PROS

Pharos · native · lstm_s2

token id: #473
symbol: PROS
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-28
predictions: 504

Track record at +1d

assessed

167

of 168 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0380

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.62925	0.626436	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.6195	0.617304	-0.35%	0.62925	+1.57%	0.0211	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.63415	0.63193	-0.35%	0.6195	-2.31%	0.0287	✓	0.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.6322	0.630021	-0.34%	0.63415	+0.31%	0.0079	✗	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.6148	0.613455	-0.22%	0.6322	+2.83%	0.0250	✗	0.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.6534	0.650552	-0.44%	0.6148	-5.91%	0.0556	✓	0.66
2026-10-15	oos	0.59205	0.591633	-0.07%	0.6534	+10.36%	0.1044	✗	0.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.58455	0.584597	+0.01%	0.59205	+1.28%	0.0082	✓	0.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.62335	0.62166	-0.27%	0.58455	-6.22%	0.0500	✓	0.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.6167	0.615751	-0.15%	0.62335	+1.08%	0.0021	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.6777	0.673135	-0.67%	0.6167	-9.00%	0.0758	✓	0.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.67945	0.675121	-0.64%	0.6777	-0.26%	0.0012	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.6611	0.657386	-0.56%	0.67945	+2.78%	0.0306	✗	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.6411	0.638713	-0.37%	0.6611	+3.12%	0.0289	✗	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.6584	0.65458	-0.58%	0.6411	-2.63%	0.0104	✓	0.54
2026-10-06	oos	0.65775	0.653668	-0.62%	0.6584	+0.10%	0.0217	✗	0.54
2026-10-05	oos	0.74105	0.736363	-0.63%	0.65775	-11.24%	0.1116	✓	0.54
2026-10-04	oos	0.81385	0.807186	-0.82%	0.74105	-8.95%	0.0811	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.71825	0.713768	-0.62%	0.81385	+13.31%	0.1220	✗	0.45
2026-10-02	oos	0.747	0.742211	-0.64%	0.71825	-3.85%	0.0340	✓	0.44
2026-10-01	oos	0.702	0.697615	-0.62%	0.747	+6.41%	0.0702	✗	0.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.71695	0.711645	-0.74%	0.702	-2.09%	0.0207	✓	0.46
2026-09-29	oos	0.6801	0.67568	-0.65%	0.71695	+5.42%	0.0597	✗	0.46
2026-09-28	oos	0.67065	0.665355	-0.79%	0.6801	+1.41%	0.0209	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.6561	0.650202	-0.90%	0.67065	+2.22%	0.0372	✗	0.52
2026-09-26	oos	0.61765	0.614414	-0.52%	0.6561	+6.23%	0.0654	✗	0.52
2026-09-25	oos	0.66155	0.65632	-0.79%	0.61765	-6.64%	0.0627	✓	0.52
2026-09-24	oos	0.6188	0.615837	-0.48%	0.66155	+6.91%	0.0734	✗	0.53
2026-09-23	oos	0.5799	0.577524	-0.41%	0.6188	+6.71%	0.0690	✗	0.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.5784	0.57688	-0.26%	0.5799	+0.26%	0.0174	✗	0.57
2026-09-21	oos	0.57385	0.572284	-0.27%	0.5784	+0.79%	0.0135	✗	0.63
2026-09-20	oos	0.51255	0.511682	-0.17%	0.57385	+11.96%	0.0794	✗	0.54
2026-09-19	oos	0.53845	0.537034	-0.26%	0.51255	-4.81%	0.0462	✓	0.53
2026-09-18	oos	0.5385	0.536895	-0.30%	0.53845	-0.01%	0.0005	✓	0.54
2026-09-17	oos	0.5153	0.513386	-0.37%	0.5385	+4.50%	0.0186	✗	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.5154	0.513346	-0.40%	0.5153	-0.02%	0.0025	✓	0.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.48715	0.485619	-0.31%	0.5154	+5.80%	0.0566	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.49675	0.494849	-0.38%	0.48715	-1.93%	0.0023	✓	0.40
2026-09-13	oos	0.4746	0.47322	-0.29%	0.49675	+4.67%	0.0416	✗	0.39
2026-09-12	oos	0.4807	0.478939	-0.37%	0.4746	-1.27%	0.0068	✓	0.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.49005	0.487387	-0.54%	0.4807	-1.91%	0.0141	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.4923	0.487857	-0.90%	0.49005	-0.46%	0.0013	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.47825	0.474002	-0.89%	0.4923	+2.94%	0.0466	✗	0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.4381	0.439756	+0.38%	0.47825	+9.16%	0.0846	✓	0.33
2026-09-07	oos	0.4485	0.4512	+0.60%	0.4381	-2.32%	0.0268	✗	0.33
2026-09-06	oos	0.423	0.427427	+1.05%	0.4485	+6.03%	0.0541	✓	0.38
2026-09-05	oos	0.4154	0.420155	+1.14%	0.423	+1.83%	0.0043	✓	0.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.4117	0.416501	+1.17%	0.4154	+0.90%	0.0034	✓	0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.4087	0.413196	+1.10%	0.4117	+0.73%	0.0038	✓	0.38
2026-09-02	oos	0.4061	0.409989	+0.96%	0.4087	+0.64%	0.0172	✗	0.28
2026-09-01	oos	0.4139	0.416938	+0.73%	0.4061	-1.88%	0.0260	✗	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.41255	0.41521	+0.64%	0.4139	+0.33%	0.0007	✓	0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.41705	0.418907	+0.45%	0.41255	-1.08%	0.0187	✗	0.29
2026-08-29	oos	0.42505	0.426636	+0.37%	0.41705	-1.88%	0.0207	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.4201	0.421422	+0.31%	0.42505	+1.18%	0.0072	✓	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.416	0.417462	+0.35%	0.4201	+0.99%	0.0153	✓	0.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.4084	0.40921	+0.20%	0.416	+1.86%	0.0120	✓	0.29
2026-08-25	oos	0.42005	0.419897	-0.04%	0.4084	-2.77%	0.0296	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.4475	0.445702	-0.40%	0.42005	-6.13%	0.0578	✓	0.25
2026-08-23	oos	0.4067	0.406117	-0.14%	0.4475	+10.03%	0.0935	✗	0.22
2026-08-22	oos	0.3926	0.392499	-0.03%	0.4067	+3.59%	0.0337	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.4206	0.420136	-0.11%	0.3926	-6.66%	0.0648	✓	0.18
2026-08-20	oos	0.3974	0.397654	+0.06%	0.4206	+5.84%	0.0494	✓	0.09
2026-08-19	oos	0.3977	0.397912	+0.05%	0.3974	-0.08%	0.0073	✗	0.12
2026-08-18	oos	0.3879	0.38737	-0.14%	0.3977	+2.53%	0.0219	✗	0.06
2026-08-17	oos	0.3685	0.368098	-0.11%	0.3879	+5.26%	0.0521	✗	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.36755	0.366764	-0.21%	0.3685	+0.26%	0.0025	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3763	0.375626	-0.18%	0.36755	-2.33%	0.0214	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.3692	0.368702	-0.13%	0.3763	+1.92%	0.0203	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.37805	0.377593	-0.12%	0.3692	-2.34%	0.0219	✓	0.08
2026-08-12	oos	0.3789	0.378385	-0.14%	0.37805	-0.22%	0.0009	✓	0.11
2026-08-11	oos	0.39165	0.39096	-0.18%	0.3789	-3.26%	0.0310	✓	0.16
2026-08-10	oos	0.40075	0.400147	-0.15%	0.39165	-2.27%	0.0203	✓	0.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.4089	0.408282	-0.15%	0.40075	-1.99%	0.0157	✓	0.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.39285	0.392355	-0.13%	0.4089	+4.09%	0.0415	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.3932	0.392785	-0.11%	0.39285	-0.09%	0.0001	✓	0.14
2026-08-06	oos	0.39495	0.394375	-0.15%	0.3932	-0.44%	0.0047	✓	0.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.3944	0.393954	-0.11%	0.39495	+0.14%	0.0037	✗	0.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.4014	0.400946	-0.11%	0.3944	-1.74%	0.0185	✓	0.24
2026-08-03	oos	0.4148	0.414061	-0.18%	0.4014	-3.23%	0.0334	✓	0.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.4402	0.439079	-0.25%	0.4148	-5.77%	0.0568	✓	0.25
2026-08-01	oos	0.445	0.443578	-0.32%	0.4402	-1.08%	0.0103	✓	0.22
2026-07-31	oos	0.4356	0.4343	-0.30%	0.445	+2.16%	0.0246	✗	0.22
2026-07-30	oos	0.45125	0.449696	-0.34%	0.4356	-3.47%	0.0259	✓	0.20
2026-07-29	oos	0.43425	0.432595	-0.38%	0.45125	+3.91%	0.0407	✗	0.12
2026-07-28	oos	0.4267	0.424841	-0.44%	0.43425	+1.77%	0.0218	✗	0.08
2026-07-27	oos	0.39845	0.397648	-0.20%	0.4267	+7.09%	0.0703	✗	0.10
2026-07-26	oos	0.3781	0.377762	-0.09%	0.39845	+5.38%	0.0571	✗	0.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.3859	0.385279	-0.16%	0.3781	-2.02%	0.0214	✓	0.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.38545	0.384756	-0.18%	0.3859	+0.12%	0.0025	✗	0.16
2026-07-23	oos	0.38005	0.379397	-0.17%	0.38545	+1.42%	0.0184	✗	0.17
2026-07-22	oos	0.36415	0.364314	+0.05%	0.38005	+4.37%	0.0454	✓	0.20
2026-07-21	oos	0.3413	0.341831	+0.16%	0.36415	+6.69%	0.0646	✓	0.21
2026-07-20	oos	0.32435	0.3249	+0.17%	0.3413	+5.23%	0.0460	✓	0.16
2026-07-19	oos	0.3499	0.350323	+0.12%	0.32435	-7.30%	0.0786	✗	0.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.36655	0.366929	+0.10%	0.3499	-4.54%	0.0472	✗	0.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.3948	0.394617	-0.05%	0.36655	-7.16%	0.0769	✓	0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.3936	0.39358	-0.00%	0.3948	+0.30%	0.0027	✗	0.22
2026-07-15	oos	0.38725	0.387572	+0.08%	0.3936	+1.64%	0.0189	✓	0.24
2026-07-14	oos	0.3841	0.384546	+0.12%	0.38725	+0.82%	0.0080	✓	0.24
2026-07-13	oos	0.39075	0.390796	+0.01%	0.3841	-1.70%	0.0288	✗	0.27
2026-07-12	oos	0.4157	0.415744	+0.01%	0.39075	-6.00%	0.0566	✗	0.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.4171	0.417198	+0.02%	0.4157	-0.34%	0.0035	✗	0.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.4142	0.41437	+0.04%	0.4171	+0.70%	0.0079	✓	0.23
2026-07-09	oos	0.393	0.393212	+0.05%	0.4142	+5.39%	0.0492	✓	0.19
2026-07-08	oos	0.3995	0.399685	+0.05%	0.393	-1.63%	0.0198	✗	0.20
2026-07-07	oos	0.4145	0.414721	+0.05%	0.3995	-3.62%	0.0342	✗	0.18
2026-07-06	oos	0.4056	0.405979	+0.09%	0.4145	+2.19%	0.0228	✓	0.19
2026-07-05	oos	0.391	0.391672	+0.17%	0.4056	+3.73%	0.0338	✓	0.18
2026-07-04	oos	0.4201	0.420581	+0.11%	0.391	-6.93%	0.0745	✗	0.20
2026-07-03	oos	0.4244	0.424815	+0.10%	0.4201	-1.01%	0.0130	✗	0.20
2026-07-02	oos	0.41635	0.416685	+0.08%	0.4244	+1.93%	0.0153	✓	0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.416	0.416226	+0.05%	0.41635	+0.08%	0.0040	✗	0.17
2026-06-30	oos	0.4175	0.417677	+0.04%	0.416	-0.36%	0.0080	✗	0.17
2026-06-29	oos	0.4548	0.454178	-0.14%	0.4175	-8.20%	0.0817	✓	0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.4599	0.45857	-0.29%	0.4548	-1.11%	0.0093	✓	0.09
2026-06-27	oos	0.45985	0.459045	-0.18%	0.4599	+0.01%	0.0026	✗	0.09
2026-06-26	oos	0.4278	0.427533	-0.06%	0.45985	+7.49%	0.0730	✗	0.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.4346	0.434241	-0.08%	0.4278	-1.56%	0.0154	✓	0.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.4589	0.458704	-0.04%	0.4346	-5.30%	0.0530	✓	0.05
2026-06-23	oos	0.50205	0.50189	-0.03%	0.4589	-8.59%	0.0906	✓	-0.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.54155	0.540973	-0.11%	0.50205	-7.29%	0.0767	✓	-0.10
2026-06-21	oos	0.551	0.55013	-0.16%	0.54155	-1.72%	0.0147	✓	-0.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.5585	0.55745	-0.19%	0.551	-1.34%	0.0131	✓	-0.10
2026-06-19	oos	0.56415	0.563013	-0.20%	0.5585	-1.00%	0.0069	✓	-0.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.603	0.600629	-0.39%	0.56415	-6.44%	0.0621	✓	-0.06
2026-06-17	oos	0.5519	0.551214	-0.12%	0.603	+9.26%	0.0910	✗	0.05
2026-06-16	oos	0.55775	0.557122	-0.11%	0.5519	-1.05%	0.0085	✓	0.05
2026-06-15	oos	0.58475	0.583745	-0.17%	0.55775	-4.62%	0.0452	✓	0.04
2026-06-14	oos	0.5825	0.581512	-0.17%	0.58475	+0.39%	0.0053	✗	0.03
2026-06-13	oos	0.5929	0.591393	-0.25%	0.5825	-1.75%	0.0159	✓	0.04
2026-06-12	oos	0.6168	0.614296	-0.41%	0.5929	-3.87%	0.0364	✓	0.07
2026-06-11	oos	0.5536	0.552908	-0.12%	0.6168	+11.42%	0.1094	✗	0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.5864	0.584685	-0.29%	0.5536	-5.59%	0.0601	✓	0.16
2026-06-09	oos	0.5821	0.580398	-0.29%	0.5864	+0.74%	0.0109	✗	0.16
2026-06-08	oos	0.6027	0.60067	-0.34%	0.5821	-3.42%	0.0284	✓	0.14
2026-06-07	oos	0.6361	0.633018	-0.48%	0.6027	-5.25%	0.0485	✓	0.14
2026-06-06	oos	0.6441	0.639873	-0.66%	0.6361	-1.24%	0.0126	✓	0.17
2026-06-05	oos	0.6468	0.64186	-0.76%	0.6441	-0.42%	0.0040	✓	0.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.6134	0.610153	-0.53%	0.6468	+5.45%	0.0758	✗	0.39
2026-06-03	oos	0.6096	0.60637	-0.53%	0.6134	+0.62%	0.0130	✗	0.39
2026-06-02	oos	0.6055	0.602778	-0.45%	0.6096	+0.68%	0.0312	✗	0.50
2026-06-01	oos	0.6317	0.629319	-0.38%	0.6055	-4.15%	0.0039	✓	0.51
2026-05-31	oos	0.62555	0.623455	-0.33%	0.6317	+0.98%	0.0350	✗	0.70
2026-05-30	oos	0.6181	0.616252	-0.30%	0.62555	+1.21%	0.0168	✗	0.71
2026-05-29	oos	0.60905	0.607396	-0.27%	0.6181	+1.49%	0.0137	✗	0.68
2026-05-28	oos	0.6264	0.624238	-0.35%	0.60905	-2.77%	0.0233	✓	0.68
2026-05-27	oos	0.639	0.636327	-0.42%	0.6264	-1.97%	0.0049	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.6087	0.606334	-0.39%	0.639	+4.98%	0.0726	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6174	0.614221	-0.51%	0.6087	-1.41%	0.0096	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.6173	0.614138	-0.51%	0.6174	+0.02%	0.0018	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.6524	0.648657	-0.57%	0.6173	-5.38%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.6387	0.635446	-0.51%	0.6524	+2.14%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.6602	0.655931	-0.65%	0.6387	-3.26%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.6316	0.627586	-0.64%	0.6602	+4.53%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.5749	0.572242	-0.46%	0.6316	+9.86%	0.0895	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.6347	0.630944	-0.59%	0.5749	-9.42%	0.0907	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.7222	0.717224	-0.69%	0.6347	-12.12%	0.1162	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.763	0.757396	-0.73%	0.7222	-5.35%	0.0386	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.7118	0.707737	-0.57%	0.763	+7.19%	0.0873	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.7403	0.736638	-0.49%	0.7118	-3.85%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.7024	0.698922	-0.50%	0.7403	+5.40%	0.0352	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.7669	0.763066	-0.50%	0.7024	-8.41%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.8004	0.796468	-0.49%	0.7669	-4.19%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.9108	0.903998	-0.75%	0.8004	-12.12%	0.1159	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	1.0032	0.987596	-1.56%	0.9108	-9.21%	0.0999	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.8663	0.850134	-1.87%	1.0032	+15.80%	0.1597	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.6322	0.628554	-0.58%	0.8663	+37.03%	0.3185	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.