DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

30.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4485

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0592

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.37426	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.375866	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.371258	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.37053	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.35134	-7.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.375348	-6.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.358132	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.38493	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.390512	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.425124	-5.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.414634	-5.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.462646	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.487884	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.463994	-10.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.40344	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.3479	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.381128	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.383984	-6.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.387481	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.355746	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.366592	-7.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.365074	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.35917	-7.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.352107	-7.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.341937	-7.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.401989	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.383281	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.409555	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.414594	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.434874	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.395491	-9.36%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0477	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.368901	-8.76%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1290	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.349708	-10.68%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.0977	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.384266	-13.94%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0260	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.273011	-7.51%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3143	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.238307	-6.58%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.4330	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.226692	-7.31%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.4372	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.125694	-8.29%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0726	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.137179	-2.70%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0518	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.132639	-7.61%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1130	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.139474	-6.97%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0723	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.140158	-5.62%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1537	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.137279	-7.06%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2577	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.148031	-3.94%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1763	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.154879	-5.52%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9817	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.152292	-3.31%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8258	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.160013	-3.10%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8476	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.163838	-4.88%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8234	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.149094	-0.36%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9083	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.158226	-0.21%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8281	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.137995	-3.98%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9209	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.138111	-3.31%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9124	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.148899	-3.16%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8850	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.151031	-3.38%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8336	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.166808	-2.96%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7254	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16439	-2.98%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8853	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.172201	-2.43%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8209	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.162626	-2.57%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9392	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.146504	-1.04%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0552	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159378	-2.71%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0472	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.131498	+0.31%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1012	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.114363	+0.90%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1552	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.122046	+2.66%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1334	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096219	-2.29%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4644	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.095114	-3.62%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0206	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.089555	-4.19%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9271	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.091068	-4.90%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8670	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.095598	-7.64%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2063	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.087941	-5.41%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2916	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.0879	-5.22%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3244	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.0899	-5.35%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3470	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.092639	-6.08%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3073	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.091373	-6.41%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3245	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.087455	-6.33%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3953	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.090328	-6.95%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4383	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.090453	-7.09%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3908	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.089892	-7.22%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4312	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.090259	-7.72%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4644	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.092708	-8.10%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.3038	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.092901	-8.63%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3340	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.089074	-8.32%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.3150	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.090922	-8.80%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2874	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.095314	-9.87%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2826	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.103778	-11.06%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2236	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.086432	-8.61%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4722	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.088394	-8.57%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4214	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.093943	-8.94%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3625	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.096408	-8.91%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2949	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.105576	-7.85%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1319	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.104514	-8.06%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2158	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.106261	-7.58%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0104	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.111131	-6.70%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1711	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.114346	-5.96%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1513	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.112932	-5.84%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2415	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.116742	-5.64%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2399	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.116305	-5.50%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2185	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.119898	-4.92%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2189	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.124	-4.56%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1600	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.129581	-4.22%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3172	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.139317	-4.48%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3740	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.146467	-5.63%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.4038	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.110652	-5.34%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1277	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.117066	-5.08%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1794	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.117556	-5.21%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2318	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.11119	-5.55%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1431	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.107944	-5.62%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1208	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.102784	-5.75%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0851	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.10428	-5.66%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0732	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.107088	-5.77%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0654	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.105543	-5.92%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0418	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.101342	-5.88%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0457	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.102661	-6.93%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0388	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.10299	-8.13%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0129	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.097943	-8.74%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1454	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.100382	-11.64%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1405	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.096521	-8.67%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0534	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.093487	-8.05%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0349	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082662	-5.33%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1920	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.0789	-4.89%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2878	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.079167	-4.66%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2877	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078911	-4.67%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3268	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.082507	-4.24%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3295	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.083698	-4.10%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3406	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.086876	-4.32%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2719	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.093981	-4.62%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2596	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.090897	-4.45%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2842	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.089798	-4.54%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3095	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.093707	-4.30%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3354	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.096208	-4.20%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3694	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.097531	-4.38%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4262	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.096069	-4.76%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.4906	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.095454	-5.28%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2368	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.096602	-5.45%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2411	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.098482	-5.61%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2273	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.092742	-5.94%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.1958	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.098208	-6.52%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1285	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.103087	-7.45%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0694	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.096628	-6.77%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1342	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.085502	-6.59%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2341	✗	1.00