2022-02-13 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1427

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.26%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.3%

in alpha space · 88.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-8.76%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.721	4.4686	-5.35%	2.828	-40.10%	0.3732	✓	0.92	779k	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2947	1.2365	-4.50%	0.95	-26.62%	0.1816	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-02-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04523	0.043705	-3.37%	0.03634	-19.66%	0.1181	✓	0.72	3.4M	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.027679	0.026872	-2.92%	0.025474	-7.97%	0.0649	✗	1.29	102k	2022-02-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.437	2.367	-2.87%	2.039	-16.33%	0.0575	✓	1.00	79k	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0866	0.084659	-2.24%	0.0744	-14.09%	0.0015	✓	1.39	608k	2022-02-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.57	4.4677	-2.24%	6.97	+52.52%	0.4752	✗	0.33	2.0M	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3168	1.2904	-2.01%	1.8141	+37.77%	0.4862	✗	1.59	120k	2022-02-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.06	3.0097	-1.64%	2.76	-9.80%	0.0051	✓	1.00	946k	2022-02-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.75	2.7048	-1.64%	2.57	-6.55%	0.0405	✗	1.00	748k	2022-02-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000212	0.000002088	-1.51%	0.00000197	-7.08%	0.0335	✗	1.00	14.2M	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5644	0.555922	-1.50%	0.4602	-18.46%	0.0160	✓	1.89	1.8M	2022-02-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.116258	-1.48%	0.127	+7.63%	0.1801	✗	1.00	71k	2022-02-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.46	1.4386	-1.47%	1.23	-15.75%	0.0650	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016324	0.016089	-1.44%	0.01318	-19.26%	0.0904	✓	1.19	573k	2022-02-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.1689	-1.41%	1.96	-10.91%	0.0814	✗	1.99	1.0M	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1475	0.145598	-1.29%	0.1343	-8.95%	0.0447	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.937957	-1.27%	0.94	-1.05%	0.0939	✗	1.00	274k	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.86	17.6359	-1.25%	14.71	-17.64%	0.1149	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8231	2.7896	-1.19%	2.6921	-4.64%	0.0581	✗	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.97	77.0718	-1.15%	77.39	-0.74%	0.1289	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.07	10.9429	-1.15%	9.77	-11.74%	0.0469	✓	0.72	660k	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2771	0.274019	-1.11%	0.2401	-13.35%	0.0325	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030857	-1.10%	0.028	-10.26%	0.0365	✗	1.46	485k	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8538	5.7901	-1.09%	5.735	-2.03%	0.0195	✗	0.32	430k	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013474	-1.07%	0.01266	-7.05%	0.0102	✓	0.79	13k	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7675	3.7277	-1.06%	2.9539	-21.60%	0.1441	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0626	0.061945	-1.05%	0.0531	-15.18%	0.0062	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8546	3.8156	-1.01%	3.2624	-15.36%	0.0363	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.66	4.6134	-1.00%	4.211	-9.64%	0.0132	✓	0.85	369k	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.03	3.9899	-0.99%	3.63	-9.93%	0.0320	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1981	-0.99%	6.57	-9.63%	0.0581	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4062	0.402226	-0.98%	0.3917	-3.57%	0.0963	✗	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6803	4.6347	-0.98%	4.0929	-12.55%	0.0114	✓	1.23	355k	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.737	1.7205	-0.95%	1.532	-11.80%	0.0046	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8967	0.888317	-0.93%	0.8455	-5.71%	0.0540	✗	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8076	0.800191	-0.92%	0.70618	-12.56%	0.0137	✗	1.51	299k	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.14	27.8873	-0.90%	27.93	-0.75%	0.0905	✗	0.97	1.1M	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5723	0.567179	-0.89%	0.5119	-10.55%	0.0057	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.19	25.9603	-0.88%	26.09	-0.38%	0.1097	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.47	4.4312	-0.87%	4.06	-9.17%	0.0258	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.32	43.9356	-0.87%	40.84	-7.85%	0.0357	✗	1.19	31.6M	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.903	5.8519	-0.87%	5.516	-6.56%	0.0215	✗	0.88	72k	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	1.072	1.0629	-0.85%	0.9158	-14.57%	0.0131	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.823	1.8077	-0.84%	2.0176	+10.67%	0.1668	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.67	124.6639	-0.80%	110.69	-11.92%	0.0006	✓	1.29	34.8M	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.49	6.4383	-0.80%	5.7	-12.17%	0.0444	✓	0.84	441k	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.052	6.9963	-0.79%	5.697	-19.21%	0.1113	✓	1.03	407k	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,889.91	22,709.75	-0.79%	20,667.46	-9.71%	0.0060	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00579	0.005745	-0.77%	0.00465	-19.69%	0.0259	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	163.53	162.293	-0.76%	138.87	-15.08%	0.0444	✓	1.22	930k	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.91	0.903221	-0.74%	0.78	-14.29%	0.0332	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.6117	-0.74%	16.92	-9.76%	0.0303	✗	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4198	3.3949	-0.73%	2.1375	-37.50%	0.3810	✓	0.89	30k	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.63	6.5819	-0.72%	6.14	-7.39%	0.0132	✗	0.90	416k	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.45	5.4109	-0.72%	7.05	+29.36%	0.3641	✗	1.08	701k	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.379	0.376284	-0.72%	0.3	-20.84%	0.1013	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1611	0.159947	-0.72%	0.1362	-15.46%	0.0643	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.37	2.3531	-0.71%	2.48	+4.64%	0.1716	✗	1.30	383k	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.43	123.544	-0.71%	116.98	-5.99%	0.0635	✗	1.29	54k	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.88	1.8667	-0.71%	1.41	-25.00%	0.1533	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.13	116.3063	-0.70%	108.11	-7.70%	0.0433	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.139	3.1172	-0.69%	2.798	-10.86%	0.0325	✓	0.82	215k	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.291	0.288983	-0.69%	0.24	-17.53%	0.0990	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.244	1.2355	-0.69%	1.063	-14.55%	0.0347	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.5	32.2773	-0.69%	27.23	-16.22%	0.0725	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	333.81	331.5273	-0.68%	302.87	-9.27%	0.0037	✓	1.03	8.9M	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03005	0.029846	-0.68%	0.02715	-9.65%	0.0147	✓	0.87	6.2M	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.52	91.9035	-0.67%	84.46	-8.71%	0.0015	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.89	51.5473	-0.66%	49.33	-4.93%	0.0869	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	174.01	172.8782	-0.65%	153.87	-11.57%	0.0203	✓	1.05	1.2M	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.01	1.0035	-0.64%	1.1176	+10.66%	0.2177	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.97	121.1994	-0.63%	107.71	-11.69%	0.0235	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.08	57.7148	-0.63%	52.1	-10.30%	0.0119	✗	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01099	0.010921	-0.63%	0.00962	-12.47%	0.0017	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.9	1.8882	-0.62%	1.44	-24.21%	0.1623	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7371	-0.62%	2.5	-9.22%	0.0335	✗	1.35	1.0M	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.272	7.2281	-0.60%	6.591	-9.36%	0.0601	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.126	19.0126	-0.59%	18.962	-0.86%	0.1227	✗	1.37	10.2M	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1686	0.167644	-0.57%	0.154	-8.66%	0.0189	✓	0.72	388k	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01193	0.011866	-0.53%	0.01078	-9.64%	0.0456	✗	1.54	1.7M	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	4.0386	-0.53%	4.38	+7.88%	0.1960	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.52	2.5068	-0.52%	2.28	-9.52%	0.0001	✓	1.04	415k	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.16	39.9497	-0.52%	34.75	-13.47%	0.0047	✓	1.57	400k	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4786	3.4609	-0.51%	3.02	-13.18%	0.0329	✓	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	82.6677	82.2489	-0.51%	74.3242	-10.09%	0.0327	✗	1.46	315k	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.388	2.376	-0.50%	2.067	-13.44%	0.0401	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2688	0.267477	-0.49%	0.2213	-17.67%	0.0464	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.86	25.735	-0.48%	23.63	-8.62%	0.0553	✗	1.53	2.0M	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6521	-0.48%	1.49	-10.24%	0.0128	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6296	0.626593	-0.48%	0.5079	-19.33%	0.0675	✓	1.55	723k	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.75	2.7369	-0.48%	2.55	-7.27%	0.0594	✗	1.42	18.4M	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.443	0.440889	-0.48%	0.3961	-10.59%	0.0311	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.77	19.6758	-0.48%	18.7	-5.41%	0.0563	✗	1.17	24.9M	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,074.99	41,876.02	-0.47%	38,389.03	-8.76%	0.0047	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9151	0.910818	-0.47%	0.8239	-9.97%	0.0412	✗	1.54	637k	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210311	0.209332	-0.47%	0.194647	-7.45%	0.0231	✗	1.05	23.0M	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008177	0.000081401	-0.45%	0.00007437	-9.05%	0.0155	✗	1.15	5.5M	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.387	3.3718	-0.45%	3.107	-8.27%	0.0006	✓	0.90	502k	2022-02-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.7463	-0.44%	15.23	-9.45%	0.0653	✗	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7279	1.7205	-0.43%	1.6203	-6.23%	0.0429	✗	1.12	69k	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.88	0.876259	-0.43%	0.796	-9.55%	0.0311	✗	1.39	2.4M	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01036	0.010317	-0.42%	0.00912	-11.97%	0.0283	✓	1.04	489k	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.499	0.496953	-0.41%	0.471	-5.61%	0.0808	✗	1.47	4.5M	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1334	1.1287	-0.41%	0.98512	-13.08%	0.0391	✓	1.06	239k	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0431	1.039	-0.39%	0.9319	-10.66%	0.0052	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.11	0.109571	-0.39%	0.0988	-10.18%	0.0056	✓	1.07	37k	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.29	157.677	-0.39%	137.55	-13.10%	0.0073	✓	1.41	8.6M	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.9869	-0.38%	5.36	-10.82%	0.0156	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2812	0.280147	-0.37%	0.2525	-10.21%	0.0008	✓	1.12	538k	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8484	0.845255	-0.37%	0.7859	-7.37%	0.0261	✗	1.08	12.4M	2022-02-20
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.6	1.5943	-0.36%	1.454	-9.13%	0.0153	✗	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.043319	0.043166	-0.35%	0.051219	+18.24%	0.2848	✗	1.24	7.4M	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4809	-0.35%	5.01	-8.91%	0.0153	✓	0.81	398k	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.747	0.744427	-0.34%	0.7	-6.29%	0.0400	✗	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4207	0.419269	-0.34%	0.3785	-10.03%	0.0613	✗	1.78	29.1M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.89	5.8701	-0.34%	4.65	-21.05%	0.1320	✓	1.10	599k	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021469	0.021397	-0.34%	0.019255	-10.31%	0.0073	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1025	0.102183	-0.31%	0.091	-11.22%	0.0289	✗	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.0847	-0.30%	12.98	-14.21%	0.0528	✓	1.06	483k	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.56	20.4992	-0.30%	19.82	-3.60%	0.0778	✗	1.22	10.5M	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,872.84	2,864.48	-0.29%	2,622.47	-8.72%	0.0153	✗	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5106	6.4917	-0.29%	6.2326	-4.27%	0.0920	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.071195	-0.29%	0.0654	-8.40%	0.0179	✗	1.12	17k	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.995	-0.25%	1.73	-13.50%	0.0216	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.03	101.8018	-0.22%	98.1	-3.85%	0.0679	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3949	-0.20%	7.17	-3.24%	0.0036	✓	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2009	0.200495	-0.20%	0.1863	-7.27%	0.0570	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.38	21.3398	-0.19%	18.79	-12.11%	0.0164	✗	1.57	375k	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07534	0.075198	-0.19%	0.06754	-10.35%	0.0380	✓	0.76	84k	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.60939	0.608402	-0.16%	0.570834	-6.33%	0.0439	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.5752	-0.16%	14.6	-6.41%	0.0461	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09518	0.095033	-0.15%	0.08575	-9.91%	0.0031	✓	1.09	51k	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1144	2.1112	-0.15%	1.9689	-6.88%	0.0425	✗	1.22	486k	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05267	0.052594	-0.14%	0.0487	-7.54%	0.0526	✗	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148727	0.148545	-0.12%	0.136714	-8.08%	0.0123	✗	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.35	10.3405	-0.09%	9.36	-9.57%	0.0235	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.06	1.0595	-0.05%	0.9	-15.09%	0.0340	✓	1.41	655k	2022-02-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.084	0.083964	-0.04%	0.0729	-13.21%	0.0281	✓	1.24	195k	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.92	92.9064	-0.01%	90.78	-2.30%	0.0931	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03066	0.030658	-0.01%	0.02116	-30.98%	0.2688	✓	1.11	9.8M	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.29	+0.00%	1.82	-20.52%	0.1406	✗	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,091.20	42,102.18	+0.03%	38,642.80	-8.19%	0.0034	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003011	0.000030133	+0.08%	0.00002547	-15.41%	0.0381	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.7	8.7149	+0.17%	8.95	+2.87%	0.1481	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17187	0.172228	+0.21%	0.15607	-9.19%	0.0510	✓	1.63	36k	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04259	0.042681	+0.21%	0.03914	-8.10%	0.0176	✓	1.14	30k	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7726	6.7915	+0.28%	6.2563	-7.62%	0.0002	✓	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5345	0.538347	+0.72%	0.516	-3.46%	0.0787	✓	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064588	0.065083	+0.77%	0.06201	-3.99%	0.0360	✓	0.92	344k	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.