GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

144

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

61.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0840

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual -0.0284

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.303292	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.30278	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.297967	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.300325	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.297595	-0.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.303296	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.298437	-0.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.315946	-0.91%	0.3071	-3.69%	0.0279	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.315131	-0.78%	0.3057	-3.75%	0.0304	✓	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.325767	-1.12%	0.30015	-8.89%	0.0819	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.332095	-1.13%	0.3024	-9.97%	0.0940	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.341162	-1.40%	0.29965	-13.40%	0.1295	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.33788	-1.44%	0.3056	-10.85%	0.1002	✓	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.317603	-1.15%	0.30045	-6.49%	0.0555	✓	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.32062	-1.04%	0.31885	-1.59%	0.0056	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.324961	-0.82%	0.3176	-3.07%	0.0234	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.325743	-0.82%	0.32945	+0.30%	0.0119	✗	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.318659	-0.34%	0.3359	+5.05%	0.0534	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.323002	-0.72%	0.346	+6.35%	0.0694	✗	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.324349	-0.80%	0.3428	+4.85%	0.0560	✗	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.316364	-0.62%	0.3213	+0.93%	0.0168	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.320081	-0.78%	0.324	+0.43%	0.0123	✗	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.317376	-0.65%	0.32765	+2.57%	0.0312	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.31489	-0.60%	0.32845	+3.68%	0.0413	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.327316	-0.57%	0.31975	-2.87%	0.0236	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.340056	-0.79%	0.32535	-5.08%	0.0443	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.345603	-0.97%	0.32695	-6.32%	0.0556	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.350918	-1.08%	0.31835	-10.26%	0.0975	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338798	-1.11%	0.3226	-5.84%	0.0488	✓	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.348436	-1.14%	0.31945	-9.36%	0.0874	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.354917	-1.10%	0.3168	-11.72%	0.1136	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.364531	-2.71%	0.3292	-12.14%	0.1055	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.335024	-1.71%	0.34275	+0.56%	0.0193	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.333123	-2.08%	0.349	+2.59%	0.0428	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.348888	-3.22%	0.35475	-1.60%	0.0046	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.299658	-0.91%	0.3426	+13.29%	0.1107	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.300875	-0.90%	0.35245	+16.09%	0.1180	✗	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.29717	-0.55%	0.35885	+20.10%	0.1526	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294053	-0.47%	0.3747	+26.82%	0.2230	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296396	-0.22%	0.34085	+14.74%	0.1234	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.304225	+0.02%	0.3402	+11.85%	0.0943	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288961	+0.65%	0.3605	+25.57%	0.2221	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.292775	+1.46%	0.3024	+4.80%	0.0426	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.310069	+2.01%	0.3036	-0.12%	0.0077	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.299947	+2.65%	0.2988	+2.26%	0.0004	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.305279	+3.07%	0.29545	-0.25%	0.0160	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.309995	+3.21%	0.29705	-1.10%	0.0304	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.303371	+3.43%	0.30415	+3.70%	0.0188	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.303371	+4.16%	0.2871	-1.42%	0.0226	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.297165	+3.94%	0.28855	+0.93%	0.0355	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.288427	+4.01%	0.30395	+9.61%	0.0456	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.295401	+4.12%	0.2922	+3.00%	0.0145	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.292533	+3.83%	0.2962	+5.13%	0.0043	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.29508	+3.72%	0.30035	+5.57%	0.0129	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.292389	+3.45%	0.2933	+3.77%	0.0025	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.314583	+3.31%	0.29125	-4.35%	0.0795	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.316508	+3.01%	0.2859	-6.95%	0.0968	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.317444	+2.97%	0.2773	-10.06%	0.1315	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.321658	+2.90%	0.2837	-9.25%	0.1244	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.332885	+2.74%	0.28175	-13.04%	0.1666	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.343307	+2.66%	0.2845	-14.92%	0.1909	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.350769	+2.76%	0.28265	-17.20%	0.2147	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.317647	+2.10%	0.3045	-2.12%	0.0476	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.328109	-0.30%	0.30725	-6.64%	0.0475	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.359132	-1.46%	0.3083	-15.41%	0.1692	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.362169	-1.52%	0.3126	-15.00%	0.1674	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.358786	-1.55%	0.324	-11.10%	0.1216	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.365987	-1.70%	0.3344	-10.18%	0.1076	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.362649	-1.61%	0.34135	-7.39%	0.0845	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.385573	-1.91%	0.3111	-20.86%	0.2268	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.369017	-1.86%	0.3291	-12.47%	0.1218	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.365687	-1.93%	0.36445	-2.27%	0.0049	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.357265	-1.84%	0.36775	+1.04%	0.0282	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.339797	-1.52%	0.36445	+5.62%	0.0735	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.340644	-1.62%	0.3723	+7.52%	0.0921	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.336194	-1.58%	0.3686	+7.90%	0.0953	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.333143	-1.63%	0.3931	+16.08%	0.1669	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.351643	-1.86%	0.376	+4.94%	0.0688	✗	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.342904	-1.90%	0.3729	+6.68%	0.0846	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.336574	-1.90%	0.36395	+6.08%	0.0776	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.32262	-1.63%	0.34505	+5.21%	0.0656	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.316276	-1.63%	0.34625	+7.70%	0.0885	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.32302	-1.73%	0.3416	+3.92%	0.0539	✗	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.326369	-1.37%	0.33865	+2.34%	0.0374	✗	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.325014	-1.32%	0.3583	+8.79%	0.0969	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.344995	-1.43%	0.34955	-0.13%	0.0129	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.362508	-1.43%	0.3431	-6.70%	0.0548	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.370591	-1.40%	0.32795	-12.74%	0.1205	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.365078	-1.53%	0.3215	-13.28%	0.1259	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.357206	-1.24%	0.3287	-9.12%	0.0823	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.349251	-0.98%	0.3309	-6.18%	0.0537	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.352174	-0.95%	0.32935	-7.37%	0.0652	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.359298	-1.12%	0.35	-3.67%	0.0241	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.321798	-0.65%	0.36775	+13.54%	0.1321	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.315347	-0.44%	0.37585	+18.66%	0.1762	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.317764	-0.47%	0.37075	+16.13%	0.1537	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.32344	-0.42%	0.3617	+11.36%	0.1120	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.331385	-0.41%	0.3527	+6.00%	0.0635	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.332255	-0.19%	0.35555	+6.80%	0.0690	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.330979	-0.08%	0.36335	+9.69%	0.0946	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.32618	-0.27%	0.3239	-0.96%	0.0022	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.337907	-0.15%	0.31675	-6.40%	0.0627	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.344921	-0.08%	0.31925	-7.52%	0.0753	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.347906	+0.07%	0.3248	-6.57%	0.0692	✗	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.348583	+0.05%	0.33275	-4.49%	0.0452	✗	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.355323	-0.06%	0.3329	-6.37%	0.0604	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.374572	-0.06%	0.33125	-11.62%	0.1189	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.376764	+0.07%	0.32705	-13.13%	0.1458	✗	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.381779	+0.01%	0.3384	-11.36%	0.1202	✗	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.387342	-0.09%	0.3452	-10.96%	0.1136	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.383651	-0.09%	0.34765	-9.47%	0.0946	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.387644	-0.30%	0.3484	-10.39%	0.1027	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.3922	-0.63%	0.35555	-9.92%	0.0929	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.390849	-0.98%	0.3748	-5.04%	0.0299	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.390971	-0.73%	0.3765	-4.41%	0.0285	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.375305	-0.79%	0.38175	+0.91%	0.0303	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.374431	-0.77%	0.3877	+2.74%	0.0450	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.387254	-0.87%	0.384	-1.70%	0.0007	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.38764	-0.94%	0.3888	-0.64%	0.0087	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.378182	-0.71%	0.3947	+3.62%	0.0399	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.38937	-0.44%	0.3947	+0.92%	0.0000	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398775	-0.29%	0.39385	-1.53%	0.0258	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.40915	-0.45%	0.3783	-7.96%	0.0905	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.415409	-0.36%	0.37735	-9.49%	0.1103	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.400984	-0.34%	0.39065	-2.91%	0.0405	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.371515	-0.24%	0.3913	+5.08%	0.0338	✗	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.414342	-0.16%	0.3809	-8.22%	0.1110	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.426944	-0.08%	0.3911	-8.47%	0.1115	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.435501	-0.05%	0.39995	-8.21%	0.1037	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.491416	-0.42%	0.411	-16.72%	0.1940	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.446777	-0.20%	0.4169	-6.87%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.453752	-0.26%	0.40235	-11.56%	0.1192	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.470684	-0.36%	0.3724	-21.17%	0.2234	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.469347	-0.37%	0.415	-11.91%	0.1707	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.452556	-0.03%	0.4273	-5.61%	0.1192	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.463325	-0.08%	0.4357	-6.04%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.46777	+0.02%	0.4935	+5.52%	0.0163	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.413771	+2.04%	0.44765	+10.39%	0.0215	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.444569	+2.06%	0.45495	+4.44%	0.0172	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.437945	+1.82%	0.4724	+9.83%	0.0795	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.483163	+0.74%	0.4711	-1.77%	0.0161	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.505158	-0.75%	0.4527	-11.06%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.441646	-1.04%	0.4637	+3.90%	0.1717	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.442645	-1.87%	0.4677	+3.68%	0.2054	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.466604	-2.13%	0.4055	-14.94%	0.0522	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.445089	-1.87%	0.4356	-3.96%	0.1625	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.609116	-2.98%	0.4301	-31.50%	0.2064	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.687444	-3.54%	0.4796	-32.70%	0.2112	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.646528	-3.55%	0.509	-24.07%	0.1103	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.614361	-3.42%	0.4463	-29.84%	0.2397	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.691605	-4.35%	0.4511	-37.61%	0.3821	✓	1.00