KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

160

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0682

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0025

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.029532	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.029167	-0.57%	0.029719	+1.31%	0.0188	✗	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030324	-0.58%	0.029335	-3.82%	0.0331	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.029196	-0.58%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0439	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029429	-0.57%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0024	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034546	-1.01%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1540	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.035656	-1.75%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0216	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.033169	-1.64%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0894	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031518	-1.25%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0681	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028611	-0.91%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1092	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027145	-0.95%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0620	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024838	-0.80%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1003	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024695	-1.27%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0128	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024845	-1.41%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0062	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.02449	-1.34%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0275	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020556	-0.73%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1930	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022467	-1.08%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0773	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026271	-2.11%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1452	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020121	-0.99%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2905	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019156	-0.78%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0539	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.02168	-1.49%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1167	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021177	-1.44%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0395	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.023565	-2.41%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.0964	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025736	-3.31%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0635	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.03171	-4.48%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1756	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014539	-0.98%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8335	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014885	-0.83%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0140	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013463	-0.14%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1063	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013219	-0.08%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0219	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013628	-0.09%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0297	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013558	+0.04%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0194	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.01375	+0.07%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0115	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013481	-0.22%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0302	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013793	-0.20%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0200	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013483	-0.21%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0215	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013825	-0.50%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0734	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013864	-0.62%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0002	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013092	-0.02%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0568	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.013019	+0.03%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0385	✓	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013256	+0.09%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0356	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013997	+0.05%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0495	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.01399	+0.16%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0007	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013925	+0.23%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0051	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.014014	+0.33%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0129	✓	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014229	+0.35%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0166	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014983	+0.39%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0478	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015807	+0.44%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0435	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015766	+0.45%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0075	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016446	+0.47%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0483	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016873	+0.49%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0161	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017456	+0.32%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0902	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017845	+0.30%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0240	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018208	+0.35%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0089	✗	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017787	+0.29%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0079	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017606	+0.28%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0157	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017952	+0.22%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0282	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.017815	+0.14%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0451	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.01727	+0.10%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0097	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018199	+0.08%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0616	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.018726	+0.04%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0217	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020333	-0.07%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1055	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018221	+0.12%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0981	✓	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017574	+0.12%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0584	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017293	+0.01%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0941	✗	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016836	-0.10%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0537	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.01594	-0.10%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0576	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017611	-0.28%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1037	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017713	-0.32%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0452	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017846	-0.33%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0005	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017797	-0.33%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0049	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017439	-0.26%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0359	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017216	-0.26%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0152	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.018356	-0.40%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0586	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017961	-0.36%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0354	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017193	-0.27%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0720	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.01695	-0.29%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0185	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017745	-0.36%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0434	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.01815	-0.50%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0355	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.01841	-0.62%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0004	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018257	-0.70%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0013	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017173	-0.56%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0515	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015961	-0.31%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0798	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014783	-0.22%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0591	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015164	-0.27%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0215	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016878	-0.72%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0525	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015325	-0.36%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0820	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014276	-0.24%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0732	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013524	+0.03%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0525	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017151	-0.86%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.1992	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013091	+0.32%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2575	✓	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014134	+0.13%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0842	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013655	+0.30%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0536	✓	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.01312	+0.46%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0593	✓	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.013066	+0.51%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0088	✓	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.015137	+0.12%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1828	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.016	+0.03%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0694	✗	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015635	+0.16%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0255	✓	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016199	+0.15%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0592	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018992	-0.15%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1637	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019452	-0.19%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0014	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020847	-0.30%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0605	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020139	-0.23%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0322	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020685	-0.31%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0145	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020468	-0.30%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0145	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.02088	-0.33%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0077	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020194	-0.25%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0124	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019962	-0.17%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0100	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020954	-0.34%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0189	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021982	-0.49%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0273	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021274	-0.40%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0272	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020249	-0.13%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0412	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021204	-0.17%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0590	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022811	-0.24%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0988	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022889	-0.09%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0427	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023806	-0.10%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0805	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.026643	-0.38%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0648	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026083	-0.24%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0059	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025248	-0.11%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0478	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026436	-0.17%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0430	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025294	+0.06%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0376	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.02418	+0.17%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0811	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.02556	-0.04%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0100	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029554	-0.41%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1101	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030192	-0.42%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0363	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030209	-0.43%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0304	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.027429	-0.07%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0820	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026345	+0.13%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0264	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028535	-0.09%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0431	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029332	-0.13%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0017	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029588	-0.11%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0085	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030718	-0.07%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0502	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.032001	-0.01%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0727	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.031068	+0.19%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0075	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030427	+0.32%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0196	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031176	+0.49%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0843	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031646	+0.53%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0133	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032568	+0.52%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0040	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.03483	+0.49%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0658	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.038052	+0.53%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1819	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028214	+0.80%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.2999	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034389	+0.64%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1614	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037852	+0.62%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0987	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.037023	+0.63%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0561	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041868	+0.14%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0618	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049581	-0.84%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1393	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.065962	-2.32%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2744	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038414	+0.43%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5587	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036949	+0.49%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0366	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039354	+0.44%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0570	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044498	+0.31%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.05151	+0.09%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1309	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054761	+0.09%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0656	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.053498	+0.22%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.056182	+0.32%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0670	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053648	+0.17%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0704	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053793	+0.15%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0054	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.062234	+0.22%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1565	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061291	+0.21%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0153	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.07425	+0.05%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1879	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.076507	+0.01%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0215	✗	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.093781	-0.29%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1915	✓	1.00