GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s2

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

151

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0336

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0050

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.3105	0.308719	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-21	oos	0.3103	0.308562	-0.56%	0.3105	+0.06%	0.0065	✗	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.304004	-0.55%	0.3103	+1.50%	0.0218	✗	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.298647	-0.50%	0.3057	+1.85%	0.0247	✗	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.301	-0.46%	0.30015	-0.74%	0.0029	✓	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.29829	-0.45%	0.3024	+0.92%	0.0140	✗	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.304221	-0.45%	0.29965	-1.95%	0.0152	✓	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.299158	-0.43%	0.3056	+1.71%	0.0210	✗	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.317339	-0.47%	0.30045	-5.77%	0.0545	✓	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.31632	-0.40%	0.31885	+0.39%	0.0074	✗	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.327822	-0.49%	0.3176	-3.60%	0.0314	✓	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.334292	-0.48%	0.32945	-1.92%	0.0150	✓	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.344091	-0.55%	0.3359	-2.92%	0.0242	✓	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.340904	-0.55%	0.346	+0.93%	0.0148	✗	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.319855	-0.45%	0.3428	+6.69%	0.0693	✗	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.322651	-0.42%	0.3213	-0.83%	0.0042	✓	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.326476	-0.36%	0.324	-1.11%	0.0081	✓	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.32729	-0.35%	0.32765	-0.24%	0.0011	✓	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.319378	-0.12%	0.32845	+2.72%	0.0282	✗	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.324275	-0.33%	0.31975	-1.72%	0.0147	✓	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.325794	-0.35%	0.32535	-0.49%	0.0014	✓	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.317551	-0.25%	0.32695	+2.70%	0.0293	✗	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.321544	-0.33%	0.31835	-1.32%	0.0105	✓	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.318523	-0.29%	0.3226	+0.99%	0.0127	✗	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.315937	-0.27%	0.31945	+0.84%	0.0110	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.328284	-0.28%	0.3168	-3.77%	0.0355	✓	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.341572	-0.34%	0.3292	-3.95%	0.0369	✓	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.347602	-0.40%	0.34275	-1.79%	0.0141	✓	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.35305	-0.48%	0.349	-1.62%	0.0115	✓	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.340609	-0.58%	0.35475	+3.55%	0.0407	✗	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.349651	-0.79%	0.3426	-2.79%	0.0207	✓	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.355905	-0.82%	0.35245	-1.78%	0.0098	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.369433	-1.41%	0.35885	-4.23%	0.0348	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.337466	-0.99%	0.3747	+9.93%	0.1047	✗	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.336235	-1.17%	0.34085	+0.19%	0.0132	✗	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.354552	-1.65%	0.3402	-5.63%	0.0535	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.30118	-0.40%	0.3605	+19.21%	0.1792	✗	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.302341	-0.41%	0.3024	-0.40%	0.0021	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.298037	-0.26%	0.3036	+1.61%	0.0303	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.294624	-0.28%	0.2988	+1.13%	0.0078	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.296383	-0.22%	0.29545	-0.54%	0.0012	✓	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.303512	-0.21%	0.29705	-2.33%	0.0218	✓	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.286624	-0.17%	0.30415	+5.94%	0.0562	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.288515	-0.01%	0.2871	-0.50%	0.0034	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.304081	+0.04%	0.28855	-5.07%	0.0517	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.292477	+0.09%	0.30395	+4.02%	0.0415	✓	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.296639	+0.15%	0.2922	-1.35%	0.0093	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.3008	+0.15%	0.2962	-1.38%	0.0178	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.293692	+0.13%	0.30035	+2.40%	0.0214	✓	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.291785	+0.18%	0.2933	+0.70%	0.0159	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286411	+0.18%	0.29125	+1.87%	0.0075	✗	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.277792	+0.18%	0.2859	+3.10%	0.0294	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.284227	+0.19%	0.2773	-2.26%	0.0166	✗	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.282268	+0.18%	0.2837	+0.69%	0.0023	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.285019	+0.18%	0.28175	-0.97%	0.0098	✗	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.283115	+0.16%	0.2845	+0.65%	0.0037	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.30518	+0.22%	0.28265	-7.18%	0.0706	✗	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.307793	+0.18%	0.3045	-0.90%	0.0143	✗	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.308733	+0.14%	0.30725	-0.34%	0.0064	✗	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.312899	+0.10%	0.3083	-1.38%	0.0135	✗	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.324248	+0.08%	0.3126	-3.52%	0.0398	✗	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.334596	+0.06%	0.324	-3.11%	0.0339	✗	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.341432	+0.02%	0.3344	-2.04%	0.0175	✗	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.310695	-0.13%	0.34135	+9.72%	0.0901	✗	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.32811	-0.30%	0.3111	-5.47%	0.0460	✓	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.362476	-0.54%	0.3291	-9.70%	0.1025	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.365766	-0.54%	0.36445	-0.90%	0.0039	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.362404	-0.56%	0.36775	+0.91%	0.0123	✗	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.370037	-0.61%	0.36445	-2.11%	0.0150	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.366463	-0.58%	0.3723	+1.00%	0.0157	✗	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.390437	-0.68%	0.3686	-6.23%	0.0569	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.373365	-0.70%	0.3931	+4.55%	0.0515	✗	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.369963	-0.79%	0.376	+0.83%	0.0163	✗	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.36142	-0.70%	0.3729	+2.46%	0.0318	✗	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.343159	-0.55%	0.36395	+5.48%	0.0604	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.344286	-0.57%	0.34505	-0.35%	0.0023	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.33971	-0.55%	0.34625	+1.36%	0.0190	✗	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.336778	-0.55%	0.3416	+0.87%	0.0132	✗	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.356079	-0.62%	0.33865	-5.48%	0.0497	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.347225	-0.67%	0.3583	+2.50%	0.0306	✗	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.340838	-0.66%	0.34955	+1.88%	0.0245	✗	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.326132	-0.55%	0.3431	+4.62%	0.0508	✗	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.319711	-0.56%	0.32795	+2.01%	0.0247	✗	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.326751	-0.59%	0.3215	-2.19%	0.0161	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.328879	-0.61%	0.3287	-0.66%	0.0013	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.327491	-0.56%	0.3309	+0.47%	0.0096	✗	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.347789	-0.63%	0.32935	-5.90%	0.0545	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.364963	-0.76%	0.35	-4.83%	0.0420	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.372366	-0.93%	0.36775	-2.16%	0.0109	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.366874	-1.05%	0.37585	+1.38%	0.0234	✗	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.358605	-0.86%	0.37075	+2.50%	0.0332	✗	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.34945	-0.92%	0.3617	+2.55%	0.0353	✗	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.351699	-1.08%	0.3527	-0.80%	0.0037	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.358299	-1.39%	0.35555	-2.15%	0.0074	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.32121	-0.83%	0.36335	+12.18%	0.1244	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.314342	-0.76%	0.3239	+2.26%	0.0305	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.316806	-0.77%	0.31675	-0.78%	0.0003	✓	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.322283	-0.78%	0.31925	-1.71%	0.0086	✓	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.329948	-0.84%	0.3248	-2.39%	0.0156	✓	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.32996	-0.88%	0.33275	-0.05%	0.0076	✓	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.328922	-0.70%	0.3329	+0.50%	0.0118	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.325154	-0.58%	0.33125	+1.28%	0.0230	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.336091	-0.68%	0.32705	-3.35%	0.0303	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.342801	-0.70%	0.3384	-1.97%	0.0130	✓	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.345244	-0.69%	0.3452	-0.70%	0.0008	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.346231	-0.62%	0.34765	-0.22%	0.0061	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.353283	-0.64%	0.3484	-2.01%	0.0121	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.372197	-0.69%	0.35555	-5.14%	0.0484	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.373892	-0.69%	0.3748	-0.45%	0.0008	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.379133	-0.69%	0.3765	-1.38%	0.0060	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.385076	-0.68%	0.38175	-1.53%	0.0075	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.381592	-0.63%	0.3877	+0.96%	0.0173	✗	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.386482	-0.60%	0.384	-1.23%	0.0039	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.392522	-0.55%	0.3888	-1.49%	0.0061	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.392909	-0.45%	0.3947	+0.00%	0.0082	✗	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.392005	-0.47%	0.3947	+0.22%	0.0027	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.37749	-0.21%	0.39385	+4.11%	0.0447	✗	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.376778	-0.15%	0.3783	+0.25%	0.0025	✗	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.389832	-0.21%	0.37735	-3.40%	0.0328	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.390869	-0.11%	0.39065	-0.17%	0.0004	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.380933	+0.01%	0.3913	+2.73%	0.0233	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.390604	-0.13%	0.3809	-2.61%	0.0305	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.398858	-0.27%	0.3911	-2.21%	0.0242	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.409877	-0.27%	0.39995	-2.69%	0.0223	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.414514	-0.57%	0.411	-1.42%	0.0117	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.401658	-0.17%	0.4169	+3.62%	0.0402	✗	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.373551	+0.31%	0.40235	+8.04%	0.0776	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.412603	-0.58%	0.3724	-10.27%	0.1145	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.424562	-0.64%	0.415	-2.88%	0.0320	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.432804	-0.66%	0.4273	-1.93%	0.0180	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.490145	-0.68%	0.4357	-11.71%	0.1143	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.444406	-0.72%	0.4935	+10.24%	0.0852	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.451559	-0.75%	0.44765	-1.60%	0.0226	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.468663	-0.79%	0.45495	-3.69%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.467475	-0.77%	0.4724	+0.28%	0.0234	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.44951	-0.70%	0.4711	+4.06%	0.0508	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.460123	-0.77%	0.4527	-2.37%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.464102	-0.77%	0.4637	-0.86%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.403469	-0.50%	0.4677	+15.34%	0.1082	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.433171	-0.56%	0.4055	-6.91%	0.0630	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.427256	-0.66%	0.4356	+1.28%	0.0638	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.47636	-0.68%	0.4301	-10.32%	0.0985	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.505269	-0.73%	0.4796	-5.78%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.443121	-0.71%	0.509	+14.05%	0.2061	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.447911	-0.71%	0.4463	-1.06%	0.0276	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.473199	-0.74%	0.4511	-5.38%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.449854	-0.81%	0.47675	+5.12%	0.0526	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.622574	-0.84%	0.45355	-27.76%	0.3148	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.705739	-0.97%	0.62785	-11.90%	0.1061	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.662901	-1.11%	0.71265	+6.31%	0.0925	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.628687	-1.17%	0.67035	+5.38%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.709275	-1.91%	0.6361	-12.03%	0.1124	✓	1.00