DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

138

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

58.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0533

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0066

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.398978	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.399408	-0.67%	0.40159	-0.13%	0.0022	✓	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.396036	-0.68%	0.402115	+0.85%	0.0034	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.396035	-0.70%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0123	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.379401	-0.65%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0528	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.400173	-0.71%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0576	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.384619	-0.67%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0488	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.40827	-0.73%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0424	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.413217	-0.76%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0142	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.447004	-0.85%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0451	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.436907	-0.88%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0083	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.491078	-1.06%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0713	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.530849	-1.44%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0820	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.507395	-1.62%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0526	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.431794	-1.13%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1615	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.371377	-0.58%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1942	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.40453	-0.75%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0359	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.408928	-0.76%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0007	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.413695	-0.78%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0105	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.38206	-0.64%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0541	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.393717	-0.69%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0281	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.392447	-0.69%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0167	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.3872	-0.67%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0041	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.379144	-0.67%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0294	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.367082	-0.66%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0357	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.43101	-0.97%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1374	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.409046	-0.95%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0613	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.438713	-1.25%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0657	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.446534	-1.57%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0005	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.475842	-2.10%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0479	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.428091	-1.88%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1567	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.396112	-2.03%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.1032	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.381581	-2.54%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0423	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.43197	-3.26%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0970	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.287799	-2.50%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4324	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.248877	-2.44%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0873	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.23896	-2.29%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0615	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.13696	-0.07%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5698	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140873	-0.08%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0189	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.143439	-0.08%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0421	✓	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.149778	-0.09%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0340	✓	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.148377	-0.09%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0094	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147574	-0.09%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0057	✓	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.153933	-0.10%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0106	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163725	-0.12%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0578	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.157321	-0.11%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0525	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.164929	-0.13%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0243	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171962	-0.16%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0493	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149543	-0.06%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1384	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158407	-0.10%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0287	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143583	-0.09%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0239	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142704	-0.10%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0088	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153548	-0.13%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0535	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.156036	-0.18%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0292	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.171443	-0.27%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0844	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.168817	-0.37%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0126	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175619	-0.49%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0029	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165981	-0.56%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0448	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.1473	-0.50%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1184	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.162517	-0.79%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0874	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130462	-0.48%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2125	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112826	-0.45%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1420	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.11823	-0.55%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0274	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09805	-0.43%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1463	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098185	-0.51%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0349	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.09297	-0.54%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0099	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095123	-0.67%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0198	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.10253	-0.95%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0897	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092547	-0.46%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1144	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092322	-0.45%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0065	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094545	-0.46%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0133	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098168	-0.48%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0332	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.09717	-0.48%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0166	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092964	-0.43%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0541	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096634	-0.45%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0224	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096914	-0.46%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0024	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096433	-0.47%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0094	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097333	-0.48%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0127	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100355	-0.52%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0214	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101083	-0.58%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0093	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096676	-0.50%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0428	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.099186	-0.52%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0202	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105079	-0.64%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0627	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.115757	-0.80%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0895	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.09426	-0.33%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2472	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096389	-0.30%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0339	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102858	-0.29%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0628	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105538	-0.28%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0256	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.114212	-0.32%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0476	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113345	-0.29%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0075	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114666	-0.27%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0125	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118769	-0.29%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0155	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.121227	-0.30%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0001	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.11957	-0.31%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0241	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.123314	-0.32%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0511	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.12265	-0.34%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0011	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.125624	-0.38%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0184	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.129368	-0.43%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0429	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.134576	-0.52%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0376	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.144716	-0.77%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0496	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.153711	-0.96%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0475	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.116332	-0.48%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2583	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.122653	-0.55%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0329	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.123318	-0.57%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0004	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116994	-0.62%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0620	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113775	-0.52%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0244	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108475	-0.53%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0436	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.109873	-0.60%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0031	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.112952	-0.61%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0152	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.111471	-0.63%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0154	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.106896	-0.72%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0437	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.10939	-0.83%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0214	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.111106	-0.89%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0182	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.106075	-1.16%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0394	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.112228	-1.22%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0642	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104782	-0.85%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1061	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.100823	-0.83%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0367	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086864	-0.52%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1644	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082562	-0.48%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0572	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082656	-0.46%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.0824	-0.45%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.085773	-0.45%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086896	-0.43%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0121	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090399	-0.44%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.098087	-0.45%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0618	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.094708	-0.44%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093655	-0.44%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0062	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.097477	-0.45%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.09995	-0.48%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101539	-0.45%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.100406	-0.46%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0071	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.10029	-0.48%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101659	-0.50%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0227	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.103782	-0.54%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.098067	-0.54%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0281	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.104425	-0.60%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.110587	-0.72%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102998	-0.63%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0821	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.090967	-0.62%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0910	✗	1.00