SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s2
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2983
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0790
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.084305 | -7.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.084579 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.085976 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.087685 | -4.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.088438 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.087578 | -6.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.087884 | -7.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.081196 | -8.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.082563 | -8.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.094235 | -9.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.091909 | -8.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.091949 | -8.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.091643 | -8.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.090708 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.090695 | -8.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.089577 | -7.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.092015 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.079991 | -5.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.087639 | -5.62% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.085337 | -6.01% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.087888 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.08891 | -6.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.101382 | -6.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.118416 | -6.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.115337 | -6.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.144245 | -8.82% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.117457 | -8.17% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.097634 | -7.39% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.096239 | -7.47% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.096164 | -7.43% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.089529 | -5.58% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0295 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.098534 | -4.19% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1412 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.104902 | -7.27% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0910 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.110129 | -7.38% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1646 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.110809 | -7.35% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1390 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.119373 | -7.68% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.3070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.128211 | -8.71% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3673 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.119775 | -7.73% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3834 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.140087 | -10.05% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4863 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.139648 | -10.83% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3774 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.157064 | -15.35% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.158624 | -19.11% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.5395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.147527 | -20.65% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.4682 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.121936 | -10.80% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.120725 | -11.99% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.2388 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.108449 | -7.69% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1697 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.097681 | -5.09% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0557 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.074504 | -3.22% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.073618 | -2.67% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1499 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071823 | -2.00% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.1925 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.067837 | -3.26% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2338 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.067757 | -2.90% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2476 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.067771 | -2.43% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4060 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.069293 | -3.01% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.069384 | -3.18% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5122 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.071683 | -3.95% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7099 | ✗ | 1.00 |