DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s3

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

66.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0631

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0201

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.3473	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.3405	-2.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.1164	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.0751	-2.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.0409	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.3759	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.7449	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.7073	-2.76%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0716	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.943	-2.58%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0764	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.9152	-2.56%	14.512	-11.15%	0.0932	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.2874	-2.39%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1028	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.4865	-2.40%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1201	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.042	-2.53%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1345	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.9433	-2.50%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1179	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.6212	-2.59%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0710	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.9008	-2.48%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0675	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.0681	-2.51%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0645	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.9021	-2.47%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0447	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8379	-2.51%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0375	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7886	-2.56%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0010	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.7099	-2.54%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0104	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9426	-2.67%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0108	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.649	-2.58%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0215	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.3734	-2.49%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0433	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0097	-2.75%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0002	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.7733	-2.73%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0259	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.2389	-2.60%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0533	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.7443	-2.87%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0194	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7429	-2.91%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0461	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.1548	-3.07%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0237	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.4678	-2.80%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0486	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8013	-2.89%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0647	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.9815	-2.98%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0419	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.1894	-3.10%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0031	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.344	-3.01%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0280	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.3037	-2.44%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0921	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.4633	-1.96%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1474	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.2327	-2.75%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0252	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.8908	-2.70%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0436	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.6549	-2.51%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0739	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4965	-2.37%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0995	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2143	-2.21%	16.852	+8.32%	0.1041	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.0859	-2.39%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0048	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.7986	-3.23%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1027	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.5361	-1.60%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0807	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.281	-1.92%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0369	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.6129	-1.76%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0526	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.3936	-1.05%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0534	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6819	+2.71%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1052	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.8682	-0.57%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1616	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.258	-0.88%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1848	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5104	-0.23%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0787	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0528	-0.10%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1377	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2713	+0.13%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0904	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1241	-0.03%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0769	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1513	+1.57%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0007	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.971	+0.87%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0177	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.7482	+0.61%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0579	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9142	+0.46%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0489	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.209	-0.29%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0093	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.899	-0.61%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0117	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0294	+0.18%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0867	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8524	-0.86%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0798	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7598	-1.41%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0420	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.5056	-1.77%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0288	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8456	-1.92%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0548	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7325	-1.97%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0304	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.8041	-1.93%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0430	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7448	-1.88%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1285	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9159	-1.85%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1453	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.0189	-1.85%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1013	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.6941	-2.24%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.0994	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.4939	-2.27%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0432	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6397	-2.41%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0211	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.4852	-2.44%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0052	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.4445	-2.42%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0071	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2182	-2.33%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0075	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.6539	-2.49%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0132	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.0183	-2.74%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0061	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.905	-2.75%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0169	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.8727	-2.70%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0163	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.7538	-2.66%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0325	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8031	-2.70%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0386	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2367	-2.71%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0489	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.457	-1.65%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1138	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.397	-1.59%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1576	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.0237	-1.42%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1890	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5002	-1.58%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1676	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4054	-1.51%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1619	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4213	-1.49%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1606	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8001	-1.61%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1472	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.2502	-1.76%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0185	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3711	-1.80%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0274	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.479	-1.96%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0869	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4661	-2.00%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0745	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4615	-2.00%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0658	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3335	-1.99%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0647	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.0312	-2.29%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1025	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.1709	-2.45%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0753	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.4111	-2.56%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0853	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1509	-2.89%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0066	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9141	-2.32%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0521	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.0635	-1.68%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1249	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9722	-1.68%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1404	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8295	-1.66%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1998	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7908	-1.64%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1890	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.824	-1.71%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2166	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0114	-1.82%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1529	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9395	-1.84%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.1066	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0747	-1.86%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0061	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2682	-1.87%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0333	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9847	-1.77%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0223	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7646	-1.60%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0147	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5787	-1.40%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0307	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0903	-1.69%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0427	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9333	-1.55%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0383	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2997	-1.64%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0453	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.026	-1.53%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0058	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7782	-1.66%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0124	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9328	-2.02%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0741	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0137	-1.46%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0356	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.329	-1.59%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0510	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.2589	-1.52%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0415	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.6717	-1.70%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0533	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4298	-1.61%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0357	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.3046	-1.52%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.8167	-1.85%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0854	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.1316	-2.09%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.3818	-2.27%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.5002	-2.43%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0509	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.9402	-2.47%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.7297	-2.51%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.8402	-2.73%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0202	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.5515	-2.37%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0062	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.6603	-2.52%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.9175	-2.88%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.0177	-2.94%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.9914	-2.43%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.8219	-2.31%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.7407	-3.13%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0419	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.0018	-3.48%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1270	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.2032	-3.68%	11.962	-18.88%	0.0942	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.0577	-3.56%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.4393	-3.51%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0703	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.