DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s3

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

46.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1084

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0368

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.3155	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.7544	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.5136	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.4596	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.4321	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.7779	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.1543	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.0857	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.3418	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.2691	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.6868	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.831	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.3718	-6.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.267	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.9483	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.2816	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.4831	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.3549	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.3187	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.285	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.2484	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.4851	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.2149	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.9526	-4.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.6136	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.4066	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.8919	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.4362	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.4685	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.9285	-4.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.2624	-3.94%	15.295	-14.89%	0.0975	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.5261	-4.48%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1315	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.7445	-4.33%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1491	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.9706	-4.33%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1721	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.0582	-4.71%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1616	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.9764	-4.52%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0718	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.1415	-4.14%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0031	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.9742	-4.30%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0207	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.6241	-4.33%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0129	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.4195	-3.98%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0152	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.299	-3.62%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0250	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.0213	-3.45%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0559	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	15.9244	-3.37%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0544	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.7016	-3.78%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0101	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.3482	-2.79%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1249	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.1045	-2.98%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0838	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.4587	-2.73%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1279	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.134	-2.72%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1334	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.0309	-1.84%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2324	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.5918	-2.55%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2173	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.0306	-2.46%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1772	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.2376	-2.11%	18.434	+26.74%	0.2052	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	13.7565	-2.21%	18.116	+28.78%	0.2122	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	13.9729	-1.96%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1883	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	13.849	-1.98%	18.519	+31.07%	0.2215	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.7996	-0.95%	18.273	+31.16%	0.2365	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.6794	-1.24%	17.7	+27.79%	0.2028	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.5041	-1.18%	18.268	+33.68%	0.2395	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.7147	-0.98%	18.275	+31.94%	0.2299	✗	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.0127	-1.67%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1989	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.7218	-1.88%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1670	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.8393	-1.28%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2658	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.6496	-2.55%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3150	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.5451	-3.21%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2864	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2737	-3.75%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2303	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.617	-3.81%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1272	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.5118	-3.82%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0527	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.5922	-3.70%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1368	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.5347	-3.64%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1381	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.7085	-3.55%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1076	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.8054	-3.60%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0881	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4454	-4.16%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0264	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.253	-4.15%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0814	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.4073	-4.21%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1337	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.2782	-4.06%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0418	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.265	-3.82%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0761	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.0415	-3.74%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0484	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.4668	-3.93%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0007	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.8217	-4.21%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1456	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.7078	-4.24%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1177	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.678	-4.18%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0851	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.5513	-4.21%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0927	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.5874	-4.34%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1157	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.0188	-4.32%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1120	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.2263	-3.63%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0360	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.1552	-3.68%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0025	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.7752	-3.65%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0409	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.2903	-3.38%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0144	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.2407	-2.93%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0108	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.2862	-2.65%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0474	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.6851	-2.57%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0181	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.1643	-2.45%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0933	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.3203	-2.21%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1179	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4481	-2.21%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.1014	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4685	-1.98%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0625	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4763	-1.88%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0277	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3361	-1.97%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0141	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.9631	-2.80%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0625	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0758	-3.16%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0615	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.265	-3.63%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0647	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.1433	-2.95%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0073	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.84	-2.93%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0953	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.9347	-2.83%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1543	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.8256	-3.00%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1693	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.6938	-2.89%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1554	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.6566	-2.87%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1420	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.6703	-3.10%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1456	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.8432	-3.32%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1711	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.7895	-3.19%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2089	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.9401	-3.05%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1876	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.1428	-2.97%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1573	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.876	-2.74%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1675	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.6733	-2.44%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1671	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.4848	-2.28%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1701	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9924	-2.56%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0055	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8378	-2.42%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0053	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1784	-2.70%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0518	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8747	-2.88%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0004	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6189	-3.11%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0251	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.6478	-4.36%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0420	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.6145	-5.03%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0879	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	10.915	-5.19%	12.47	+8.32%	0.1035	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.8209	-5.35%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.1066	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.2502	-5.25%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1082	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	10.9878	-5.42%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1276	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.8552	-5.43%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1282	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.42	-5.15%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1057	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.783	-4.90%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1523	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.0623	-4.80%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1366	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.1657	-5.04%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1344	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.5632	-5.54%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1131	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.3657	-5.54%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0675	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.5256	-5.31%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0272	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.1905	-5.42%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.3317	-5.27%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0525	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.6395	-5.15%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.7408	-5.18%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.6335	-5.34%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0870	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.4292	-5.56%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0661	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.3944	-5.76%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0825	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.6317	-6.03%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1475	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.8241	-6.25%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1313	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.6589	-6.12%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1192	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.0428	-5.99%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1091	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.