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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s2

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
52.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0786
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0045
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002733-0.07%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002719-0.05%0.002735+0.55%0.0089✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002721-0.14%0.00272-0.18%0.0141✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003057-0.59%0.002725-11.38%0.1128✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002692-0.11%0.003075+14.10%0.1255✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002691-0.14%0.002695+0.00%0.0028✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.00274-0.19%0.002695-1.82%0.0091✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002758-0.24%0.002745-0.72%0.0115✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002832-0.10%0.002765-2.47%0.0058✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002748-0.09%0.002835+3.09%0.0160✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002821-0.13%0.00275-2.65%0.0074✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002835-0.17%0.002825-0.53%0.0108✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002786-0.14%0.00284+1.79%0.0157✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002742-0.12%0.00279+1.64%0.0092✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002885-0.19%0.002745-5.02%0.0354✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002937-0.09%0.00289-1.70%0.0045✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003239-0.33%0.00294-9.54%0.0948✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003126-0.13%0.00325+3.83%0.0474✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003024-0.21%0.00313+3.30%0.0151✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002924-0.21%0.00303+3.41%0.0330✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003005-0.16%0.00293-2.66%0.0215✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002956-0.15%0.00301+1.69%0.0041✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002912-0.10%0.00296+1.54%0.0173✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002995-0.17%0.002915-2.83%0.0290✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003134-0.19%0.003-4.46%0.0327✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003401-0.54%0.00314-8.19%0.0805✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002896+0.02%0.00342+18.13%0.1627✓0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002803+0.10%0.002895+3.39%0.0358✓1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002843+0.11%0.0028-1.41%0.0154✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002951+0.21%0.00284-3.57%0.0178✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002902+0.25%0.002945+1.73%0.0193✓1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002524+0.14%0.002895+14.88%0.0817✓0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002633+0.12%0.00252-4.18%0.0431✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002893-0.06%0.00263-9.15%0.0994✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002657-0.11%0.002895+8.83%0.0378✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002401+0.05%0.00266+10.83%0.1001✓0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002456+0.03%0.0024-2.24%0.0295✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00255+0.18%0.002455-3.54%0.0076✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002583+0.10%0.002545-1.36%0.0302✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002707+0.25%0.00258-4.44%0.0426✗0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002757+0.43%0.0027-1.64%0.0214✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.00262+0.59%0.002745+5.37%0.0386✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002887+0.94%0.002605-8.92%0.0834✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002756+1.32%0.00286+5.15%0.0389✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002665+1.52%0.00272+3.62%0.0271✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.00272+1.69%0.002625-1.87%0.0220✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002793+1.75%0.002675-2.55%0.0488✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002679+1.67%0.002745+4.17%0.0227✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002923+1.49%0.002635-8.51%0.0882✗0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002957+0.91%0.00288-1.71%0.0729✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003226+0.50%0.00293-8.72%0.0951✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003043+0.60%0.00321+6.12%0.0681✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002574+0.56%0.003025+18.16%0.1471✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002559+0.53%0.00256+0.59%0.0077✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002791+0.22%0.002545-8.62%0.0972✗0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002851+0.38%0.002785-1.94%0.0067✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002691+0.22%0.00284+5.77%0.0395✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002709+0.16%0.002685-0.74%0.0149✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00287+0.17%0.002705-5.58%0.0539✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003065+0.32%0.002865-6.22%0.0834✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.00297+0.52%0.003055+3.38%0.0195✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003058+0.59%0.002955-2.80%0.0183✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003047+0.23%0.00304+0.00%0.0740✗1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003084-0.52%0.00304-1.94%0.0758✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.003013-0.89%0.0031+1.97%0.0612✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003198-0.98%0.00304-5.88%0.0545✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.003024-0.51%0.00323+6.25%0.0361✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003066-0.44%0.00304-1.30%0.0054✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002898-0.93%0.00308+5.30%0.0602✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002892-1.12%0.002925+0.00%0.0197✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003153-1.15%0.002925-8.31%0.0754✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002908-1.25%0.00319+8.32%0.0939✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003373-1.53%0.002945-14.01%0.1344✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002999-1.36%0.003425+12.66%0.1339✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003047-1.38%0.00304-1.62%0.0024✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00326-1.51%0.00309-6.65%0.0536✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003693-0.85%0.00331-11.14%0.1102✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004831-2.98%0.003725-25.20%0.2598✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002961-0.97%0.00498+66.56%0.5212✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003174-0.20%0.00299-5.97%0.0583✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.00328-0.29%0.00318-3.34%0.0312✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003242-0.24%0.00329+1.23%0.0165✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003128-0.07%0.00325+3.83%0.0382✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003179-1.11%0.00313-2.64%0.0212✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003444-0.17%0.003215-6.81%0.0659✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003625-0.14%0.00345-4.96%0.0492✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003646-0.12%0.00363-0.55%0.0038✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003783+0.07%0.00365-3.44%0.0423✗-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003695-0.01%0.00378+2.30%0.0266✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003691+0.04%0.003695+0.14%0.0016✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00384+0.13%0.00369-3.78%0.0431✗-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.004009+0.23%0.003835-4.13%0.0481✗-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003992+0.30%0.004+0.50%0.0005✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003888+0.22%0.00398+2.58%0.0273✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004117+0.16%0.00388-5.60%0.0575✗-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004072+0.18%0.00411+1.11%0.0088✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004217+0.06%0.004065-3.56%0.0341✗-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004322+0.05%0.004215-2.43%0.0248✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004536+0.13%0.00432-4.64%0.0528✗-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.0037+0.28%0.00453+22.76%0.2013✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004106+0.15%0.00369-10.00%0.1028✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004255+0.23%0.0041-3.42%0.0400✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004366+0.25%0.004245-2.53%0.0283✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.00473+0.22%0.004355-7.73%0.0844✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005343+0.24%0.00472-11.44%0.1203✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004936+0.32%0.00533+8.33%0.0806✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006262+0.35%0.00492-21.15%0.2478✗-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007455+0.33%0.00624-16.02%0.1822✗-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008133+0.29%0.00743-8.38%0.0892✗-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007824+0.30%0.00811+3.97%0.0375✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008286+0.26%0.0078-5.63%0.0586✗-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008578+0.21%0.008265-3.45%0.0341✗-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007926+0.20%0.00856+8.22%0.0830✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008587-0.15%0.00791-8.02%0.0782✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009058-0.35%0.0086-5.39%0.0578✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007104-0.08%0.00909+27.85%0.2498✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007802-0.24%0.00711-9.08%0.0952✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.008059-0.50%0.00782-3.46%0.0305✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007946-0.62%0.0081+1.31%0.0207✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007834-0.58%0.007995+1.46%0.0158✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008542-0.79%0.00788-8.48%0.0880✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008908-0.91%0.00861-4.23%0.0405✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008606-0.96%0.00899+3.45%0.0472✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009437-0.98%0.00869-8.81%0.0875✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009052-1.02%0.00953+4.21%0.0553✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008841-1.00%0.009145+2.41%0.0367✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009611-1.02%0.00893-8.03%0.0824✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.01007-1.09%0.00971-4.62%0.0423✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009447-1.18%0.01018+6.49%0.0719✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008313-1.03%0.00956+13.81%0.1424✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009344-1.33%0.0084-11.30%0.1018✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007438-0.70%0.00947+26.44%0.2462✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007358-0.57%0.00749+1.22%0.0177✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007501-0.52%0.0074-1.86%0.0026✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00653+0.00%0.00754+15.47%0.1426✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.00719-0.14%0.00653-9.31%0.1047✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007806-0.30%0.0072-8.05%0.0826✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008091+0.14%0.00783-3.09%0.0140✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007918+0.35%0.00808+2.41%0.0190✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008825-0.17%0.00789-10.75%0.1371✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009073-0.18%0.00884-2.75%0.0274✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009694-0.57%0.00909-6.77%0.0762✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012215-2.52%0.00975-22.19%0.3043✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009293-0.98%0.01253+33.51%0.2707✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008831-0.89%0.009385+5.33%0.0586✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010729-2.47%0.00891-19.00%0.1815✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007298+0.12%0.011+50.89%0.4088✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007526+0.01%0.00729-3.12%0.0389✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007656-0.18%0.007525-1.89%0.0311✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008864-0.73%0.00767-14.11%0.1506✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009867-0.98%0.00893-10.39%0.0989✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010534-1.09%0.009965-6.43%0.0550✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012039-1.11%0.01065-12.53%0.1215✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013612-1.58%0.012175-11.97%0.1160✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.01301-1.52%0.01383+4.69%0.0613✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017337-2.08%0.01321-25.39%0.2711✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019832-3.49%0.017705-13.84%0.1132✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016996-2.55%0.02055+17.83%0.1917✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.0177-2.85%0.01744-4.28%0.0122✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021456-5.44%0.01822-19.70%0.1606✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.016515-3.93%0.02269+32.00%0.3281✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020018-8.26%0.01719-21.22%0.1619✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006456-4.85%0.02182+221.59%1.2347✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004253-3.33%0.006785+54.20%0.4874✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002447+0.30%0.0044+80.33%0.5952✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002429-0.06%0.00244+0.41%0.0231✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002374-0.24%0.00243+2.10%0.0143✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002266-0.16%0.00238+4.85%0.0455✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002237-0.14%0.00227+1.34%0.0429✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002349-0.26%0.00224-4.88%0.0538✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002289-0.47%0.002355+2.39%0.0157✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002395-0.62%0.0023-4.56%0.0563✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002463-0.70%0.00241-2.82%0.0201✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002404-0.67%0.00248+2.48%0.0258✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002621-0.90%0.00242-8.51%0.1044✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002718-0.98%0.002645-3.64%0.0344✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002919-1.05%0.002745-6.95%0.0542✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.00289-1.03%0.00295+1.03%0.0341✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003082-1.23%0.00292-6.41%0.0373✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002713-1.34%0.00312+13.45%0.1270✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003234-1.09%0.00275-15.90%0.1646✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003323-1.09%0.00327-2.68%0.0059✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003408-1.08%0.00336-2.47%0.0150✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.00323-1.23%0.003445+5.35%0.0416✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003511-1.36%0.00327-8.15%0.0773✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003491-1.52%0.00356+0.42%0.0064✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003426-1.41%0.003545+2.01%0.0592✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003474-1.60%0.003475-1.56%0.0180✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003768-1.88%0.00353-8.07%0.0909✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003546-1.64%0.00384+6.52%0.0753✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003521-1.65%0.003605+0.70%0.0148✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003471-1.95%0.00358+1.13%0.0346✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003948-1.68%0.00354-11.83%0.1647✓1.10
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