GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

82.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1265

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0057

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.299768	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.299861	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.295478	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.297825	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.295247	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.300897	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.296274	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.313563	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.312809	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.323339	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.329371	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.338146	-2.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.334913	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.315161	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.31817	-1.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.322534	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.323318	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.316863	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.32074	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.322179	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.314632	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.318086	-1.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.315691	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.313377	-1.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.326249	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.338972	-1.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.344386	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.349883	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.338201	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.351458	-0.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.359282	+0.12%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1570	✗	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.364633	-2.69%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1782	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.333756	-2.08%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.1068	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.332868	-2.16%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0973	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.349208	-3.13%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1666	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.296784	-1.86%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0139	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.297841	-1.90%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0167	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.294529	-1.43%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0644	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.291247	-1.42%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0589	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.293729	-1.12%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.0964	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.301433	-0.89%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0779	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286099	-0.35%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1614	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.290984	+0.84%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1443	✓	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.308388	+1.46%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0265	✓	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.29989	+2.63%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0585	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.307974	+3.98%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0386	✓	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.313013	+4.22%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0214	✓	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.306725	+4.58%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0008	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.30854	+5.94%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0303	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.300448	+5.09%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0412	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.291908	+5.27%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0401	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.30095	+6.08%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0361	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.298772	+6.04%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.0491	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.303011	+6.51%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0291	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.301569	+6.69%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.0680	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.329321	+8.15%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0300	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.332735	+8.29%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0338	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.335641	+8.87%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0369	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.342382	+9.53%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0138	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.354856	+9.52%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0275	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.366199	+9.51%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0430	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.376277	+10.23%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0114	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.332781	+6.97%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0179	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.325132	-1.21%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0667	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.355502	-2.46%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0002	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.358392	-2.54%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1865	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.355103	-2.56%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1737	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.362219	-2.71%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.2110	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.35882	-2.65%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2161	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.381401	-2.98%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2670	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.365212	-2.87%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1991	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.362299	-2.84%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2479	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.35376	-2.80%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2210	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.336372	-2.51%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1224	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.337111	-2.64%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1648	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.332742	-2.59%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1396	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.329674	-2.65%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.1157	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.347905	-2.90%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1914	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.339367	-2.91%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1738	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.333054	-2.93%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1682	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.319064	-2.71%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1551	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.312727	-2.73%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.1113	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.319258	-2.87%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1384	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.323053	-2.37%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1390	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.321533	-2.37%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1403	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.341276	-2.49%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1291	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.358793	-2.44%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1713	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.367097	-2.33%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1856	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.362124	-2.33%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1570	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.353605	-2.24%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0955	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.345915	-1.92%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0433	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.348967	-1.85%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0313	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.356895	-1.78%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1421	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.318729	-1.60%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0355	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.312656	-1.29%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1533	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.314919	-1.36%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1547	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.320668	-1.27%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1269	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.328612	-1.24%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1241	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.329603	-0.99%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1102	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.328386	-0.86%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.1785	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.323984	-0.94%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1508	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.335343	-0.90%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1057	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.342215	-0.86%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0619	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.345079	-0.74%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0014	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.345952	-0.70%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0045	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.352776	-0.78%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0271	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.371664	-0.84%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0907	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.373734	-0.73%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0407	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.378643	-0.81%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0788	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.384078	-0.93%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.1120	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.380521	-0.91%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1463	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.384541	-1.10%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1760	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.389126	-1.41%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1623	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.387945	-1.71%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.1437	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.387994	-1.49%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1549	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.372838	-1.44%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0491	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.371884	-1.45%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0009	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.384383	-1.60%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0063	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.384783	-1.67%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0229	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.375012	-1.55%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0279	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.386129	-1.27%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0830	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.395393	-1.14%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0990	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.405638	-1.30%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.1001	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.411775	-1.23%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.2369	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.39758	-1.19%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.2225	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.368196	-1.13%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.1321	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.410835	-1.00%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.2392	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.423186	-0.96%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2551	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.431534	-0.96%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2719	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.486473	-1.42%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3887	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.442459	-1.16%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2681	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.449012	-1.31%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2860	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.465552	-1.45%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.3024	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.462915	-1.74%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.3291	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.445151	-1.67%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2689	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.456043	-1.65%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.2357	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.45962	-1.73%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.2043	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.400048	-1.34%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.430058	-1.27%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.1601	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.425257	-1.13%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0811	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.472274	-1.53%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1829	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.497835	-2.19%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1664	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.435495	-2.42%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.0750	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.436179	-3.31%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1289	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.459996	-3.51%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0487	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.439128	-3.18%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.600323	-4.38%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2601	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.674777	-5.31%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3326	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.636834	-5.00%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2480	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.60656	-4.64%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2288	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.683713	-5.44%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3526	✓	1.00