DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s3

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +1d

assessed

143

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

57.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0227

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.6895	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.6696	-0.54%	14.773	+0.16%	0.0092	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.4367	-0.52%	14.749	+1.63%	0.0113	✗	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.383	-0.49%	14.512	+0.40%	0.0105	✗	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.34	-0.46%	14.454	+0.33%	0.0022	✓	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6809	-0.46%	14.407	-2.32%	0.0178	✓	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.0526	-0.46%	14.749	-2.47%	0.0148	✓	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.07	-0.51%	15.122	-6.38%	0.0659	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.286	-0.48%	16.153	-1.30%	0.0058	✗	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.256	-0.47%	16.365	+0.20%	0.0058	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.6114	-0.45%	16.3325	-2.12%	0.0023	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.8172	-0.44%	16.686	-1.22%	0.0151	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.4021	-0.47%	16.8915	-3.39%	0.0333	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.2983	-0.46%	17.4845	+0.61%	0.0025	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.9997	-0.49%	17.3785	-3.93%	0.0204	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.2668	-0.49%	18.089	-1.45%	0.0108	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.4416	-0.49%	18.356	-0.96%	0.0028	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.2654	-0.49%	18.533	+0.97%	0.0213	✗	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.2085	-0.48%	18.355	+0.32%	0.0081	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.1656	-0.49%	18.2965	+0.23%	0.0050	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.0831	-0.48%	18.255	+0.46%	0.0126	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.3413	-0.50%	18.171	-1.43%	0.0214	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.0287	-0.48%	18.434	+1.76%	0.0230	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.7346	-0.46%	18.116	+1.68%	0.0196	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.421	-0.53%	17.8165	-3.79%	0.0238	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.1769	-0.53%	18.519	+1.35%	0.0182	✗	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.6125	-0.49%	18.273	+3.24%	0.0337	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.166	-0.56%	17.7	-3.11%	0.0232	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.1707	-0.57%	18.268	-0.04%	0.0053	✓	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.6117	-0.63%	18.275	-2.42%	0.0000	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.8679	-0.57%	18.729	+4.22%	0.0507	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.2047	-0.56%	17.971	+3.87%	0.0095	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4005	-0.59%	17.302	-1.15%	0.0049	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.629	-0.62%	17.503	-1.33%	0.0108	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.7554	-0.57%	17.739	+5.26%	0.0091	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.6189	-0.43%	16.852	+7.43%	0.0738	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7064	-0.31%	15.686	+6.33%	0.0582	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6065	-0.51%	14.752	-11.62%	0.0932	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2517	-0.49%	16.692	+2.21%	0.0134	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.9858	-0.45%	16.3315	+1.70%	0.0259	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.8059	-0.42%	16.0585	+1.17%	0.0153	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.4972	-0.39%	15.873	+2.02%	0.0172	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.401	-0.48%	15.558	-5.59%	0.0361	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.2188	-0.80%	16.4795	-5.06%	0.0424	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.7398	-0.31%	17.3585	+9.94%	0.1041	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.5276	-0.43%	15.789	-4.88%	0.0340	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.806	-0.54%	16.599	+4.45%	0.0442	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.5186	-0.25%	15.892	+2.15%	0.0224	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.3485	+0.38%	15.5575	+8.84%	0.0965	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9333	-0.10%	14.294	+2.48%	0.0180	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.3598	-0.18%	13.9475	-3.04%	0.0281	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5279	-0.11%	14.385	-1.10%	0.0030	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0617	-0.04%	14.5445	+3.39%	0.0240	✗	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2499	-0.02%	14.067	-1.30%	0.0067	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1203	-0.06%	14.2525	+0.87%	0.0050	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.9562	+0.17%	14.129	+1.41%	0.0394	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8592	+0.06%	13.932	+0.58%	0.0086	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6653	+0.00%	13.851	+1.36%	0.0080	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8422	-0.06%	13.665	-1.34%	0.0079	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2186	-0.23%	13.851	-2.81%	0.0403	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9386	-0.33%	14.251	+1.90%	0.0145	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	12.9888	-0.13%	13.985	+7.53%	0.0889	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9281	-0.23%	13.0055	+8.79%	0.0259	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8934	-0.29%	11.955	+0.22%	0.0432	✓	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.674	-0.33%	11.9285	+1.84%	0.0498	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	12.0337	-0.36%	11.7125	-3.02%	0.0303	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.9259	-0.36%	12.0775	+0.91%	0.0146	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9956	-0.34%	11.9685	-0.57%	0.0008	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.9306	-0.33%	12.037	+0.56%	0.0081	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.1007	-0.32%	11.97	-1.40%	0.0033	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.2058	-0.33%	12.14	-0.87%	0.0056	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.9311	-0.41%	12.246	-5.69%	0.0524	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.7295	-0.42%	12.985	+1.58%	0.0262	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.892	-0.46%	12.7835	-1.30%	0.0070	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.7384	-0.47%	12.952	+1.20%	0.0176	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.6949	-0.45%	12.798	+0.36%	0.0078	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4565	-0.43%	12.7525	+1.94%	0.0133	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.9153	-0.48%	12.51	-3.60%	0.0264	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.3146	-0.52%	12.977	-3.04%	0.0349	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.2012	-0.52%	13.3845	+0.86%	0.0040	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.1621	-0.52%	13.2705	+0.30%	0.0088	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	13.0347	-0.52%	13.2305	+0.98%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.083	-0.57%	13.1025	-0.42%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.5202	-0.63%	13.158	-3.29%	0.0046	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.6157	-0.29%	13.606	+16.79%	0.1455	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5489	-0.28%	11.6495	+0.59%	0.0079	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1573	-0.23%	11.581	+3.56%	0.0349	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6526	-0.28%	11.183	-4.30%	0.0166	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5522	-0.24%	11.685	+0.90%	0.0041	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.5666	-0.23%	11.5805	-0.11%	0.0020	✓	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9606	-0.27%	11.5935	-3.34%	0.0169	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4299	-0.32%	11.9935	-3.82%	0.0209	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.5564	-0.33%	12.47	-1.02%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6825	-0.37%	12.5985	-1.03%	0.0258	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.6726	-0.37%	12.729	+0.07%	0.0035	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.666	-0.39%	12.72	+0.03%	0.0060	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5348	-0.39%	12.716	+1.05%	0.0007	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.2689	-0.50%	12.584	-5.64%	0.0549	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.4139	-0.65%	13.336	-1.23%	0.0087	✗	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6629	-0.73%	13.502	-1.90%	0.0077	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.388	-1.00%	13.764	+10.00%	0.0684	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.1141	-0.68%	12.513	+2.59%	0.0537	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2145	-0.34%	12.1975	+8.39%	0.0845	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.123	-0.33%	11.253	+0.83%	0.0166	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9771	-0.32%	11.16	+1.34%	0.0031	✓	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9369	-0.31%	11.012	+0.37%	0.0066	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9752	-0.33%	10.971	-0.37%	0.0154	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1746	-0.37%	11.012	-1.82%	0.0050	✓	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.1038	-0.37%	11.216	+0.64%	0.0041	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.2427	-0.37%	11.145	-1.24%	0.0159	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4405	-0.37%	11.2845	-1.73%	0.0221	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1438	-0.35%	11.4835	+2.69%	0.0148	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.9071	-0.30%	11.1825	+2.22%	0.0023	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.7024	-0.25%	10.94	+1.97%	0.0002	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.2447	-0.32%	10.729	-4.89%	0.0229	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.074	-0.29%	11.281	+1.58%	0.0086	✗	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.4514	-0.32%	11.106	-3.33%	0.0240	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1609	-0.32%	11.4885	+2.60%	0.0299	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.9097	-0.46%	11.197	+2.16%	0.0219	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.1136	-0.54%	10.96	-10.01%	0.0841	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1475	-0.26%	12.179	+8.96%	0.1129	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4777	-0.30%	11.177	-2.91%	0.0079	✓	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.4011	-0.28%	11.5125	+0.70%	0.0004	✓	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.8345	-0.32%	11.433	-3.71%	0.0190	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5822	-0.30%	11.873	+2.20%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4479	-0.27%	11.617	+1.20%	0.0052	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.9972	-0.36%	11.479	-4.66%	0.0195	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.3387	-0.41%	12.04	-2.82%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.6108	-0.47%	12.39	-2.21%	0.0077	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.7481	-0.50%	12.67	-1.11%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.1816	-0.49%	12.812	+4.66%	0.0308	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.973	-0.49%	12.242	+1.75%	0.0083	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.1076	-0.53%	12.032	-1.15%	0.0059	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.7814	-0.43%	12.172	+2.87%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.9082	-0.45%	11.832	-1.09%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.2058	-0.53%	11.962	-2.52%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.3141	-0.55%	12.271	-0.90%	0.0003	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.24	-0.41%	12.382	+0.75%	0.0280	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.0562	-0.38%	12.29	+1.55%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.0733	-0.60%	12.102	-7.98%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.4065	-0.69%	13.152	-9.33%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.6332	-0.76%	14.506	-1.63%	0.0313	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.5043	-0.70%	14.746	-5.56%	0.0174	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.8897	-0.70%	15.614	-2.42%	0.0137	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.