PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s2

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +7d

assessed

161

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

63.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0916

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0078

actual -0.0041

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.616931	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.608852	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.623459	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.621926	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.60697	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.641776	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.587571	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.581716	-0.48%	0.62925	+7.65%	0.0694	✗	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.615712	-1.23%	0.6195	-0.62%	0.0074	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.61093	-0.94%	0.63415	+2.83%	0.0366	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.663688	-2.07%	0.6322	-6.71%	0.0384	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.66563	-2.03%	0.6148	-9.52%	0.0693	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.648531	-1.90%	0.6534	-1.16%	0.0144	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.631483	-1.50%	0.59205	-7.65%	0.0673	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.645506	-1.96%	0.58455	-11.22%	0.0880	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.644493	-2.02%	0.62335	-5.23%	0.0177	✓	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.726543	-1.96%	0.6167	-16.78%	0.1381	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.796516	-2.13%	0.6777	-16.73%	0.1449	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.704164	-1.96%	0.67945	-5.40%	0.0259	✓	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.732322	-1.96%	0.6611	-11.50%	0.0920	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.688546	-1.92%	0.6411	-8.68%	0.0544	✓	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.702346	-2.04%	0.6584	-8.17%	0.0631	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.666888	-1.94%	0.65775	-3.29%	0.0241	✓	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.656723	-2.08%	0.74105	+10.50%	0.1087	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.641981	-2.15%	0.81385	+24.04%	0.2247	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.607058	-1.71%	0.71825	+16.29%	0.1662	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.648057	-2.04%	0.747	+12.92%	0.1395	✗	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.608699	-1.63%	0.702	+13.45%	0.1397	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.571603	-1.43%	0.71695	+23.63%	0.2318	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.572255	-1.06%	0.6801	+17.58%	0.1899	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.568679	-0.90%	0.67065	+16.87%	0.1883	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.507621	-0.96%	0.6561	+28.01%	0.2349	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.532091	-1.18%	0.61765	+14.71%	0.1286	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.531853	-1.23%	0.66155	+22.85%	0.1973	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.508135	-1.39%	0.6188	+20.09%	0.1464	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.507968	-1.44%	0.5799	+12.51%	0.0820	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.481321	-1.20%	0.5784	+18.73%	0.1312	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.490486	-1.26%	0.57385	+15.52%	0.1165	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.469488	-1.08%	0.51255	+8.00%	0.0662	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.474922	-1.20%	0.53845	+12.01%	0.1060	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.482838	-1.47%	0.5385	+9.89%	0.0916	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.482974	-1.89%	0.5153	+4.67%	0.0657	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.469848	-1.76%	0.5154	+7.77%	0.1032	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.442263	+0.95%	0.48715	+11.20%	0.1091	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.456858	+1.86%	0.49675	+10.76%	0.0875	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.437598	+3.45%	0.4746	+12.20%	0.0983	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.432103	+4.02%	0.4807	+15.72%	0.1192	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.429607	+4.35%	0.49005	+19.03%	0.1431	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.426575	+4.37%	0.4923	+20.46%	0.1659	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.422556	+4.05%	0.47825	+17.77%	0.1203	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.428129	+3.44%	0.4381	+5.85%	0.0193	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.425868	+3.23%	0.4485	+8.71%	0.0500	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.427714	+2.56%	0.423	+1.43%	0.0211	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.435138	+2.37%	0.4154	-2.27%	0.0520	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.429061	+2.13%	0.4117	-2.00%	0.0476	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.425865	+2.37%	0.4087	-1.75%	0.0447	✗	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.416112	+1.89%	0.4061	-0.56%	0.0181	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.42571	+1.35%	0.4139	-1.46%	0.0239	✗	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.451037	+0.79%	0.41255	-7.81%	0.0878	✗	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.411046	+1.07%	0.41705	+2.54%	0.0147	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.397193	+1.17%	0.42505	+8.27%	0.0646	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.425345	+1.13%	0.4201	-0.12%	0.0113	✗	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.400212	+0.71%	0.416	+4.68%	0.0297	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.396287	-0.36%	0.4084	+2.69%	0.0150	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.384987	-0.75%	0.42005	+8.29%	0.0746	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.366196	-0.63%	0.4475	+21.44%	0.1817	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.364475	-0.84%	0.4067	+10.65%	0.0909	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.373342	-0.79%	0.3926	+4.33%	0.0294	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.36669	-0.68%	0.4206	+13.92%	0.1127	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.375478	-0.68%	0.3974	+5.12%	0.0451	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.376219	-0.71%	0.3977	+4.96%	0.0461	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.388425	-0.82%	0.3879	-0.96%	0.0041	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.397522	-0.81%	0.3685	-8.05%	0.0775	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.405541	-0.82%	0.36755	-10.11%	0.0921	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.390021	-0.72%	0.3763	-4.21%	0.0297	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.390518	-0.68%	0.3692	-6.10%	0.0519	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.391915	-0.77%	0.37805	-4.28%	0.0336	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.391626	-0.70%	0.3789	-3.93%	0.0287	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.398475	-0.73%	0.39165	-2.43%	0.0153	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.411098	-0.89%	0.40075	-3.39%	0.0273	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.435308	-1.11%	0.4089	-7.11%	0.0679	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.439404	-1.26%	0.39285	-11.72%	0.1195	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.430335	-1.21%	0.3932	-9.73%	0.0975	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.445415	-1.29%	0.39495	-12.48%	0.1188	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.428575	-1.31%	0.3944	-9.18%	0.0844	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.420965	-1.34%	0.4014	-5.93%	0.0478	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.394668	-0.95%	0.4148	+4.10%	0.0501	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.3756	-0.66%	0.4402	+16.42%	0.1630	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.382722	-0.82%	0.445	+15.31%	0.1546	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.382197	-0.84%	0.4356	+13.01%	0.1339	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.377244	-0.74%	0.45125	+18.73%	0.1800	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.363014	-0.31%	0.43425	+19.25%	0.1858	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341226	-0.02%	0.4267	+25.02%	0.2321	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.324489	+0.04%	0.39845	+22.85%	0.2092	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.3496	-0.09%	0.3781	+8.06%	0.0765	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366037	-0.14%	0.3859	+5.28%	0.0543	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.39278	-0.51%	0.38545	-2.37%	0.0195	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.391955	-0.42%	0.38005	-3.44%	0.0353	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.386485	-0.20%	0.36415	-5.97%	0.0645	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.38368	-0.11%	0.3413	-11.14%	0.1226	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.38927	-0.38%	0.32435	-16.99%	0.1948	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.414036	-0.40%	0.3499	-15.83%	0.1717	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.415541	-0.37%	0.36655	-12.12%	0.1291	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.412877	-0.32%	0.3948	-4.68%	0.0439	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.391964	-0.26%	0.3936	+0.15%	0.0024	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.398372	-0.28%	0.38725	-3.07%	0.0360	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.413497	-0.24%	0.3841	-7.33%	0.0785	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405167	-0.11%	0.39075	-3.66%	0.0309	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.391281	+0.07%	0.4157	+6.32%	0.0601	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.419755	-0.08%	0.4171	-0.71%	0.0085	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.4239	-0.12%	0.4142	-2.40%	0.0283	✓	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.415802	-0.13%	0.393	-5.61%	0.0613	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.415324	-0.16%	0.3995	-3.97%	0.0452	✓	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417033	-0.11%	0.4145	-0.72%	0.0191	✓	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.452247	-0.56%	0.4056	-10.82%	0.1144	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.456341	-0.77%	0.391	-14.98%	0.1605	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.456826	-0.66%	0.4201	-8.64%	0.0885	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.425908	-0.44%	0.4244	-0.79%	0.0068	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.432399	-0.51%	0.41635	-4.20%	0.0402	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.456774	-0.46%	0.416	-9.35%	0.0927	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.499487	-0.51%	0.4175	-16.84%	0.1820	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.537493	-0.75%	0.4548	-16.02%	0.1730	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.546111	-0.89%	0.4599	-16.53%	0.1775	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.552922	-1.00%	0.45985	-17.66%	0.1909	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.558184	-1.06%	0.4278	-24.17%	0.2714	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.594077	-1.48%	0.4346	-27.93%	0.3156	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.546728	-0.94%	0.4589	-16.85%	0.1723	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.552631	-0.92%	0.50205	-9.99%	0.0936	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.578327	-1.10%	0.54155	-7.39%	0.0644	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.576115	-1.10%	0.551	-5.41%	0.0435	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.585059	-1.32%	0.5585	-5.80%	0.0463	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.606506	-1.67%	0.56415	-8.54%	0.0723	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.547832	-1.04%	0.603	+8.92%	0.0964	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.577573	-1.51%	0.5519	-5.88%	0.0532	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.573325	-1.51%	0.55775	-4.18%	0.0375	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.592971	-1.61%	0.58475	-2.98%	0.0208	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.623532	-1.98%	0.5825	-8.43%	0.0733	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.628717	-2.39%	0.5929	-7.95%	0.0684	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.630167	-2.57%	0.6168	-4.64%	0.0283	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.600476	-2.11%	0.5536	-9.75%	0.0798	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.59686	-2.09%	0.5864	-3.81%	0.0015	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.594356	-1.84%	0.5821	-3.86%	0.0178	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.621971	-1.54%	0.6027	-4.59%	0.0317	✗	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.616631	-1.43%	0.6361	+1.69%	0.1362	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.609728	-1.35%	0.6441	+4.21%	0.1907	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.601121	-1.30%	0.6468	+6.20%	0.1983	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.617198	-1.47%	0.6134	-2.08%	0.0898	✗	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.628575	-1.63%	0.6096	-4.60%	0.1182	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.599206	-1.56%	0.6055	-0.53%	0.1393	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.606328	-1.79%	0.6317	+2.32%	0.1209	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.606118	-1.81%	0.62555	+1.34%	0.0767	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.639513	-1.98%	0.6181	-5.26%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.626891	-1.85%	0.60905	-4.64%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.645892	-2.17%	0.6264	-5.12%	0.0228	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.617973	-2.16%	0.639	+1.17%	0.0751	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.564555	-1.80%	0.6087	+5.88%	0.0876	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.621346	-2.10%	0.6174	-2.73%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.705388	-2.33%	0.6173	-14.53%	0.1278	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.74484	-2.38%	0.6524	-14.50%	0.1137	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.697299	-2.04%	0.6387	-10.27%	0.0410	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.727296	-1.76%	0.6602	-10.82%	0.0523	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.689401	-1.85%	0.6316	-10.08%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.753063	-1.80%	0.5749	-25.04%	0.2227	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.78668	-1.71%	0.6347	-20.70%	0.1544	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.891458	-2.12%	0.7222	-20.71%	0.1505	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.970195	-3.29%	0.763	-23.94%	0.2081	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.836149	-3.48%	0.7118	-17.83%	0.1468	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.620524	-1.85%	0.7403	+17.10%	0.1632	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.