HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s2
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4053
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0629
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.006882 | -4.74% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.006884 | -4.12% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.00675 | -2.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006771 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007328 | -1.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008096 | -4.17% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008389 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008155 | -5.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.00851 | -5.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008345 | -5.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008335 | -4.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008612 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010384 | -5.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009342 | -6.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008139 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010184 | -6.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011472 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011196 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.012922 | -6.14% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013667 | -7.63% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.01209 | -7.69% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.01359 | -8.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.010776 | -8.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.011622 | -9.32% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.009837 | -8.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.010561 | -9.48% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.012738 | -10.97% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012051 | -11.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009303 | -6.53% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008548 | -5.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009139 | -3.45% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.1511 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.011304 | -9.01% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.3479 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.009972 | -8.26% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4422 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.010695 | -9.53% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.4635 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014009 | -13.65% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.6780 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.010826 | -9.73% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4566 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011542 | -11.16% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.4824 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010463 | -8.35% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4634 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009162 | -5.40% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1809 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007377 | -7.82% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1191 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009544 | -5.00% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2991 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011364 | -5.77% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5148 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009792 | -5.99% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009023 | -6.00% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0504 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011496 | -4.40% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3439 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012303 | -3.83% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1767 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015168 | -3.24% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2840 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.02192 | -4.17% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.01772 | -3.55% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.02349 | -4.30% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.5041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018265 | -4.56% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019887 | -5.36% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023061 | -8.71% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.023722 | -12.12% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.6898 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020484 | -7.59% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.7068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013966 | -2.22% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2614 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.01648 | -1.09% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1917 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020829 | -8.84% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4918 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018584 | -5.72% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018082 | -4.41% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7633 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015658 | -3.04% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013439 | -2.04% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1953 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013198 | -0.98% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2297 | ✓ | 1.00 |