KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

154

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1689

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0086

actual -0.0452

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.029023	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.028684	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.029847	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.028729	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028993	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033981	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.034921	-3.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.03251	-3.59%	0.029719	-11.86%	0.0877	✓	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.03094	-3.07%	0.029335	-8.09%	0.0508	✓	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028156	-2.49%	0.030499	+5.63%	0.0799	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026694	-2.59%	0.029365	+7.16%	0.0954	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.02446	-2.30%	0.029598	+18.22%	0.1924	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024253	-3.04%	0.034899	+39.53%	0.3659	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024362	-3.32%	0.036292	+44.02%	0.3999	✗	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.023994	-3.33%	0.03372	+35.85%	0.3397	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020209	-2.41%	0.031919	+54.14%	0.4618	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022092	-2.73%	0.028875	+27.13%	0.2724	✗	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.025659	-4.39%	0.027404	+2.11%	0.0735	✗	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019775	-2.70%	0.025037	+23.20%	0.2450	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.018838	-2.42%	0.025012	+29.56%	0.2890	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02119	-3.72%	0.025199	+14.50%	0.1793	✗	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020715	-3.59%	0.024821	+15.52%	0.1905	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.022831	-5.45%	0.020707	-14.24%	0.0967	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.02473	-7.09%	0.022712	-14.67%	0.0907	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.030019	-9.57%	0.026838	-19.16%	0.1178	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.01436	-2.20%	0.020323	+38.41%	0.3317	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014696	-2.09%	0.019305	+28.62%	0.2703	✗	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013374	-0.80%	0.022008	+63.25%	0.4950	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013146	-0.63%	0.021486	+62.40%	0.4877	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013555	-0.63%	0.024146	+77.02%	0.5838	✗	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013546	-0.04%	0.026617	+96.40%	0.6942	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013762	+0.16%	0.033197	+141.61%	0.9045	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013358	-1.13%	0.014683	+8.68%	0.0643	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01368	-1.02%	0.01501	+8.60%	0.0637	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013374	-1.01%	0.013481	-0.22%	0.0210	✓	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013629	-1.91%	0.01323	-4.78%	0.1172	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.01366	-2.09%	0.01364	-2.23%	0.0922	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012976	-0.92%	0.013553	+3.49%	0.0766	✓	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012934	-0.63%	0.01374	+5.57%	0.0384	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013194	-0.38%	0.01351	+2.01%	0.0301	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013947	-0.31%	0.013822	-1.20%	0.0570	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013979	+0.07%	0.01351	-3.28%	0.0773	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013936	+0.31%	0.013894	+0.01%	0.0007	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014081	+0.81%	0.013951	-0.12%	0.0173	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014314	+0.95%	0.013095	-7.64%	0.0549	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.015109	+1.23%	0.013015	-12.80%	0.1386	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015992	+1.61%	0.013244	-15.85%	0.1485	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015963	+1.71%	0.01399	-10.86%	0.1025	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016665	+1.81%	0.013969	-14.66%	0.1520	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017128	+2.00%	0.013893	-17.26%	0.1660	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017575	+1.01%	0.013968	-19.72%	0.2426	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017961	+0.96%	0.014179	-20.31%	0.2505	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018397	+1.40%	0.014925	-17.74%	0.2156	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017935	+1.13%	0.015738	-11.26%	0.1660	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.01778	+1.27%	0.015695	-10.60%	0.1480	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018093	+1.01%	0.016369	-8.61%	0.1276	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017999	+1.17%	0.016792	-5.61%	0.0852	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017418	+0.96%	0.0174	+0.85%	0.0271	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018322	+0.76%	0.017791	-2.16%	0.0106	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018842	+0.66%	0.018144	-3.07%	0.0306	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020316	-0.15%	0.017735	-12.83%	0.1347	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018294	+0.52%	0.017556	-3.54%	0.0624	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017689	+0.78%	0.017912	+2.05%	0.0214	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017253	-0.22%	0.01779	+2.89%	0.1164	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016746	-0.64%	0.017253	+2.37%	0.1725	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015845	-0.70%	0.018184	+13.96%	0.1809	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017446	-1.21%	0.018718	+5.99%	0.2546	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017528	-1.36%	0.020346	+14.50%	0.1994	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017655	-1.39%	0.0182	+1.65%	0.3038	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017606	-1.39%	0.017552	-1.70%	0.3654	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017271	-1.22%	0.017291	-1.11%	0.2422	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017052	-1.21%	0.016853	-2.36%	0.1515	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018132	-1.61%	0.015957	-13.42%	0.1556	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017757	-1.48%	0.01766	-2.02%	0.0197	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.01703	-1.22%	0.01777	+3.07%	0.0962	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.01679	-1.24%	0.017905	+5.32%	0.1146	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017553	-1.44%	0.017855	+0.25%	0.0684	✗	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017923	-1.74%	0.017485	-4.14%	0.0021	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018156	-1.99%	0.01726	-6.83%	0.0189	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017987	-2.16%	0.01843	+0.24%	0.0394	✗	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016949	-1.86%	0.018025	+4.37%	0.0488	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015807	-1.27%	0.01724	+7.68%	0.0486	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014666	-1.01%	0.017	+14.75%	0.0880	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015044	-1.06%	0.01781	+17.13%	0.1113	✗	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.01667	-1.94%	0.01824	+7.29%	0.1023	✗	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.01519	-1.24%	0.018525	+20.45%	0.1799	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014165	-1.01%	0.018385	+28.48%	0.2554	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013469	-0.38%	0.01727	+27.74%	0.2545	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.01689	-2.37%	0.01601	-7.46%	0.0102	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013109	+0.45%	0.014815	+13.52%	0.1542	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014102	-0.09%	0.015205	+7.72%	0.1017	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013671	+0.41%	0.017	+24.86%	0.2249	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013187	+0.97%	0.01538	+17.76%	0.2015	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013147	+1.13%	0.01431	+10.08%	0.1429	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015107	-0.09%	0.01352	-10.58%	0.0745	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.01594	-0.34%	0.0173	+8.16%	0.0660	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015619	+0.06%	0.01305	-16.40%	0.1676	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016177	+0.01%	0.014115	-12.74%	0.1410	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018849	-0.90%	0.013615	-28.42%	0.3572	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019288	-1.04%	0.01306	-32.99%	0.4238	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020629	-1.34%	0.013	-37.83%	0.4993	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019954	-1.14%	0.01512	-25.09%	0.3529	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.02046	-1.40%	0.015995	-22.92%	0.2706	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020246	-1.38%	0.01561	-23.96%	0.2864	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020639	-1.49%	0.016175	-22.79%	0.2376	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019985	-1.28%	0.01902	-6.05%	0.0648	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019785	-1.05%	0.01949	-2.53%	0.0781	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.0207	-1.54%	0.02091	-0.55%	0.0319	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021668	-1.91%	0.020185	-8.62%	0.0264	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020985	-1.75%	0.02075	-2.86%	0.0152	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020051	-1.10%	0.02053	+1.26%	0.0068	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020989	-1.18%	0.02095	-1.37%	0.0418	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022577	-1.26%	0.020245	-11.46%	0.1535	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022736	-0.76%	0.019995	-12.72%	0.1903	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02366	-0.71%	0.021025	-11.77%	0.2551	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026297	-1.68%	0.02209	-17.41%	0.2791	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025813	-1.27%	0.02136	-18.30%	0.3007	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.02505	-0.89%	0.020275	-19.78%	0.2972	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026194	-1.08%	0.02124	-19.79%	0.2786	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025183	-0.38%	0.022865	-9.55%	0.1447	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024123	-0.07%	0.02291	-5.10%	0.0224	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025373	-0.77%	0.02383	-6.80%	0.0565	✗	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029158	-1.74%	0.026745	-9.87%	0.0164	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.029789	-1.75%	0.026145	-13.77%	0.0267	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.029804	-1.77%	0.025275	-16.69%	0.0456	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027227	-0.81%	0.02648	-3.53%	0.0630	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026268	-0.16%	0.02528	-3.91%	0.0424	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028332	-0.80%	0.02414	-15.48%	0.0745	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029099	-0.92%	0.02557	-12.94%	0.0562	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029366	-0.86%	0.029675	+0.19%	0.0673	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030521	-0.71%	0.03032	-1.37%	0.0548	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031852	-0.48%	0.03034	-5.20%	0.0433	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031071	+0.20%	0.02745	-11.48%	0.1223	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.03053	+0.66%	0.02631	-13.25%	0.1318	✗	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031444	+1.35%	0.02856	-7.95%	0.1762	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031962	+1.53%	0.02937	-6.70%	0.1877	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032876	+1.47%	0.02962	-8.58%	0.1898	✗	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.035125	+1.34%	0.03074	-11.31%	0.1977	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.038458	+1.61%	0.032005	-15.44%	0.3118	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028818	+2.96%	0.03101	+10.79%	0.0086	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034856	+2.01%	0.03033	-11.24%	0.1353	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.038311	+1.84%	0.031025	-17.53%	0.1696	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037436	+1.76%	0.03148	-14.43%	0.0958	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041594	-0.52%	0.0324	-22.51%	0.1268	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.048261	-3.48%	0.03466	-30.68%	0.1807	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.062936	-6.80%	0.03785	-43.95%	0.3159	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038465	+0.56%	0.02799	-26.82%	0.1338	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.037084	+0.85%	0.03417	-7.07%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039439	+0.66%	0.03762	-3.98%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044385	+0.06%	0.03679	-17.06%	0.0588	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051037	-0.83%	0.04181	-18.76%	0.1195	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054256	-0.83%	0.05	-8.61%	0.0365	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053195	-0.35%	0.06753	+26.51%	0.2769	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056034	+0.06%	0.03825	-31.70%	0.3539	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053276	-0.52%	0.03677	-31.34%	0.3174	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053393	-0.59%	0.03918	-27.05%	0.2679	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061898	-0.32%	0.04436	-28.56%	0.3208	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.060917	-0.40%	0.051465	-15.86%	0.1726	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073557	-0.88%	0.05471	-26.28%	0.2904	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.07572	-1.02%	0.05338	-30.22%	0.3308	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.092475	-1.67%	0.056	-40.46%	0.4548	✓	1.00