HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s2

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 186

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 62 predictions shown

direction hit

54.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1391

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00679	0.006756	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006895	-0.57%	0.00679	-2.08%	0.0055	✓	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006897	-0.20%	0.006935	+0.35%	0.0394	✓	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.00744	-0.48%	0.006911	-7.56%	0.0669	✓	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008402	-0.55%	0.007476	-11.50%	0.1424	✓	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008831	-0.70%	0.008448	-5.00%	0.0394	✓	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.00855	-0.78%	0.008892	+3.20%	0.0651	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.008966	-0.75%	0.008617	-4.62%	0.0629	✓	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008774	-0.84%	0.009034	+2.10%	0.0940	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008663	-0.71%	0.008849	+1.42%	0.0363	✓	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.00907	-0.59%	0.008725	-4.37%	0.0442	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010882	-0.98%	0.009124	-16.98%	0.2091	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009917	-0.89%	0.010989	+9.83%	0.0869	✗	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.008434	-0.64%	0.010006	+17.88%	0.1342	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.010764	-0.84%	0.008488	-21.81%	0.1719	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.01207	-0.72%	0.010855	-10.71%	0.0139	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011822	-0.62%	0.012157	+2.20%	0.0364	✗	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013677	-0.65%	0.011895	-13.60%	0.1096	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.01466	-0.92%	0.013768	-6.95%	0.1344	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.012984	-0.86%	0.014797	+12.98%	0.1209	✗	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014754	-1.03%	0.013097	-12.15%	0.1051	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011708	-0.90%	0.014907	+26.17%	0.1897	✗	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012684	-1.03%	0.011815	-7.81%	0.0677	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.010704	-0.68%	0.012816	+18.92%	0.1727	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011589	-0.67%	0.010778	-7.63%	0.0320	✓	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.01414	-1.16%	0.011668	-18.44%	0.1940	✓	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013387	-1.24%	0.014306	+5.55%	0.0535	✗	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.009912	-0.41%	0.013554	+36.18%	0.3250	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008989	-0.17%	0.009953	+10.54%	0.1016	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009456	-0.10%	0.009004	-4.87%	0.0281	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012362	-0.50%	0.009465	-23.81%	0.2509	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.010821	-0.45%	0.012424	+14.30%	0.0983	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011755	-0.56%	0.01087	-8.05%	0.0750	✓	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015998	-1.39%	0.011822	-27.14%	0.3185	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011989	-0.02%	0.016224	+35.29%	0.1143	✗	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012963	-0.23%	0.011992	-7.70%	0.0866	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011458	+0.37%	0.012992	+13.81%	0.1016	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009742	+0.58%	0.011416	+17.87%	0.2910	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.008044	+0.51%	0.009685	+21.02%	0.1179	✓	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.010096	+0.49%	0.008004	-20.34%	0.2100	✗	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012117	+0.47%	0.010047	-16.69%	0.1899	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010456	+0.38%	0.01206	+15.77%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009653	+0.56%	0.010417	+8.51%	0.0986	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012112	+0.72%	0.0096	-20.18%	0.2304	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012872	+0.63%	0.012026	-5.99%	0.0598	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015762	+0.55%	0.012792	-18.40%	0.1931	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022913	+0.17%	0.015676	-31.46%	0.3859	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018425	+0.29%	0.022874	+24.50%	0.2143	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024497	-0.20%	0.018372	-25.15%	0.2680	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.019127	-0.06%	0.024546	+28.26%	0.1995	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020962	-0.25%	0.019138	-8.93%	0.0898	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.025112	-0.59%	0.021014	-16.82%	0.1632	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.02672	-1.02%	0.025262	-6.42%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.021988	-0.81%	0.026994	+21.78%	0.2124	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014249	-0.24%	0.022167	+55.20%	0.4369	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016594	-0.40%	0.014283	-14.27%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022661	-0.83%	0.016661	-27.09%	0.3232	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019569	-0.72%	0.02285	+15.93%	0.1487	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018775	-0.75%	0.019711	+4.20%	0.0544	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016064	-0.53%	0.018916	+17.13%	0.1475	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013682	-0.27%	0.01615	+17.72%	0.1571	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013305	-0.18%	0.013719	+2.93%	0.0470	✗	1.00