DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

54.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1603

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0265

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.390261	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.391054	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.387367	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.387234	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.370156	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.391638	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.375837	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.400257	-2.68%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0316	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.405535	-2.61%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0497	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.439329	-2.55%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0942	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.429281	-2.61%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0752	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.480346	-3.22%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1978	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.513126	-4.73%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2117	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.488712	-5.25%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2124	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.420504	-3.72%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0304	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.362509	-2.95%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1732	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.395365	-3.00%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1785	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.398925	-3.19%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1777	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.402959	-3.36%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2627	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.371435	-3.41%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4069	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.382507	-3.51%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3368	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.380932	-3.60%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.1977	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.375637	-3.64%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0002	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.368046	-3.57%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0662	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.357019	-3.38%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1018	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.418832	-3.77%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0376	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.398426	-3.52%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0408	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.426631	-3.97%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0800	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.432687	-4.62%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0980	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.457369	-5.90%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1468	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.413486	-5.23%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0380	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.383736	-5.09%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0147	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.367248	-6.20%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1082	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.408762	-8.45%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0480	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.280886	-4.85%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.3988	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.24436	-4.21%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4738	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.233624	-4.48%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.5843	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.133115	-2.87%	0.436315	+218.36%	1.0085	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.143305	+1.65%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.8962	✓	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.139846	-2.59%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9521	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.146487	-2.29%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0448	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.1473	-0.81%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6313	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.144051	-2.47%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5748	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.15454	+0.29%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.4967	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.160451	-2.12%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1071	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.158241	+0.47%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0993	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.165435	+0.18%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0791	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.168387	-2.24%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0709	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.153622	+2.66%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0120	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.162694	+2.61%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0110	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.142951	-0.53%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0561	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142443	-0.28%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1201	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.152604	-0.75%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0231	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.154249	-1.32%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0255	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.169069	-1.65%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0033	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.166195	-1.92%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1302	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.17306	-1.94%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.1006	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.163468	-2.07%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.1056	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.146095	-1.31%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0074	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159821	-2.44%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0332	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.129981	-0.85%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1853	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112699	-0.57%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4082	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.118608	-0.23%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3623	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097216	-1.28%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5337	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096868	-1.85%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4489	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091625	-1.98%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3398	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093416	-2.45%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4142	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.09935	-4.02%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1000	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.090975	-2.15%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0515	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.090837	-2.05%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0864	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.0929	-2.19%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0590	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.096101	-2.57%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0477	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.095001	-2.70%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0312	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.091056	-2.47%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0430	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.094326	-2.83%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1190	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.094534	-2.90%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094045	-2.93%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0109	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.094807	-3.07%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0129	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.097602	-3.24%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0261	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.098212	-3.40%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0010	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.094343	-2.90%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0162	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.096643	-3.07%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0130	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.101877	-3.67%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0746	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.110884	-4.97%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1633	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.092411	-2.29%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0647	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.094476	-2.28%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0528	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.100484	-2.59%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0080	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.102915	-2.76%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0533	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.111243	-2.91%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0775	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.110311	-2.96%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0148	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.111654	-2.89%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0667	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.115848	-2.74%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1972	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118503	-2.54%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1658	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.116965	-2.48%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0797	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120742	-2.40%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1039	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.120214	-2.32%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0601	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.123391	-2.15%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0728	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.127239	-2.07%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.1050	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.132432	-2.11%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1308	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.141919	-2.69%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1799	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.149794	-3.48%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2502	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.114089	-2.40%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0486	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.120296	-2.46%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0133	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120859	-2.55%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0321	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.11447	-2.76%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1291	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.111399	-2.60%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1882	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.106247	-2.57%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2925	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107632	-2.63%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3501	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.110567	-2.71%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0722	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.109104	-2.74%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1211	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.104704	-2.75%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1630	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.106684	-3.29%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0828	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.107896	-3.75%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0403	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.102728	-4.28%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0361	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.107388	-5.48%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0344	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.101473	-3.98%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0568	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097857	-3.75%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0767	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085643	-1.92%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1825	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082015	-1.14%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2553	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082335	-0.85%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2793	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081768	-1.22%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2888	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084813	-1.56%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3604	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.0859	-1.58%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2683	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.089227	-1.73%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1919	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096578	-1.99%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093341	-1.88%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0616	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.092285	-1.90%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0537	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.096052	-1.91%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.098474	-1.95%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0872	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.099971	-1.99%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.1001	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.098708	-2.14%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098409	-2.34%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.09968	-2.44%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.101691	-2.54%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0671	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.096057	-2.58%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.101995	-2.92%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0772	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.10751	-3.48%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1023	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.100544	-3.00%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.089078	-2.68%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0662	✗	1.00