HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s2

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

55.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2657

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0209

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007181	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007172	-0.12%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006992	+0.82%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006997	+1.24%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007543	+0.88%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008427	-0.25%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008798	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008575	-0.49%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2567	✓	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008951	-0.92%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3211	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008791	-0.65%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2303	✓	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008745	+0.22%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2394	✗	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009049	-0.82%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1194	✓	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010736	-2.30%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1732	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009822	-1.84%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0538	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008533	+0.53%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0088	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010605	-2.31%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.0893	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.011862	-2.43%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.1938	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011601	-2.47%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1197	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013387	-2.77%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2700	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014285	-3.46%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1864	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012668	-3.27%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1541	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014307	-4.02%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.3912	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011424	-3.31%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0397	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.01233	-3.79%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.0898	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010486	-2.71%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0341	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011277	-3.35%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.1183	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013631	-4.72%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0691	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.012937	-4.55%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0042	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009776	-1.78%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.4028	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008911	-1.03%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3167	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009383	-0.87%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4208	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012048	-3.02%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0183	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010667	-1.86%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0558	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011528	-2.48%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0763	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015283	-5.80%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2608	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.01169	-2.52%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4880	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.01253	-3.56%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6653	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011232	-1.61%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.5976	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009689	+0.03%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1531	✗	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007851	-1.90%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.1146	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010067	+0.20%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0255	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012022	-0.31%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1295	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010363	-0.51%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1484	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009558	-0.43%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3346	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012071	+0.38%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012857	+0.51%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2716	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015658	-0.12%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6260	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022413	-2.01%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7697	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018124	-1.35%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3760	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024014	-2.17%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7753	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018753	-2.01%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6822	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020485	-2.52%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5461	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024171	-4.32%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6430	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025264	-6.41%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5111	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.02131	-3.87%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014167	-0.82%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2366	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016584	-0.46%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3798	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.021811	-4.55%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1088	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019135	-2.92%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.1081	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018472	-2.35%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.3184	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.015885	-1.64%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5311	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013567	-1.11%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4758	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013241	-0.66%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0820	✗	1.00