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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s2

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
245
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
71.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2377
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0265
actual -0.0866

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002704-1.85%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.002717-1.72%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002674-1.70%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002676-1.81%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002993-2.68%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002651-1.62%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002652-1.59%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.0027-1.65%0.002755+0.36%0.0041✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.00272-1.62%0.002765+0.00%0.0123✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002791-1.54%0.00272-4.06%0.0240✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002709-1.47%0.002725-0.91%0.0046✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00278-1.59%0.003075+8.85%0.1165✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002794-1.61%0.002695-5.11%0.0216✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002748-1.52%0.002695-3.41%0.0094✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002706-1.44%0.002745+0.00%0.0103✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002843-1.62%0.002765-4.33%0.0126✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002895-1.54%0.002835-3.57%0.0015✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003185-2.02%0.00275-15.38%0.1044✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003076-1.73%0.002825-9.74%0.0531✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002976-1.77%0.00284-6.27%0.0262✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002879-1.75%0.00279-4.78%0.0090✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002959-1.69%0.002745-8.80%0.0395✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002912-1.62%0.00289-2.36%0.0045✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.00287-1.55%0.00294+0.86%0.0025✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002948-1.73%0.00325+8.33%0.0727✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003082-1.83%0.00313-0.32%0.0066✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003332-2.56%0.00303-11.40%0.0988✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002853-1.44%0.00293+1.21%0.0217✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002765-1.24%0.00301+7.50%0.0794✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002804-1.26%0.00296+4.23%0.0638✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002911-1.15%0.002915-1.02%0.0305✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002869-0.91%0.003+3.63%0.0821✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002502-0.73%0.00314+24.60%0.1931✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002608-0.82%0.00342+30.04%0.2377✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002853-1.46%0.002895+0.00%0.0205✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002625-1.30%0.0028+5.26%0.0190✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002374-1.07%0.00284+18.33%0.0930✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002424-1.26%0.002945+19.96%0.0794✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002548+0.13%0.002895+13.75%0.0357✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002584+0.17%0.00252-2.33%0.0734✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002705+0.20%0.00263-2.59%0.0732✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002755+0.35%0.002895+5.46%0.0113✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.00263+0.97%0.00266+2.11%0.0134✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002877+0.59%0.0024-16.08%0.1575✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002746+0.97%0.002455-9.74%0.0813✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002654+1.11%0.002545-3.05%0.0325✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002708+1.25%0.00258-3.55%0.0093✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002791+1.66%0.0027-1.64%0.0041✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002683+1.84%0.002745+4.17%0.0488✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002936+1.94%0.002605-9.55%0.0725✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002987+1.94%0.00286-2.39%0.0552✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003266+1.75%0.00272-15.26%0.1955✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003088+2.07%0.002625-13.22%0.1690✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002607+1.82%0.002675+4.49%0.0159✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002589+1.74%0.002745+7.86%0.0387✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002824+1.42%0.002635-5.39%0.0922✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002875+1.23%0.00288+1.41%0.0101✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002708+0.87%0.00293+9.12%0.0990✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002724+0.69%0.00321+18.67%0.1776✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00288+0.53%0.003025+5.58%0.0539✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003066+0.37%0.00256-16.20%0.1797✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002964+0.31%0.002545-13.87%0.1673✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003051+0.36%0.002785-8.39%0.0851✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003017-0.76%0.00284-6.58%0.1573✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.00303-2.26%0.002685-13.39%0.2757✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00296-2.62%0.002705-11.02%0.3425✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003136-2.92%0.002865-11.30%0.3331✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002952-2.89%0.003055+0.49%0.2104✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002991-2.88%0.002955-4.06%0.2385✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002846-2.71%0.00304+3.93%0.1787✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002843-2.81%0.00304+3.93%0.1006✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003087-3.24%0.0031-2.82%0.0791✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002856-3.01%0.00304+3.23%0.0492✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.0033-3.64%0.00323-5.69%0.0234✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002941-3.27%0.00304+0.00%0.0354✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002987-3.34%0.00308-0.32%0.0309✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00319-3.63%0.002925-11.63%0.0863✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003558-4.47%0.002925-21.48%0.1952✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004589-7.85%0.00319-35.94%0.3628✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002922-2.27%0.002945-1.51%0.0066✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003093-2.75%0.003425+7.70%0.1030✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003192-2.98%0.00304-7.60%0.0462✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003171-2.43%0.00309-4.92%0.0205✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003077-1.68%0.00331+5.75%0.0781✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003151-1.98%0.003725+15.86%0.1659✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.00337-2.33%0.00498+44.35%0.3931✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003538-2.54%0.00299-17.63%0.1675✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003563-2.38%0.00318-12.88%0.1145✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00368-2.63%0.00329-12.96%0.1195✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003617-2.10%0.00325-12.04%0.1128✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003625-1.76%0.00313-15.18%0.1502✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003758-2.01%0.003215-16.17%0.1571✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003908-2.29%0.00345-13.75%0.1326✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003901-2.00%0.00363-8.79%0.0814✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.00383-1.29%0.00365-5.93%0.0529✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004047-1.54%0.00378-8.03%0.0660✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.00402-1.11%0.003695-9.10%0.0858✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.00417-1.07%0.00369-12.46%0.1217✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.00428-0.93%0.003835-11.23%0.1061✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004476-1.20%0.004-11.70%0.1067✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003655-0.95%0.00398+7.86%0.0908✗-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004129+0.70%0.00388-5.37%0.0576✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004268+0.54%0.00411-3.18%0.0359✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004382+0.62%0.004065-6.66%0.0699✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004744+0.50%0.004215-10.70%0.1193✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005352+0.42%0.00432-18.95%0.2120✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.00498+1.21%0.00453-7.93%0.0848✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006174-1.06%0.00369-40.87%0.5047✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007266-2.21%0.0041-44.82%0.5835✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007911-2.46%0.004245-47.66%0.6220✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007603-2.52%0.004355-44.17%0.5551✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008043-2.68%0.00472-42.89%0.5278✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00831-2.92%0.00533-37.73%0.4392✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007684-2.85%0.00492-37.80%0.4369✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00832-3.26%0.00624-27.44%0.2750✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008758-3.65%0.00743-18.26%0.1513✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006997-1.59%0.00811+14.06%0.1667✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007598-2.84%0.0078-0.26%0.0419✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007855-3.02%0.008265+2.04%0.0631✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007753-3.02%0.00856+7.07%0.1078✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.00764-3.05%0.00791+0.38%0.0312✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008335-3.19%0.0086-0.12%0.0126✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008697-3.26%0.00909+1.11%0.0251✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008394-3.40%0.00711-18.18%0.1855✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009193-3.53%0.00782-17.94%0.1846✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008816-3.60%0.0081-11.43%0.1029✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008599-3.71%0.007995-10.47%0.0887✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009326-3.95%0.00788-18.85%0.1886✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009731-4.41%0.00861-15.42%0.1378✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00915-4.29%0.00899-5.96%0.0274✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008046-4.22%0.00869+3.45%0.0649✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009024-4.71%0.00953+0.63%0.0538✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007202-3.84%0.009145+22.10%0.2385✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.00712-3.78%0.00893+20.68%0.2229✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007266-3.64%0.00971+28.78%0.3053✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006324-3.15%0.01018+55.90%0.4954✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006933-3.71%0.00956+32.78%0.3402✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.00751-4.09%0.0084+7.28%0.1294✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007758-3.99%0.00947+17.20%0.2266✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007587-3.84%0.00749-5.07%0.0043✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008455-4.35%0.0074-16.29%0.1355✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008678-4.53%0.00754-17.05%0.1557✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009277-4.85%0.00653-33.03%0.3740✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011737-6.33%0.0072-42.54%0.6324✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008896-5.21%0.00783-16.57%0.2632✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008434-5.35%0.00808-9.32%0.2075✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010283-6.52%0.00789-28.27%0.4068✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006901-5.34%0.00884+21.26%0.1486✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.00711-5.52%0.00909+20.80%0.1490✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007245-5.55%0.00975+27.12%0.2087✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008443-5.46%0.01253+40.31%0.3696✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009437-5.29%0.009385-5.82%0.0178✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.0101-5.16%0.00891-16.34%0.1301✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011528-5.31%0.011-9.65%0.0489✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012998-6.02%0.00729-47.29%0.5869✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012397-6.16%0.007525-43.04%0.5050✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016241-8.27%0.00767-56.68%0.7512✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018654-9.23%0.00893-56.55%0.7372✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015873-8.99%0.009965-42.86%0.4639✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016533-9.26%0.01065-41.55%0.4343✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020428-9.97%0.012175-46.34%0.5064✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015499-9.84%0.01383-19.55%0.0954✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.01949-10.68%0.01321-39.46%0.3789✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006218-8.35%0.017705+160.94%1.0999✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.00419-4.78%0.02055+367.05%1.6707✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002403-1.51%0.01744+614.75%2.0713✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002393-1.51%0.01822+649.79%2.0770✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002344-1.50%0.02269+853.36%2.2917✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002255-0.65%0.01719+657.27%2.0108✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002188-2.33%0.02182+874.11%2.3424✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002299-2.36%0.006785+188.11%1.0872✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002271-1.26%0.0044+91.30%0.6390✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002382-1.15%0.00244+1.24%0.0197✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002428-2.11%0.00243-2.02%0.0230✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002392-1.16%0.00238-1.65%0.0288✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002591-2.05%0.00227-14.18%0.1787✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.00268-2.37%0.00224-18.40%0.2505✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002876-2.52%0.002355-20.17%0.2571✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002841-2.71%0.0023-21.23%0.2427✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003023-3.10%0.00241-22.76%0.2253✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002655-3.44%0.00248-9.82%0.0811✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003175-2.90%0.00242-25.99%0.2812✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003258-3.04%0.002645-21.28%0.1835✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003343-2.97%0.002745-20.32%0.1660✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003167-3.15%0.00295-9.79%0.0706✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003445-3.23%0.00292-17.98%0.1840✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003423-3.45%0.00312-11.99%0.1529✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003357-3.38%0.00275-20.86%0.2240✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003397-3.77%0.00327-7.37%0.0427✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003686-4.02%0.00336-12.50%0.1336✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003476-3.58%0.003445-4.44%0.0533✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003452-3.58%0.00327-8.66%0.0829✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003408-3.73%0.00356+0.56%0.0247✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003856-3.96%0.003545-11.71%0.1306✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003941-4.23%0.003475-15.55%0.1658✓1.12
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