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0485	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.094358	-4.30%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.100213	-4.61%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0596	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.105748	-5.07%	0.102	-8.43%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.098705	-4.77%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.087433	-4.48%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0848	✗	1.00