GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

150

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

43.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0346

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0005

actual -0.0049

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.306184	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.305106	-0.19%	0.3071	+0.46%	0.0062	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.299811	-0.11%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0208	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.302133	-0.09%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0067	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.299353	-0.10%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0104	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.305242	-0.12%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0185	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.30017	-0.09%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0176	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.318286	-0.18%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0574	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.317215	-0.12%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0046	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.328606	-0.26%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0338	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.335058	-0.25%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0173	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.34481	-0.34%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0263	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.341575	-0.36%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0128	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.320486	-0.25%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0673	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.323318	-0.21%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0063	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.327217	-0.13%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0104	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.327986	-0.14%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0010	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319827	+0.02%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0268	✓	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.325042	-0.09%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0170	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.32653	-0.13%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0037	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.318091	-0.08%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0276	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.322203	-0.12%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0126	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.319179	-0.08%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0107	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.316564	-0.07%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0090	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328928	-0.08%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0374	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.342188	-0.16%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0387	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.348181	-0.23%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0158	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.353704	-0.29%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0133	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.341418	-0.35%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0383	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350441	-0.57%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0230	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.356682	-0.60%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0119	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.370041	-1.24%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0364	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.338801	-0.60%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1008	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.337221	-0.88%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0103	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.354808	-1.58%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0543	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.302029	-0.12%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1764	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.303238	-0.12%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0050	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298817	+0.01%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0277	✓	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.295533	+0.03%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0048	✓	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.297369	+0.11%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0045	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.30469	+0.18%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0257	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.288152	+0.37%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0509	✓	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290207	+0.57%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0024	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.306053	+0.69%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0581	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29463	+0.83%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0341	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.298859	+0.90%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0167	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.303039	+0.90%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0252	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.295993	+0.92%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0136	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.294355	+1.07%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0071	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.288625	+0.95%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0152	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.279933	+0.95%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0217	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.286394	+0.95%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0242	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.284142	+0.85%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0043	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.286806	+0.81%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0160	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.284732	+0.74%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0020	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.306557	+0.68%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0751	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.309077	+0.59%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0184	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.310114	+0.59%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0109	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.31434	+0.56%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0181	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.325674	+0.52%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0442	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.33606	+0.50%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0382	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.343054	+0.50%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0223	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.312488	+0.45%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0844	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32941	+0.09%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0500	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.363253	-0.33%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1046	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.366498	-0.34%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0059	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.363123	-0.36%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0103	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370715	-0.43%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0168	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.367185	-0.38%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0138	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.391117	-0.50%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0587	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.374143	-0.49%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0494	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.370833	-0.55%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0140	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.362152	-0.49%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0298	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343843	-0.35%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0584	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344931	-0.38%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0004	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.340358	-0.36%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0171	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.33738	-0.37%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0114	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356614	-0.47%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0512	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347783	-0.51%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0290	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.341358	-0.51%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0230	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.32672	-0.38%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0490	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.32031	-0.37%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0228	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.327357	-0.41%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0180	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.329943	-0.29%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0019	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.328501	-0.26%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0065	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.348929	-0.31%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0578	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.366576	-0.32%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0465	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.374599	-0.33%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0169	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.369203	-0.42%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0171	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.360808	-0.25%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0270	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.352163	-0.15%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0276	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.35499	-0.16%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0056	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.362328	-0.28%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0185	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.323785	-0.04%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1164	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.316824	+0.02%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0227	✓	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.319307	+0.02%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0082	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.324919	+0.04%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0167	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.332869	+0.04%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0244	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.333257	+0.11%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0024	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.331712	+0.14%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0033	✓	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.327271	+0.07%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0165	✓	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.338795	+0.12%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0383	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.345707	+0.15%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0214	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.348369	+0.21%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0099	✗	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.34907	+0.19%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0021	✗	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.356076	+0.15%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0200	✗	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.375367	+0.15%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0569	✗	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.377253	+0.20%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0082	✗	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.382434	+0.18%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0147	✗	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.388261	+0.14%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0158	✗	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.384547	+0.14%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0096	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.389053	+0.07%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0106	✗	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.394463	-0.06%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0110	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.393921	-0.20%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0057	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.39345	-0.10%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0009	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.377773	-0.14%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0440	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376852	-0.13%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0023	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.390037	-0.16%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0333	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390599	-0.18%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0011	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.38059	-0.08%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0242	✗	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.391197	+0.02%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0320	✗	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.400275	+0.08%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0277	✗	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.411106	+0.03%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0253	✗	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.417152	+0.06%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0180	✗	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.402611	+0.06%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0379	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.37279	+0.10%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0796	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.415539	+0.13%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1216	✗	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.427979	+0.16%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0400	✗	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.436463	+0.18%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0264	✗	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.493763	+0.05%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1217	✗	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.448221	+0.13%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0766	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.455446	+0.11%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0312	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.472748	+0.07%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0380	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.471456	+0.08%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0319	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.45356	+0.19%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.464472	+0.17%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0036	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.468572	+0.19%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0067	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.408429	+0.72%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.0960	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.438719	+0.72%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0758	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.432856	+0.64%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0508	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.481143	+0.32%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.1085	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.508211	-0.15%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0179	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.445439	-0.19%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2009	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.449023	-0.46%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473949	-0.59%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0468	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.451268	-0.50%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0494	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.621818	-0.96%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3136	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.704686	-1.12%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1046	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.662101	-1.23%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0937	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.628382	-1.21%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0832	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.709856	-1.82%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1132	✓	1.00