DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

137

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

57.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0540

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0035

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.384935	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.397181	-0.39%	0.386075	-3.18%	0.0242	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.397569	-0.31%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0162	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.381148	-0.19%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0482	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.401877	-0.28%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0619	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.386485	-0.19%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0440	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.409776	-0.36%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0461	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.415004	-0.33%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0185	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.448499	-0.52%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0485	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.438719	-0.47%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0042	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.492753	-0.72%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0747	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.533646	-0.92%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0873	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.50936	-1.24%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0487	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.432617	-0.95%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1596	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.371558	-0.53%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1937	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.404171	-0.84%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0350	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.408473	-0.88%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0018	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.413056	-0.93%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0120	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.381315	-0.84%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0561	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.393166	-0.83%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0267	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.391801	-0.85%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0183	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.386665	-0.81%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0027	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.378692	-0.78%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0306	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.36682	-0.73%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0364	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.430958	-0.98%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1372	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.409083	-0.94%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0612	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.439455	-1.08%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0674	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.44787	-1.27%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0035	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.477173	-1.83%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0507	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.429105	-1.65%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1544	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.397409	-1.70%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.0999	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.38452	-1.79%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0500	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.428097	-4.12%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0879	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.289684	-1.87%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4259	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.250746	-1.70%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0798	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.237105	-3.05%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0693	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.137253	+0.15%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5676	✓	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.141488	+0.36%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0146	✓	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.143942	+0.27%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0456	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.150339	+0.28%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0378	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.149081	+0.39%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0046	✓	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.148254	+0.37%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0103	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.155523	+0.93%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0209	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.165224	+0.79%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0669	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.159035	+0.97%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0416	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.166275	+0.69%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0324	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.172862	+0.36%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0545	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.150553	+0.61%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1317	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.159082	+0.33%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0330	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.144676	+0.67%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0163	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.143557	+0.50%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0028	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.154221	+0.30%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0579	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.156681	+0.23%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0334	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.171973	+0.04%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0875	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16921	-0.14%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0103	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175517	-0.55%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0023	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165772	-0.68%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0461	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.1472	-0.57%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1191	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.161568	-1.37%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0815	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130212	-0.67%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2144	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112826	-0.45%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1420	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117539	-1.13%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0216	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.098545	+0.07%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1412	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098669	-0.02%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0398	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.093424	-0.05%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0051	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.09558	-0.19%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0246	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.10253	-0.95%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0897	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092974	-0.00%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1098	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092753	+0.01%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0018	✓	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.095012	+0.03%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0183	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098632	-0.01%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0379	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.09764	+0.01%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0118	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.093404	+0.04%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0493	✓	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096992	-0.08%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0261	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.097275	-0.09%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096822	-0.06%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0053	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097736	-0.07%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0168	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.100774	-0.10%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0256	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101582	-0.09%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0142	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.097184	+0.02%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0375	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.099636	-0.06%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0247	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105529	-0.21%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0670	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.115626	-0.91%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0884	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.09452	-0.06%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2444	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096718	+0.04%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0373	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.103127	-0.03%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0655	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105785	-0.05%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0279	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.114401	-0.15%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0492	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113508	-0.15%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0090	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.11486	-0.10%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0141	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118932	-0.15%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0169	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.121406	-0.16%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0014	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.119807	-0.11%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0221	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.123444	-0.22%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0522	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.122788	-0.23%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0022	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.12575	-0.28%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0194	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.129461	-0.36%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0436	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.134621	-0.49%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0379	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.144583	-0.87%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0487	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.15207	-2.02%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0367	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.11667	-0.19%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2554	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.122941	-0.32%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0352	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.123608	-0.33%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0019	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.117334	-0.33%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0591	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.114212	-0.14%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0205	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108961	-0.08%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0392	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.110418	-0.11%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0019	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.113524	-0.11%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0202	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.112075	-0.09%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0100	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.107569	-0.09%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0374	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.110085	-0.20%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0277	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.111816	-0.26%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0246	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.106844	-0.44%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0321	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.112979	-0.56%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0709	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.105357	-0.31%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1006	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.10123	-0.43%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0327	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.087264	-0.06%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1598	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082969	+0.01%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0522	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.083043	+0.00%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0060	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082834	+0.07%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.086251	+0.11%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0143	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.087393	+0.14%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.090859	+0.07%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0515	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.098506	-0.03%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.095147	+0.02%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.094085	+0.02%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.09795	+0.03%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0158	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.100492	+0.06%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0079	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.102047	+0.05%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0060	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.100898	+0.03%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.10073	-0.04%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0182	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.102094	-0.07%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0270	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.104214	-0.12%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.098508	-0.09%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0237	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.104806	-0.24%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.11088	-0.46%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.103352	-0.29%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0787	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.091404	-0.14%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0862	✗	1.00