PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s2

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +30d

assessed

138

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

63.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1950

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0098

actual +0.0189

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.601841	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.594263	-4.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.608131	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.606688	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.589628	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.625931	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.568657	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.562239	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.601523	-3.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.594449	-3.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.656612	-3.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.657673	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.639908	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.621441	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.639856	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.640609	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.72288	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.794883	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.700207	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.728511	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.685222	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.699953	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.663808	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.655138	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.642219	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.604215	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.647218	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.605504	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.568952	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.569819	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.568195	-0.99%	0.62925	+9.65%	0.1312	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.503809	-1.71%	0.6195	+20.87%	0.1949	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.528143	-1.91%	0.63415	+17.77%	0.1790	✗	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.528116	-1.93%	0.6322	+17.40%	0.1724	✗	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.504495	-2.10%	0.6148	+19.31%	0.1654	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.504352	-2.14%	0.6534	+26.78%	0.2256	✗	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.478147	-1.85%	0.59205	+21.53%	0.1805	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.488154	-1.73%	0.58455	+17.67%	0.1634	✗	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.466773	-1.65%	0.62335	+31.34%	0.2585	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.472529	-1.70%	0.6167	+28.29%	0.2443	✗	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.480987	-1.85%	0.6777	+38.29%	0.3126	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.483003	-1.89%	0.67945	+38.02%	0.3123	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.47125	-1.46%	0.6611	+38.23%	0.3181	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.438836	+0.17%	0.6411	+46.34%	0.3655	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.452913	+0.98%	0.6584	+46.80%	0.3573	✓	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.432819	+2.32%	0.65775	+55.50%	0.3947	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.427248	+2.85%	0.74105	+78.39%	0.5230	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.426136	+3.51%	0.81385	+97.68%	0.6171	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.428082	+4.74%	0.71825	+75.74%	0.5017	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.41997	+3.42%	0.747	+83.94%	0.5508	✓	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.429551	+3.78%	0.702	+69.61%	0.4656	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.43157	+4.61%	0.71695	+73.78%	0.4917	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.43507	+4.32%	0.6801	+63.07%	0.4249	✓	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.445694	+4.86%	0.67065	+57.78%	0.3909	✓	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.442032	+5.22%	0.6561	+56.18%	0.3728	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.444945	+6.96%	0.61765	+48.47%	0.3134	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.436453	+6.87%	0.66155	+61.99%	0.3982	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.449093	+6.91%	0.6188	+47.32%	0.2995	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.480469	+7.37%	0.5799	+29.59%	0.1713	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.436828	+7.41%	0.5784	+42.22%	0.2581	✓	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.421328	+7.32%	0.57385	+46.17%	0.2843	✓	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.454525	+8.07%	0.51255	+21.86%	0.1137	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.412939	+3.91%	0.53845	+35.49%	0.2553	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.39304	-1.17%	0.5385	+35.40%	0.2971	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.382613	-1.36%	0.5153	+32.84%	0.2870	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.364277	-1.15%	0.5154	+39.86%	0.3316	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.362827	-1.29%	0.48715	+32.54%	0.2784	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.371685	-1.23%	0.49675	+32.01%	0.2676	✗	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.365155	-1.10%	0.4746	+28.55%	0.2399	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.373696	-1.15%	0.4807	+27.15%	0.2355	✗	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.374479	-1.17%	0.49005	+29.33%	0.2481	✗	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.386425	-1.33%	0.4923	+25.70%	0.2132	✗	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.395204	-1.38%	0.47825	+19.34%	0.1528	✗	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.402926	-1.46%	0.4381	+7.14%	0.0461	✗	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.387643	-1.33%	0.4485	+14.17%	0.1048	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.388074	-1.30%	0.423	+7.58%	0.0561	✗	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.389474	-1.39%	0.4154	+5.18%	0.0248	✗	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.389073	-1.35%	0.4117	+4.39%	0.0074	✓	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.395834	-1.39%	0.4087	+1.82%	0.0253	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.408344	-1.56%	0.4061	-2.10%	0.0561	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.432182	-1.82%	0.4139	-5.97%	0.0934	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.436319	-1.95%	0.41255	-7.29%	0.1062	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.427344	-1.90%	0.41705	-4.26%	0.0719	✓	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.442477	-1.94%	0.42505	-5.81%	0.0783	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.426123	-1.87%	0.4201	-3.26%	0.0369	✓	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.419132	-1.77%	0.416	-2.51%	0.0257	✓	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.392056	-1.60%	0.4084	+2.50%	0.0196	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.373188	-1.30%	0.42005	+11.09%	0.0907	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.380437	-1.42%	0.4475	+15.96%	0.1298	✗	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.380101	-1.39%	0.4067	+5.51%	0.0375	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.37565	-1.16%	0.3926	+3.30%	0.0157	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.360717	-0.94%	0.4206	+15.50%	0.1204	✗	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.339008	-0.67%	0.3974	+16.44%	0.1395	✗	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.32266	-0.52%	0.3977	+22.61%	0.1992	✗	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.347641	-0.65%	0.3879	+10.86%	0.1096	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.363907	-0.72%	0.3685	+0.53%	0.0135	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.390469	-1.10%	0.36755	-6.90%	0.0567	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.389635	-1.01%	0.3763	-4.40%	0.0322	✓	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.384086	-0.82%	0.3692	-4.66%	0.0331	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.381274	-0.74%	0.37805	-1.58%	0.0027	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.387075	-0.94%	0.3789	-3.03%	0.0262	✓	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.411344	-1.05%	0.39165	-5.79%	0.0483	✓	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.412798	-1.03%	0.40075	-3.92%	0.0301	✓	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.410203	-0.97%	0.4089	-1.28%	0.0058	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.389684	-0.84%	0.39285	-0.04%	0.0029	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.396144	-0.84%	0.3932	-1.58%	0.0156	✓	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.411207	-0.79%	0.39495	-4.72%	0.0430	✓	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.403052	-0.63%	0.3944	-2.76%	0.0235	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.389075	-0.49%	0.4014	+2.66%	0.0299	✗	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.417275	-0.67%	0.4148	-1.26%	0.0072	✓	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.421496	-0.68%	0.4402	+3.72%	0.0403	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.413754	-0.62%	0.445	+6.88%	0.0691	✗	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.413605	-0.58%	0.4356	+4.71%	0.0438	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.415833	-0.40%	0.45125	+8.08%	0.0651	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.450998	-0.84%	0.43425	-4.52%	0.0432	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.456218	-0.80%	0.4267	-7.22%	0.0732	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.455847	-0.87%	0.39845	-13.35%	0.1402	✓	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.424976	-0.66%	0.3781	-11.62%	0.1237	✓	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.431718	-0.66%	0.3859	-11.21%	0.1182	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.455292	-0.79%	0.38545	-16.01%	0.1689	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.496283	-1.15%	0.38005	-24.30%	0.2653	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.53293	-1.59%	0.36415	-32.76%	0.3776	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.541376	-1.75%	0.3413	-38.06%	0.4567	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.547573	-1.96%	0.32435	-41.92%	0.5222	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.552771	-2.02%	0.3499	-37.98%	0.4555	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.588409	-2.42%	0.36655	-39.21%	0.4716	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.540435	-2.08%	0.3948	-28.47%	0.3136	✓	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.546028	-2.10%	0.3936	-29.43%	0.3259	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.57108	-2.34%	0.38725	-33.78%	0.3876	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.568448	-2.41%	0.3841	-34.06%	0.3917	✓	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.576604	-2.75%	0.39075	-34.10%	0.3877	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.597145	-3.19%	0.4157	-32.60%	0.3624	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.538144	-2.79%	0.4171	-24.66%	0.2550	✓	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.566034	-3.47%	0.4142	-29.37%	0.3192	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.561557	-3.53%	0.393	-32.49%	0.3607	✓	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.580949	-3.61%	0.3995	-33.71%	0.3726	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.610809	-3.98%	0.4145	-34.84%	0.3878	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.614648	-4.57%	0.4056	-37.03%	0.4243	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.615972	-4.77%	0.391	-39.55%	0.4614	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.586798	-4.34%	0.4201	-31.51%	0.3297	✓	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.583694	-4.25%	0.4244	-30.38%	0.3093	✓	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.58283	-3.74%	0.41635	-31.24%	0.2961	✓	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.613409	-2.90%	0.416	-34.15%	0.2993	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.608239	-2.77%	0.4175	-33.26%	0.2163	✓	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.601423	-2.70%	0.4548	-26.42%	0.1355	✓	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.592607	-2.70%	0.4599	-24.49%	0.1109	✓	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.608717	-2.82%	0.45985	-26.59%	0.1421	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.620297	-2.93%	0.4278	-33.05%	0.1576	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.591188	-2.88%	0.4346	-28.60%	0.0687	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.600608	-2.72%	0.4589	-25.67%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.600188	-2.77%	0.50205	-18.67%	0.0275	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.633404	-2.91%	0.54155	-16.99%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.619703	-2.97%	0.551	-13.73%	0.0590	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.639768	-3.09%	0.5585	-15.40%	0.0527	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.611891	-3.12%	0.56415	-10.68%	0.1181	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.557559	-3.02%	0.603	+4.89%	0.2779	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.614985	-3.11%	0.5519	-13.05%	0.0690	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.698274	-3.31%	0.55775	-22.77%	0.0594	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.737796	-3.30%	0.58475	-23.36%	0.0683	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.690775	-2.95%	0.5825	-18.17%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.721825	-2.50%	0.5929	-19.91%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.683098	-2.75%	0.6168	-12.19%	0.1194	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.746841	-2.62%	0.5536	-27.81%	0.0634	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.781062	-2.42%	0.5864	-26.74%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.886555	-2.66%	0.5821	-36.09%	0.1336	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.96777	-3.53%	0.6027	-39.92%	0.2275	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.837929	-3.27%	0.6361	-26.57%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.616174	-2.53%	0.6441	+1.88%	0.3180	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.