8=======>

2022-04-07 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1710
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.7%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.05%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,452.1843,328.40-0.28%39,954.08-8.05%0.0029✓1.00629.7M2022-04-14
TRXTRONTron0.0644290.064095-0.52%0.060142-6.65%0.0102✓0.64331k2022-04-14
HIVEHivenative0.97490.967963-0.71%0.9171-5.93%0.0366✗1.082.1M2022-04-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.76660.760426-0.81%0.6632-13.49%0.0512✓1.028.3M2022-04-14
GTGateEthereum6.79696.7396-0.84%6.5869-3.09%0.0271✗0.604.6M2022-04-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,248.7042,846.75-0.93%40,027.20-7.45%0.0121✗0.9630k2022-04-14
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052610.052092-0.98%0.05072-3.59%0.0605✗1.04576k2022-04-14
CBKCobakEthereum2.4262.4014-1.01%2.26-6.84%0.0037✓0.7721k2022-04-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.17112.9893-1.03%107.38-5.95%0.0352✗1.0326.1M2022-04-14
APEApeCoinEthereum11.17511.0553-1.07%12.272+9.82%0.1883✗1.0062.0M2022-04-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156560.154854-1.09%0.14245-9.01%0.0154✓0.8118k2022-04-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.226.1521-1.09%5.86-5.79%0.0121✗0.721.8M2022-04-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.828.7224-1.11%7.5-14.97%0.0896✓0.732.5M2022-04-14
ETHEthereumEthereum3,227.563,191.60-1.11%3,021.78-6.38%0.0348✗1.07497.3M2022-04-14
BTTCBTTC0.000002020.000001997-1.14%0.00000194-3.96%0.0277✗0.6810.9M2022-04-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.2874-1.14%5.53-13.05%0.0616✓0.802.0M2022-04-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.53930.532854-1.20%0.4818-10.66%0.0902✓0.136,2412022-04-14
LSKLiskEthereum2.29422.2661-1.23%2.1416-6.65%0.0143✗0.84138k2022-04-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5045.4345-1.26%4.991-9.32%0.0009✓1.0084k2022-04-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.025350.025026-1.28%0.02247-11.36%0.0420✓0.784.7M2022-04-14
DASHDashDash116.82115.3109-1.29%106.24-9.06%0.0011✓0.992.9M2022-04-14
XMRMoneroMonero227.15224.1818-1.31%229.43+1.00%0.0982✗0.891.6M2022-04-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24880.245504-1.32%0.1904-23.47%0.0578✓2.341.0M2022-04-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012860.012687-1.34%0.01066-17.11%0.0760✓1.174.3M2022-04-14
XLMStellarStellar0.2126440.209786-1.34%0.193926-8.80%0.0055✓1.0019.7M2022-04-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.5816.353-1.37%13.99-15.62%0.0449✓1.322.9M2022-04-14
XYMSymbolnative0.1330.131175-1.37%0.1172-11.88%0.0545✓0.69744k2022-04-14
GITCOINGITCOIN6.8426.7456-1.41%5.833-14.75%0.0237✓1.4522k2022-04-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048230.047529-1.45%0.04517-6.34%0.0183✗0.8237k2022-04-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.476.375-1.47%5.86-9.43%0.0237✓0.721.1M2022-04-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103320.101802-1.47%0.09434-8.69%0.0053✓0.8429k2022-04-14
XEMNEMnative0.10710.105511-1.48%0.0988-7.75%0.0089✓0.8955k2022-04-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.46890.461905-1.49%0.4338-7.49%0.0212✗1.00794k2022-04-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5382.4999-1.50%2.227-12.25%0.0035✓1.349.2M2022-04-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05850.057599-1.54%0.0522-10.77%0.0426✗1.6843.2M2022-04-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.7515.5022-1.57%13.64-13.40%0.0335✓1.1326.1M2022-04-14
QNTQuantEthereum127.48125.4693-1.58%112.42-11.81%0.0316✓0.934.2M2022-04-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash336.09330.7708-1.58%337.54+0.43%0.1005✗0.968.6M2022-04-14
UMAUMAEthereum7.4127.2947-1.58%6.328-14.62%0.0218✓1.434.6M2022-04-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86485.7715-1.59%5.7525-1.91%0.0353✗0.46165k2022-04-14
XVGVergenative0.011650.011464-1.59%0.01066-8.50%0.0249✗1.162.1M2022-04-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9714.7301-1.60%14.91-0.40%0.1109✗1.181.4M2022-04-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26380.259518-1.62%0.2465-6.56%0.0212✗0.871.9M2022-04-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,290.0520,939.14-1.65%18,829.61-11.56%0.0118✓1.126.2M2022-04-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4414.2014-1.65%13.81-4.36%0.0055✓0.402.9M2022-04-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.7990.785741-1.66%0.7269-9.02%0.0019✓0.9519.0M2022-04-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08170.080335-1.67%0.0776-5.02%0.0335✗0.8146k2022-04-14
ZECZcashZcash172.67169.775-1.68%144.19-16.49%0.0837✓0.9513.8M2022-04-14
ZENHorizenBase42.8342.107-1.69%38.04-11.18%0.0100✓1.33508k2022-04-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche87.5886.1-1.69%76.84-12.26%0.0062✓1.28112.4M2022-04-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.6727.1812-1.77%23.96-13.41%0.0324✓1.1235.7M2022-04-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.54610.536429-1.77%0.5012-8.22%0.0066✓0.73399k2022-04-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.2918.9477-1.77%16.5-14.46%0.0511✓1.0418.7M2022-04-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.5523.1289-1.79%20.73-11.97%0.0027✓1.34306k2022-04-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.66882.6209-1.79%2.4591-7.86%0.0007✓0.7512k2022-04-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.8188.1827-1.81%84.83-5.55%0.0271✗0.793.1M2022-04-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15610.153243-1.83%0.1366-12.49%0.0290✓1.02228k2022-04-14
FTTFTXEthereum45.5544.7068-1.85%41.71-8.43%0.0168✓1.0314.2M2022-04-14
ADACardanoCardano1.08941.0692-1.85%0.9325-14.40%0.0527✓1.0065.6M2022-04-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.4120.0287-1.87%17.91-12.25%0.0221✓1.0722.8M2022-04-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8673.7943-1.88%3.787-2.07%0.0639✗0.782.9M2022-04-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0153830.015093-1.88%0.014761-4.04%0.0500✗0.8627k2022-04-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.784.6899-1.89%4.2-12.13%0.0079✓1.41824k2022-04-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.6062.5565-1.90%2.177-16.46%0.0828✓0.93109k2022-04-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012540.012296-1.95%0.01169-6.78%0.0042✓0.6528k2022-04-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2550.250016-1.95%0.2429-4.75%0.0775✗1.27473k2022-04-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.5289-1.98%2.27-12.02%0.0240✓1.00154k2022-04-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.1328.5497-1.99%26.65-8.51%0.0067✓0.90683k2022-04-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.7258-2.00%2.094+18.91%0.2747✗0.973.5M2022-04-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4311.4021-2.02%1.272-11.11%0.0190✓0.933.4M2022-04-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.6191.586-2.04%1.351-16.55%0.0548✓1.263.7M2022-04-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081530.079856-2.05%0.07595-6.84%0.0364✗1.03121k2022-04-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1460520.14304-2.06%0.143933-1.45%0.0781✗0.863.5M2022-04-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.31493.2464-2.07%4.5082+36.00%0.4022✗0.883.6M2022-04-14
XTZTezosTezos3.3863.3153-2.09%3.1012-8.41%0.0227✗1.071.1M2022-04-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46980.459793-2.13%0.4158-11.49%0.0552✗1.862.3M2022-04-14
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7931.7548-2.13%1.468-18.13%0.1005✓0.9358k2022-04-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.0436.8928-2.13%6.39-9.27%0.0164✓1.10448k2022-04-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.9196.7706-2.14%6.226-10.02%0.0297✓0.652.1M2022-04-14
XECeCashnative0.000102570.00010035-2.16%0.00009211-10.20%0.0040✓0.979.4M2022-04-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6591.6231-2.16%1.514-8.74%0.0131✓0.991.4M2022-04-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0030.981166-2.18%0.864-13.86%0.0150✓1.343.0M2022-04-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2910.284626-2.19%0.267-8.25%0.0073✓0.8531k2022-04-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.98414.8717-2.25%4.5257-9.20%0.0053✓0.94287k2022-04-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43150.421762-2.26%0.3639-15.67%0.0508✓1.1512.7M2022-04-14
SUSHISushiEthereum3.643.5576-2.26%3.21-11.81%0.0001✓1.237.6M2022-04-14
KCSKuCoinnative20.10319.6398-2.30%19.589-2.56%0.0704✗0.875.4M2022-04-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.27525.1527-2.32%5.446+3.24%0.1043✗0.586.6M2022-04-14
UNIUniswapEthereum10.4510.204-2.35%9.48-9.28%0.0145✓1.058.6M2022-04-14
DODODODOEthereum0.4360.425643-2.38%0.406-6.88%0.0533✗1.205.8M2022-04-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.7915.4139-2.38%15.2-3.74%0.0267✗0.483.8M2022-04-14
PROPropyEthereum1.481.4447-2.39%2.7+82.43%0.7098✗1.01166k2022-04-14
STXStacksnative1.31.2689-2.39%1.18-9.23%0.0092✓0.97613k2022-04-14
COMPCompoundEthereum138.62135.2945-2.40%144.31+4.10%0.1616✗1.1662k2022-04-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.4821.9386-2.41%18.67-16.95%0.0696✓1.098.8M2022-04-14
MANADecentralandEthereum2.41392.3542-2.47%2.1197-12.19%0.0099✓1.131.5M2022-04-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.911280.888645-2.48%0.81961-10.06%0.0031✓1.00385k2022-04-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2084.1029-2.50%3.642-13.45%0.0666✓0.633.5M2022-04-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.810.78974-2.50%0.761-6.05%0.0382✗0.902.1M2022-04-14
MOVRMoonriverBase70.100868.3418-2.51%57.0796-18.57%0.0582✓1.45191k2022-04-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005150.00502-2.51%0.00407-20.97%0.1049✓1.259.4M2022-04-14
AVTAventusEthereum3.263.1776-2.53%2.5-23.31%0.2035✓0.43472k2022-04-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6651.6225-2.55%1.523-8.53%0.0490✗1.34479k2022-04-14
UOSUltraEthereum1.17421.1439-2.58%1.0173-13.36%0.0073✓1.311.5M2022-04-14
MINAMina Protocolnative3.473.3802-2.59%2.3-33.72%0.2972✓1.051.0M2022-04-14
AAVEAaveEthereum202.16196.914-2.59%172.03-14.90%0.0275✓1.2817.5M2022-04-14
XVSVenusEthereum11.9611.6457-2.63%9.85-17.64%0.0759✓1.094.6M2022-04-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038220.037215-2.63%0.03635-4.89%0.0340✗0.69942k2022-04-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.121014-2.64%0.1149-7.56%0.0475✗1.18989k2022-04-14
SOLSolanaSolana118.52115.3843-2.65%100.76-14.98%0.0312✓1.24109.4M2022-04-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.30440.296343-2.65%0.2529-16.92%0.0507✓1.282.2M2022-04-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.40640.395491-2.68%0.3477-14.44%0.0072✓1.4510.7M2022-04-14
NANOnanopayBase2.50852.441-2.69%2.1827-12.99%0.0176✓1.12275k2022-04-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22060.214653-2.70%0.1946-11.79%0.0010✓1.183.6M2022-04-14
ORCAOrcaSolana2.082.0233-2.73%1.87-10.10%0.0201✓0.70268k2022-04-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019650.019114-2.73%0.01774-9.72%0.0093✓1.002.1M2022-04-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024810.000024133-2.73%0.00002578+3.91%0.1620✗1.142.6M2022-04-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.31.2643-2.75%1.08-16.92%0.0626✓1.13757k2022-04-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.24070.234026-2.77%0.237-1.54%0.1119✗1.183.2M2022-04-14
STORJStorjEthereum1.15261.1205-2.79%1.0781-6.46%0.0560✗1.13161k2022-04-14
QTUMQtumQtum7.25267.0473-2.83%6.5264-10.01%0.0195✓1.15220k2022-04-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.836.6352-2.85%5.84-14.49%0.0045✓1.47697k2022-04-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.22950.222946-2.86%0.1976-13.90%0.0325✓1.05276k2022-04-14
KSMKusamaHydration181.6176.4055-2.86%161-11.34%0.0029✓1.051.0M2022-04-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative43.4742.2212-2.87%37.06-14.75%0.0392✓1.0916.0M2022-04-14
SCSiacoinnative0.011650.011311-2.91%0.01055-9.44%0.0273✓1.16540k2022-04-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.341.301-2.91%1.26-5.97%0.0487✗0.961.5M2022-04-14
LUNATerraTerra 2103.59100.5469-2.94%81.5-21.32%0.1030✓1.289.9M2022-04-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3980.386112-2.99%0.3566-10.40%0.0292✓1.301.9M2022-04-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18951.1539-2.99%1.0898-8.38%0.0484✗1.2614.9M2022-04-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.7455.5727-3.00%4.783-16.74%0.1214✓0.377.3M2022-04-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7496980.727051-3.02%0.743723-0.80%0.1153✗1.102.1M2022-04-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.760.736973-3.03%0.63-17.11%0.0284✓1.53510k2022-04-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0279720.027121-3.04%0.028109+0.49%0.0959✗0.72194k2022-04-14
LRCLoopringEthereum1.01820.986872-3.08%0.8837-13.21%0.0041✓1.36870k2022-04-14
CELLCellframeEthereum1.33141.29-3.11%1.0084-24.26%0.1305✓1.38230k2022-04-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.030010.02907-3.13%0.02661-11.33%0.0077✓1.15326k2022-04-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.3524.5536-3.14%23.88-5.80%0.0854✗1.35833k2022-04-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.32610.315842-3.15%0.2861-12.27%0.0036✓1.14457k2022-04-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.6795.4963-3.22%5.205-8.35%0.0532✗1.286.8M2022-04-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.073.9389-3.22%3.787-6.95%0.0615✗1.20434k2022-04-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030130.029157-3.23%0.01879-37.64%0.3183✓1.4457.1M2022-04-14
IMXImmutableEthereum2.1532.0827-3.26%1.801-16.35%0.0603✓1.018.2M2022-04-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6565.4698-3.29%4.6-18.67%0.0881✓1.01102k2022-04-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.4615.281-3.30%4.546-16.76%0.0055✓1.722.5M2022-04-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.114.9397-3.33%4.1422-18.94%0.1257✓0.606.7M2022-04-14
DIADIAEthereum0.990.956589-3.37%0.88-11.11%0.0475✓0.43186k2022-04-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.56596.344-3.38%5.6667-13.69%0.0213✓1.0928.7M2022-04-14
RADRadworksEthereum5.084.9073-3.40%4.59-9.65%0.0133✓0.96585k2022-04-14
API3Api3Ethereum5.084.9034-3.48%3.987-21.52%0.1604✓0.553.7M2022-04-14
BANDBandEthereum4.4144.2604-3.48%3.778-14.41%0.0192✓1.20733k2022-04-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5040.48606-3.56%0.538+6.75%0.1939✗1.107.0M2022-04-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.789120.760745-3.60%0.7208-8.66%0.0340✓1.05255k2022-04-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14040.135342-3.60%0.1187-15.46%0.0421✓1.06205k2022-04-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum54.7852.7772-3.66%46.8-14.57%0.0119✓1.297.8M2022-04-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0394840.037999-3.76%0.036502-7.55%0.0479✗1.053.9M2022-04-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.077708-3.83%0.0667-17.45%0.0538✓1.18452k2022-04-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.12.0186-3.88%2.08-0.95%0.1416✗1.331.2M2022-04-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.9060.868982-4.09%0.7774-14.19%0.0714✓0.48681k2022-04-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.60e-78.24e-7-4.18%8.55e-7-0.67%0.0002✓-0.43811k2022-04-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66470.63678-4.20%0.5744-13.59%0.0050✓1.29719k2022-04-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2360.226042-4.22%0.248+5.08%0.1416✗0.5833k2022-04-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.