DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s3

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

28.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4705

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0915

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.342918	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.352561	-11.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.351049	-11.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.335452	-12.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.352189	-12.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.337512	-12.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.357415	-13.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.361141	-13.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.391259	-13.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.381891	-13.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.430947	-13.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.468186	-13.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.446397	-13.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.377759	-13.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.324299	-13.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.352945	-13.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.356129	-13.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.359742	-13.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.331318	-13.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.341486	-13.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.339882	-13.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.334057	-14.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.326776	-14.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.315884	-14.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.369905	-15.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.351236	-14.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.377351	-15.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.38537	-15.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.40465	-16.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.36828	-15.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.343436	-15.05%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1825	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.331554	-15.32%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1510	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.359201	-19.55%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0934	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.248947	-15.67%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.4066	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.21205	-16.87%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5498	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.196452	-19.67%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5804	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.125504	-8.42%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0741	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.129852	-7.90%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.1067	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.1309	-8.82%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1262	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.135666	-9.51%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0999	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.134962	-9.12%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1914	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.134084	-9.22%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2813	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.139506	-9.47%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.2356	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.145823	-11.05%	0.436745	+166.42%	1.0419	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.142757	-9.36%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8904	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.149211	-9.65%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.9175	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.152695	-11.35%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8938	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.141151	-5.67%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9630	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.149493	-5.72%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8849	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.133887	-6.84%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9511	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.13401	-6.18%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9425	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.143386	-6.74%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.9228	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.14416	-7.78%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8801	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.156185	-9.14%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7912	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.154954	-8.55%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.9444	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.164545	-6.77%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8664	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.157132	-5.86%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9736	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.144284	-2.54%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0705	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.156408	-4.52%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0660	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130115	-0.74%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1118	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.114543	+1.06%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1536	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.122544	+3.08%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1293	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.095714	-2.80%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4697	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.093289	-5.47%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0399	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.086545	-7.41%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9613	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.088958	-7.11%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8904	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.093783	-9.40%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2255	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.085113	-8.46%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3243	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.085115	-8.22%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3566	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.087365	-8.02%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3756	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.090567	-8.18%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3299	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.089712	-8.11%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3429	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.085968	-7.92%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.4125	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.089143	-8.17%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4515	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.089327	-8.25%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.4034	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.088894	-8.25%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4424	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.089308	-8.69%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4750	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.092143	-8.66%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.3099	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.092846	-8.68%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3346	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.089135	-8.26%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.3143	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.091541	-8.18%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2806	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.09684	-8.43%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2667	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.105579	-9.52%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2064	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.087822	-7.14%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4563	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.089756	-7.16%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4061	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.095417	-7.51%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3470	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.097984	-7.42%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2787	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.106177	-7.33%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1263	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.105133	-7.51%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2098	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.10636	-7.50%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0113	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.10987	-7.76%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1597	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.111928	-7.95%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1299	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.110379	-7.97%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2186	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.112876	-8.76%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2062	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.112067	-8.94%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1814	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.114617	-9.11%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1738	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.117592	-9.49%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1069	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.12235	-9.56%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2597	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.131306	-9.97%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3148	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.137118	-11.65%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3379	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.106394	-8.98%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0884	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.11245	-8.82%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1391	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.113144	-8.77%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1936	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.107626	-8.57%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1106	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.104051	-9.02%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0840	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.098958	-9.25%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0471	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.100698	-8.90%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0382	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.103628	-8.82%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0325	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.102197	-8.90%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0096	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.098324	-8.68%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0154	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.100571	-8.83%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0183	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.102158	-8.87%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0210	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.097463	-9.19%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1504	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.102319	-9.94%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1596	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.096495	-8.69%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0531	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.092797	-8.73%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0423	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.080633	-7.66%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2169	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.077179	-6.97%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.3099	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.077508	-6.66%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.3089	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.077506	-6.37%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3448	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.080638	-6.41%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3524	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.081643	-6.45%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3655	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.084664	-6.75%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2977	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.091153	-7.49%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2901	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.087873	-7.63%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3180	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.086608	-7.93%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3457	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.089547	-8.55%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3808	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.091474	-8.92%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4199	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.092244	-9.56%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4819	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.090628	-10.15%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5489	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.089696	-10.99%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2990	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.090228	-11.69%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.3094	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.091699	-12.12%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2986	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.086599	-12.17%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2643	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.091536	-12.87%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1989	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.096249	-13.59%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.1380	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.089812	-13.35%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.2073	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.079683	-12.94%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.3046	✗	1.00