8=======>

2022-04-21 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0955
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.14%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.2%
in alpha space · 90.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.82%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.21876.7185-6.93%5.556-23.03%0.1696✓1.1110.7M2022-04-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000011090.000001047-5.59%0.000001083-2.37%0.0294✓-0.22602k2022-04-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.7424.3428-5.43%24.41-5.17%0.0252✓1.22669k2022-04-28
SUSHISushiEthereum3.453.279-4.96%2.99-13.33%0.0697✓1.236.4M2022-04-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.9465330.901462-4.76%0.815203-13.87%0.0809✓1.073.7M2022-04-28
RADRadworksEthereum4.494.2843-4.58%4.29-4.45%0.0173✓0.87785k2022-04-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.9934.7644-4.58%4.204-15.80%0.1202✓0.273.3M2022-04-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.75150.718015-4.46%0.65661-12.63%0.0702✓1.04201k2022-04-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18730.179535-4.15%0.1945+3.84%0.1011✗1.149.4M2022-04-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.023050.022097-4.13%0.02003-13.10%0.0709✓1.4948.3M2022-04-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.8685.6289-4.08%5.539-5.61%0.0087✓1.357.7M2022-04-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.961.8806-4.05%1.79-8.67%0.0252✓1.311.6M2022-04-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92240.885047-4.05%0.8407-8.86%0.0273✓1.31824k2022-04-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018140.017426-3.94%0.01614-11.03%0.0595✓0.931.8M2022-04-28
DIADIAEthereum0.870.836501-3.85%0.82-5.75%0.0109✓0.49154k2022-04-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5970.574081-3.84%0.522-12.56%0.0767✓1.005.9M2022-04-28
PROPropyEthereum1.721.6544-3.81%1.82+5.81%0.1053✗0.54179k2022-04-28
XVSVenusEthereum10.359.9565-3.80%9.7-6.28%0.0051✓1.144.7M2022-04-28
TRXTRONTron0.07090.068239-3.75%0.063742-10.10%0.0570✓0.61262k2022-04-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56130.540395-3.72%0.4675-16.71%0.1242✓1.13875k2022-04-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.24451.1985-3.69%1.0799-13.23%0.0816✓1.2311.9M2022-04-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8823.7391-3.68%2.997-22.80%0.1931✓1.53741k2022-04-28
APEApeCoinEthereum14.29513.7695-3.68%23.714+65.89%0.5852✗2.2645.4M2022-04-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34920.336463-3.65%0.3076-11.91%0.0658✓1.301.4M2022-04-28
BANDBandEthereum3.6623.529-3.63%3.509-4.18%0.0168✓1.23785k2022-04-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2021.1584-3.62%1.022-14.98%0.1065✓1.021.3M2022-04-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2110.203615-3.50%0.155-26.54%0.2653✓0.41148k2022-04-28
SCSiacoinnative0.010510.010144-3.48%0.00962-8.47%0.0316✓1.16565k2022-04-28
UMAUMAEthereum6.165.9489-3.43%5.569-9.59%0.0391✓1.462.6M2022-04-28
ZECZcashZcash159.6154.1383-3.42%147-7.89%0.0293✓0.998.5M2022-04-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.25240.243841-3.39%0.2423-4.00%0.0178✓1.31223k2022-04-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.43320.418593-3.37%0.3952-8.77%0.0315✓1.41357k2022-04-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0660.063789-3.35%0.0618-6.36%0.0106✓1.15471k2022-04-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3540.342188-3.34%0.3583+1.21%0.0675✗1.1711.2M2022-04-28
API3Api3Ethereum4.5164.3661-3.32%3.981-11.85%0.0769✓0.843.3M2022-04-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5454.3952-3.30%4.44-2.31%0.0419✗1.732.3M2022-04-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.806910.78041-3.28%0.71297-11.64%0.0720✓1.00150k2022-04-28
ORCAOrcaSolana2.021.9544-3.25%2-0.99%0.0360✗0.70261k2022-04-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.979070.947744-3.20%0.83392-14.83%0.1048✓1.261.7M2022-04-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.23140.224-3.20%0.2165-6.44%0.0107✓1.273.3M2022-04-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10820.104758-3.18%0.0941-13.03%0.0893✓0.982.0M2022-04-28
QTUMQtumQtum6.54526.337-3.18%6.0577-7.45%0.0241✓1.14206k2022-04-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5454.4014-3.16%4.394-3.32%0.0227✓1.33140k2022-04-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.02581.962-3.15%1.8014-11.08%0.0655✓1.091.5M2022-04-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.322.248-3.10%2.01-13.36%0.0919✓1.081.3M2022-04-28
XECeCashnative0.000090250.000087457-3.09%0.00008042-10.89%0.0659✓0.989.8M2022-04-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.10331.0693-3.08%1.0088-8.56%0.0373✓1.14162k2022-04-28
AAVEAaveEthereum173.62168.3027-3.06%166.2-4.27%0.0114✓1.3012.5M2022-04-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004020.003902-2.93%0.00371-7.71%0.0301✓1.117.4M2022-04-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4911.4478-2.90%1.303-12.61%0.0863✓1.03725k2022-04-28
LUNATerraTerra 290.8488.2075-2.90%89.05-1.97%0.0329✗1.279.0M2022-04-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.11520.111881-2.88%0.1112-3.47%0.0132✓1.05988k2022-04-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4825.721-2.87%25.11-5.17%0.0075✓0.90517k2022-04-28
XVGVergenative0.010330.010034-2.87%0.0093-9.97%0.0563✓1.071.5M2022-04-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.5183-2.85%5.07-10.74%0.0725✓0.671.1M2022-04-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7170.696674-2.83%0.645-10.04%0.0630✓0.762.9M2022-04-28
SOLSolanaSolana101.7898.8992-2.83%98.22-3.50%0.0163✓1.26147.6M2022-04-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8270.803637-2.83%0.788-4.72%0.0054✓1.362.4M2022-04-28
AVTAventusEthereum2.472.4003-2.82%2.14-13.36%0.1058✓0.49363k2022-04-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum44.9143.6487-2.81%38.03-15.32%0.1148✓1.258.8M2022-04-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.1251-2.79%18.72+28.84%0.3052✗1.282.3M2022-04-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.3030.294659-2.75%0.2859-5.64%0.0097✓1.11495k2022-04-28
COMPCompoundEthereum135.61131.8892-2.74%124.85-7.93%0.0335✓1.1684k2022-04-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71870.699032-2.74%0.6991-2.73%0.0170✓0.9214.6M2022-04-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.5286.3534-2.67%6.25-4.26%0.0043✓1.12306k2022-04-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0262670.025565-2.67%0.026186-0.31%0.0350✗0.60195k2022-04-28
KSMKusamaHydration168.86164.3907-2.65%157.92-6.48%0.0206✓1.061.1M2022-04-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2730.26579-2.64%0.261-4.40%0.0048✓0.7336k2022-04-28
KCSKuCoinnative20.61220.0694-2.63%19.415-5.81%0.0184✓0.805.8M2022-04-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.5392.4724-2.62%2.728+7.44%0.1164✗0.984.5M2022-04-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.745.5909-2.60%4.655-18.90%0.1658✓0.9472k2022-04-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07590.073946-2.57%0.07892+3.98%0.0793✗0.7739k2022-04-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0154730.015083-2.52%0.013588-12.18%0.0885✓0.8653k2022-04-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.835.6833-2.52%5.46-6.35%0.0125✓1.50550k2022-04-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.075570.07368-2.50%0.07015-7.17%0.0300✓1.04132k2022-04-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3451.3118-2.47%1.18-12.27%0.0841✓1.192.9M2022-04-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0331020.032301-2.42%0.028143-14.98%0.1188✓1.044.7M2022-04-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.610.595339-2.40%0.51-16.39%0.1280✓1.45395k2022-04-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024340.000023756-2.40%0.00002295-5.71%0.0147✓1.082.5M2022-04-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.4763.3933-2.38%3.105-10.67%0.0760✓0.702.1M2022-04-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8821.8375-2.37%1.682-10.63%0.0705✓0.977.8M2022-04-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4923.4094-2.37%3.17-9.22%0.0618✓0.602.0M2022-04-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.164.0616-2.36%4.68+12.50%0.1668✗1.36612k2022-04-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.9534.1335-2.34%31.13-10.93%0.0723✓1.0812.9M2022-04-28
MOVRMoonriverBase56.983855.6691-2.31%50.1181-12.05%0.0792✓1.41220k2022-04-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.061.036-2.26%0.94-11.32%0.0769✓1.11735k2022-04-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04930.048187-2.26%0.0456-7.51%0.0252✓1.6338.1M2022-04-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.34245.2223-2.25%3.7969-28.93%0.3089✓0.545.6M2022-04-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.8945.7616-2.25%6.346+7.67%0.1073✗0.581.8M2022-04-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1363480.133286-2.25%0.137484+0.83%0.0468✗0.865.1M2022-04-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4716.1008-2.24%15.13-8.14%0.0417✓1.1117.9M2022-04-28
DODODODOEthereum0.4080.398932-2.22%0.364-10.78%0.0712✓1.118.0M2022-04-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.66444.5613-2.21%5.5268+18.49%0.2053✗0.736.6M2022-04-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,773.4018,365.39-2.17%17,884.94-4.73%0.0075✓1.034.6M2022-04-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034020.033282-2.17%0.03045-10.49%0.0823✓0.36641k2022-04-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.62308.848-2.15%306.57-2.87%0.0105✓0.976.6M2022-04-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4391.4083-2.14%1.295-10.01%0.0605✓1.27594k2022-04-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.1782.1315-2.13%2.0379-6.43%0.0296✓0.83100k2022-04-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.024450.023929-2.13%0.02082-14.85%0.1264✓0.694.7M2022-04-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.0373.4446-2.11%67.28-10.33%0.0653✓1.2187.4M2022-04-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.21820.213596-2.11%0.2023-7.29%0.0334✓1.143.2M2022-04-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.3814.0872-2.04%11.74-18.36%0.1737✓0.472.7M2022-04-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.59144.4982-2.03%4.1471-9.68%0.0632✓0.98287k2022-04-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0110.010778-2.01%0.01111+1.00%0.0408✗0.5736k2022-04-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.1817.814-2.01%16.97-6.66%0.0298✓1.0218.4M2022-04-28
STXStacksnative1.151.127-2.00%1.05-8.70%0.0527✓0.98431k2022-04-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.67340.660001-1.99%0.4646-31.01%0.3461✓0.27814k2022-04-28
UNIUniswapEthereum8.868.6851-1.97%8.17-7.79%0.0420✓1.048.0M2022-04-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.3222.8775-1.90%20.74-11.06%0.0772✓1.1429.5M2022-04-28
ZENHorizenBase36.235.5191-1.88%33.39-7.76%0.0380✓1.29366k2022-04-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.1341.3411-1.87%39.84-5.44%0.0197✓0.9420.1M2022-04-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.8319.4598-1.87%17.78-10.34%0.0652✓1.37218k2022-04-28
XMRMoneroMonero278.56273.407-1.85%227.38-18.37%0.1674✓0.922.4M2022-04-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5180.508575-1.82%0.4781-7.70%0.0470✓0.81490k2022-04-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13720.134714-1.81%0.135-1.60%0.0205✗1.00224k2022-04-28
DASHDashDash102.15100.301-1.81%96.43-5.60%0.0207✓1.011.8M2022-04-28
NANOnanopayBase2.05162.0149-1.78%1.9352-5.67%0.0214✓1.03231k2022-04-28
BTTCBTTC0.000001890.000001856-1.78%0.00000178-5.82%0.0289✓0.719.8M2022-04-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.8518.5232-1.73%18.1-3.98%0.0037✓1.0510.8M2022-04-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24190.23776-1.71%0.2231-7.77%0.0486✓0.821.7M2022-04-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.18930.186195-1.64%0.1681-11.20%0.0812✓1.15251k2022-04-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1982.1621-1.64%2.399+9.14%0.1280✗1.306.2M2022-04-28
HIVEHivenative0.94340.928326-1.60%0.9069-3.87%0.0050✓1.001.9M2022-04-28
XEMNEMnative0.09860.097053-1.57%0.0947-3.96%0.0080✓0.9072k2022-04-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9983.9356-1.56%3.58-10.46%0.0833✓0.624.6M2022-04-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4613.2502-1.56%11.03-18.05%0.1764✓0.381.9M2022-04-28
ADACardanoCardano0.91020.896018-1.56%0.8433-7.35%0.0418✓1.0262.5M2022-04-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.7580.4832-1.55%78.22-4.32%0.0137✓0.813.4M2022-04-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.43992.4023-1.54%2.4202-0.81%0.0198✗0.6711k2022-04-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.3290.323942-1.54%0.2721-17.29%0.1479✓1.449.0M2022-04-28
XTZTezosTezos3.03322.9877-1.50%2.8059-7.49%0.0434✓1.05967k2022-04-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.7513.545-1.49%12.15-11.64%0.0888✓1.081.3M2022-04-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.0065.917-1.48%5.7032-5.04%0.0282✓0.47192k2022-04-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022440.022138-1.35%0.01984-11.59%0.0905✓1.04423k2022-04-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,499.2039,960.17-1.33%39,816.80-1.68%0.0135✗0.9325k2022-04-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.16.0195-1.32%6.24+2.30%0.0472✗0.611.0M2022-04-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010350.010215-1.31%0.0082-20.77%0.1979✓1.193.2M2022-04-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.3112.2817-1.27%2.101-9.09%0.0689✓0.7427k2022-04-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5813.4088-1.26%12.65-6.85%0.0379✓1.1126.2M2022-04-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043930.04338-1.25%0.04137-5.83%0.0320✓0.8471k2022-04-28
XYMSymbolnative0.11350.112084-1.25%0.1004-11.54%0.0973✓0.70864k2022-04-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.96320.951445-1.22%0.8041-16.52%0.1433✓1.36231k2022-04-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1965190.194148-1.21%0.185847-5.43%0.0259✓0.9719.4M2022-04-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana54.9404-1.19%4.72-5.60%0.0319✓0.751.2M2022-04-28
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9775.9063-1.18%5.426-9.22%0.0578✓1.4718k2022-04-28
QNTQuantEthereum107.82106.5643-1.16%100.23-7.04%0.0452✓0.873.8M2022-04-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.69105.5435-1.07%103.33-3.15%0.0024✓1.0220.1M2022-04-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.222.1979-1.00%2.15-3.15%0.0038✓0.99154k2022-04-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093450.092535-0.98%0.08855-5.24%0.0293✓0.8039k2022-04-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,983.942,957.45-0.89%2,935.91-1.61%0.0112✗1.00482.4M2022-04-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1531.144-0.78%1.125-2.43%0.0022✓1.033.8M2022-04-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046260.045916-0.74%0.04194-9.34%0.0747✓0.86433k2022-04-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.1920.190613-0.72%0.1661-13.49%0.0963✓2.25500k2022-04-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.36530.36272-0.71%0.249-31.84%0.3445✓1.722.3M2022-04-28
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4131.4033-0.69%1.216-13.94%0.1251✓0.9962k2022-04-28
GTGateEthereum6.45476.4125-0.65%6.1947-4.03%0.0248✓0.534.7M2022-04-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66320.658934-0.64%0.6165-7.04%0.0484✓0.999.4M2022-04-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9641.952-0.61%1.934-1.53%0.0088✗0.9894k2022-04-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,480.8140,311.56-0.42%39,743.22-1.82%0.0042✓1.00565.5M2022-04-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.139210.138795-0.30%0.13436-3.48%0.0185✓0.7618k2022-04-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.44370.443359-0.08%0.4143-6.63%0.0631✓0.266,4692022-04-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.196.2148+0.40%5.53-10.66%0.1046✗0.661.6M2022-04-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.