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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s2

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
221
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
76.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5998
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0541
actual -0.2476

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002663-2.63%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002653-2.47%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002653-2.63%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002965-3.59%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002622-2.70%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.00262-2.78%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002663-3.01%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002677-3.18%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002761-2.61%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002681-2.52%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002748-2.71%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002759-2.85%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002714-2.73%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002672-2.67%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002809-2.79%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002862-2.65%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003145-3.22%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003041-2.83%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002941-2.95%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002852-2.67%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002923-2.90%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002875-2.88%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002836-2.72%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002916-2.80%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003048-2.93%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003298-3.58%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002825-2.40%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002743-2.05%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002783-1.99%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002917-0.94%–pending––0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002897+0.05%0.002735-5.53%0.0108✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.00247-1.98%0.00272+7.94%0.0777✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002578-1.98%0.002725+3.61%0.0491✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002826-2.40%0.003075+6.22%0.0721✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.00259-2.64%0.002695+1.32%0.0133✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002346-2.27%0.002695+12.29%0.0819✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002397-2.37%0.002745+11.81%0.0628✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002494-1.99%0.002765+8.64%0.0649✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002521-2.28%0.002835+9.88%0.0486✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002645-2.05%0.00275+1.85%0.0114✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002703-1.53%0.002825+2.91%0.0225✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002573-1.21%0.00284+9.02%0.0263✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002869+0.31%0.00279-2.45%0.0732✗0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002737+0.63%0.002745+0.92%0.0308✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002656+1.18%0.00289+10.10%0.0424✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.00273+2.07%0.00294+9.91%0.0193✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002835+3.28%0.00325+18.40%0.0733✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002726+3.46%0.00313+18.79%0.0697✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.003024+4.99%0.00303+5.21%0.0309✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.003022+3.14%0.00293+0.00%0.1140✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003303+2.89%0.00301-6.23%0.1782✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003168+4.71%0.00296-2.15%0.1289✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002657+3.79%0.002915+13.87%0.0012✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002667+4.78%0.003+17.88%0.0549✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002931+5.26%0.00314+12.75%0.0110✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.003076+8.31%0.00342+20.42%0.0571✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.00291+8.38%0.002895+7.82%0.0625✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002935+8.49%0.0028+3.51%0.1135✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003134+9.40%0.00284-0.87%0.1589✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.00332+8.68%0.002945-3.60%0.2229✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003201+8.33%0.002895-2.03%0.2149✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003339+9.83%0.00252-17.11%0.3160✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003019-0.68%0.00263-13.49%0.2470✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.00294-5.17%0.002895-6.61%0.1975✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002854-6.13%0.00266-12.50%0.2861✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.00302-6.50%0.0024-25.70%0.4289✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002905-4.44%0.002455-19.24%0.3808✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002952-4.16%0.002545-17.37%0.3909✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002738-6.39%0.00258-11.79%0.2821✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.00272-7.01%0.0027-7.69%0.2425✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.002954-7.38%0.002745-13.95%0.2585✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002728-7.38%0.002605-11.54%0.1820✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003119-8.93%0.00286-16.50%0.1287✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002799-7.94%0.00272-10.53%0.0412✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002844-7.98%0.002625-15.05%0.0807✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003033-8.38%0.002675-19.18%0.1278✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003535-5.10%0.002745-26.31%0.2672✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.00456-8.43%0.002635-47.09%0.5577✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.00276-7.69%0.00288-3.68%0.0778✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003032-4.66%0.00293-7.86%0.0068✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003127-4.95%0.00321-2.43%0.0508✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003083-5.15%0.003025-6.92%0.0169✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.002996-4.30%0.00256-18.21%0.1227✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.002959-7.96%0.002545-20.84%0.1152✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003287-4.73%0.002785-19.28%0.1201✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003477-4.22%0.00284-21.76%0.1478✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003501-4.08%0.002685-26.44%0.2173✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.00368-2.63%0.002705-28.44%0.2603✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003571-3.35%0.002865-22.46%0.1713✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003572-3.19%0.003055-17.21%0.1230✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003743-2.39%0.002955-22.95%0.1995✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003928-1.80%0.00304-24.00%0.2169✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003917-1.58%0.00304-23.62%0.2317✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.0038-2.07%0.0031-20.10%0.1911✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.00402-2.20%0.00304-26.03%0.2794✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003978-2.14%0.00323-20.54%0.2093✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004101-2.71%0.00304-27.88%0.3025✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004207-2.62%0.00308-28.70%0.3140✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004441-1.96%0.002925-35.43%0.4251✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003591-2.68%0.002925-20.73%0.2111✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003956-3.51%0.00319-22.20%0.2135✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004153-2.17%0.002945-30.62%0.3441✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.00427-1.96%0.003425-21.35%0.2197✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004637-1.75%0.00304-35.59%0.4189✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005244-1.61%0.00309-42.03%0.5225✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004848-1.46%0.00331-32.72%0.3713✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.00616-1.29%0.003725-40.30%0.4973✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007323-1.44%0.00498-32.97%0.3818✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007988-1.51%0.00299-63.13%0.9812✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007691-1.40%0.00318-59.23%0.8820✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008152-1.37%0.00329-60.19%0.9042✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008484-0.88%0.00325-62.03%0.9558✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007882-0.35%0.00313-60.43%0.9124✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008779+2.08%0.003215-62.62%0.9884✗-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009026-0.70%0.00345-62.05%0.9489✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006985-1.76%0.00363-48.95%0.6343✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007642-2.28%0.00365-53.32%0.7204✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007847-3.12%0.00378-53.33%0.7050✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007712-3.54%0.003695-53.78%0.7135✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007558-4.09%0.00369-53.17%0.7064✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008172-5.09%0.003835-55.46%0.7462✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008482-5.65%0.004-55.51%0.7414✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008182-5.85%0.00398-54.20%0.7046✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008979-5.78%0.00388-59.29%0.8340✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.0086-5.96%0.00411-55.06%0.7322✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008405-5.88%0.004065-54.48%0.7171✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.00914-5.87%0.004215-56.59%0.7772✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009562-6.07%0.00432-57.56%0.8040✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.008911-6.79%0.00453-52.62%0.6830✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007754-7.69%0.00369-56.07%0.7461✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008748-7.62%0.0041-56.71%0.7661✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006853-8.50%0.004245-43.32%0.4780✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006753-8.74%0.004355-41.15%0.4376✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006872-8.86%0.00472-37.40%0.3619✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.00607-7.05%0.00533-18.38%0.1225✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006618-8.08%0.00492-31.67%0.3015✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007156-8.61%0.00624-20.31%0.1368✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007421-8.16%0.00743-8.04%0.0253✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007311-7.33%0.00811+2.79%0.1211✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008165-7.64%0.0078-11.76%0.0521✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008397-7.62%0.008265-9.08%0.0247✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008958-8.13%0.00856-12.21%0.0693✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011048-11.82%0.00791-36.87%0.5369✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008469-9.77%0.0086-8.36%0.1909✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008053-9.62%0.00909+2.02%0.0533✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009609-12.64%0.00711-35.36%0.4631✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006721-7.81%0.00782+7.27%0.0087✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006951-7.63%0.0081+7.64%0.0139✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007074-7.77%0.007995+4.24%0.0413✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008123-9.04%0.00788-11.76%0.1048✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009008-9.60%0.00861-13.60%0.1012✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009622-9.65%0.00899-15.59%0.0902✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011039-9.33%0.00869-28.62%0.2521✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012499-9.62%0.00953-31.09%0.3017✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012028-8.95%0.009145-30.77%0.3017✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015945-9.94%0.00893-49.56%0.5958✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.018203-11.42%0.00971-52.75%0.6043✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.015732-9.79%0.01018-41.63%0.3858✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.016533-9.26%0.00956-47.53%0.4998✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.01988-12.39%0.0084-62.98%0.8175✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015531-9.65%0.00947-44.91%0.3993✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.018074-17.17%0.00749-65.67%0.7853✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006054-10.78%0.0074+9.06%0.4679✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004118-6.42%0.00754+71.36%0.9853✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002548+4.44%0.00653+167.62%1.3678✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002388-1.74%0.0072+196.30%1.4647✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002323-2.38%0.00783+228.99%1.5784✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.00221-2.66%0.00808+255.95%1.7121✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002183-2.52%0.00789+252.23%1.7426✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.00228-3.18%0.00884+275.37%1.5851✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002207-4.04%0.00909+295.22%1.6276✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002291-4.93%0.00975+304.56%1.6067✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002353-5.11%0.01253+405.24%1.7672✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.00229-5.37%0.009385+287.81%1.4696✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002486-6.00%0.00891+236.86%1.3096✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002577-6.12%0.011+300.73%1.4827✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002764-6.29%0.00729+147.12%1.0064✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002741-6.12%0.007525+157.71%1.0497✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.002936-5.91%0.00767+145.83%0.9969✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002577-6.28%0.00893+224.73%1.2477✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.00305-6.72%0.009965+204.74%1.1899✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.00314-6.54%0.01065+216.96%1.2418✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003207-6.90%0.012175+253.41%1.3690✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003027-7.42%0.01383+322.94%1.5043✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003287-7.68%0.01321+271.07%1.3710✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.00327-7.77%0.017705+399.44%1.6521✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.0032-7.91%0.02055+491.37%1.8442✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003249-7.95%0.01744+394.05%1.6764✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003492-9.06%0.01822+374.48%1.6132✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003276-9.13%0.02269+529.40%1.8801✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003255-9.07%0.01719+380.17%1.5751✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003201-9.58%0.02182+516.38%1.8562✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003614-9.99%0.006785+68.99%0.4888✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003676-10.66%0.0044+6.93%0.0544✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.00362-10.51%0.00244-39.68%0.5274✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003469-9.89%0.00243-36.88%0.4842✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003618-10.22%0.00238-40.94%0.5517✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.003858-11.41%0.00227-47.88%0.6477✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003447-8.92%0.00224-40.82%0.6005✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003645-10.88%0.002355-42.42%0.5974✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003735-11.06%0.0023-45.24%0.6577✓1.01
2026-04-03oos0.0041250.003727-9.66%0.00241-41.58%0.5962✓1.00
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