KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 483

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

131

of 161 predictions shown

direction hit

75.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4100

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0306

actual -0.2150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.029719	0.027997	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-21	oos	0.029335	0.027732	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028944	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.027823	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.028171	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.033201	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03408	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.031757	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.030179	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.027508	-4.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.026033	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.023879	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.023677	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.023738	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.0233	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.019559	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.021571	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.024994	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.019231	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.01826	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.020453	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.020006	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021714	-10.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.023309	-12.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.027785	-16.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014198	-3.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014482	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013204	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012991	-1.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.0134	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013512	-0.30%	0.029719	+119.29%	0.8027	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013784	+0.32%	0.029335	+113.50%	0.7748	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013089	-3.12%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8294	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013433	-2.81%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7765	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013119	-2.90%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.8034	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013125	-5.53%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9221	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013125	-5.92%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9570	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012252	-6.44%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9366	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.01232	-5.34%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.9109	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012616	-4.74%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7512	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013526	-3.32%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6521	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013619	-2.50%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5339	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013593	-2.16%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5346	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.01388	-0.63%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5455	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014134	-0.32%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5260	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014948	+0.16%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2792	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015863	+0.79%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3032	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015839	+0.92%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4631	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016532	+0.99%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1424	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.017046	+1.51%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.0942	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017362	-0.22%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1455	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.0178	+0.05%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.0924	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018323	+0.99%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2169	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017878	+0.81%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3206	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017806	+1.42%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5484	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018166	+1.42%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3091	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.018369	+3.26%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2668	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017823	+3.30%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3586	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.0187	+2.83%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4393	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019283	+3.01%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4347	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020403	+0.28%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5568	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018426	+1.24%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4569	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017991	+2.50%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3373	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017125	-0.96%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3798	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016586	-1.59%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4431	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015614	-2.15%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3891	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.01712	-3.06%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4711	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017158	-3.44%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5729	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017287	-3.45%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6420	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017242	-3.43%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5935	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016956	-3.03%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5334	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016733	-3.05%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4904	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017727	-3.81%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5319	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017391	-3.52%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5452	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016746	-2.87%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4904	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016524	-2.80%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4378	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017234	-3.23%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4565	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017559	-3.73%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4845	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017761	-4.13%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4383	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017563	-4.47%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4854	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.016583	-3.98%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.3117	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.01552	-3.06%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2229	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014433	-2.58%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1700	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014842	-2.39%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1986	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016402	-3.52%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2626	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014993	-2.51%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1553	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013953	-2.50%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1406	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013178	-2.53%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0886	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016516	-4.53%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1824	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012711	-2.60%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1156	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013791	-2.30%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1318	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013285	-2.43%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0829	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012755	-2.34%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0790	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012698	-2.33%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1764	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014856	-1.75%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0321	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015709	-1.79%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0157	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015391	-1.40%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1452	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015962	-1.32%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1336	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018577	-2.33%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0178	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018987	-2.58%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0173	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020245	-3.18%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1072	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019581	-2.99%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1559	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020033	-3.46%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0779	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.01982	-3.46%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0985	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020189	-3.63%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1764	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019555	-3.41%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1841	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019361	-3.17%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1509	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020176	-4.04%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1248	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021073	-4.60%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1440	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020344	-4.76%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1129	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019335	-4.64%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1223	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020321	-4.33%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2629	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021989	-3.83%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4287	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022258	-2.84%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4586	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.023155	-2.83%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4840	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025468	-4.77%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.6063	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.025054	-4.17%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6783	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.024342	-3.69%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6898	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025434	-3.95%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5283	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024485	-3.14%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7506	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023388	-3.12%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5907	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024537	-4.04%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6551	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.028235	-4.85%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8263	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028824	-4.93%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8819	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028819	-5.01%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6714	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.026267	-4.31%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5264	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.025316	-3.78%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5303	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.027369	-4.17%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.5126	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.028134	-4.21%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3465	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.02838	-4.19%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3379	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029621	-3.64%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3307	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031008	-3.11%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3727	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030294	-2.31%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3835	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029785	-1.80%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3773	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030797	-0.74%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4570	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031305	-0.55%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4757	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.032213	-0.58%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4542	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.03438	-0.81%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4923	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037622	-0.60%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6456	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.028043	+0.19%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3556	✗	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.033912	-0.75%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.5030	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037209	-1.09%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.5367	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036118	-1.83%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3764	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.039139	-6.39%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3622	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.044092	-11.82%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.3865	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.056096	-16.93%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5368	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.036236	-5.27%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.1164	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.035048	-4.68%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1227	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.037218	-5.01%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1265	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.041659	-6.09%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2605	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.047418	-7.86%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4387	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.050389	-7.90%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4723	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.049732	-6.83%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3352	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.052563	-6.14%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3737	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.049867	-6.89%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.3084	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.050004	-6.90%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.4004	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.05812	-6.40%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5930	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.057315	-6.29%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5193	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.069219	-6.73%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6920	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.071537	-6.49%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7175	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.088451	-5.95%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8719	✓	1.00