2022-02-03 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2420

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+10.52%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.5%

in alpha space · 8.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4765	0.480131	+0.76%	0.5138	+7.83%	0.2278	✗	1.92	44.4M	2022-02-10
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03949	0.039749	+0.65%	0.0397	+0.53%	0.1709	✗	1.10	9.0M	2022-02-10
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00612	0.006152	+0.52%	0.00696	+13.73%	0.2339	✗	2.33	21.3M	2022-02-10
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3716	0.373408	+0.49%	0.6635	+78.55%	0.3183	✓	1.67	1.8M	2022-02-10
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,329.91	37,322.12	-0.02%	43,527.71	+16.60%	0.0002	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-10
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.05985	0.059815	-0.06%	0.068608	+14.63%	0.0046	✓	0.92	396k	2022-02-10
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,210.50	37,181.12	-0.08%	43,566.60	+17.08%	0.0048	✗	1.00	51k	2022-02-10
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8505	0.849433	-0.13%	1.0404	+22.33%	0.0779	✓	1.83	852k	2022-02-10
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05362	0.053524	-0.18%	0.05799	+8.15%	0.1382	✓	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-10
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04063	0.040542	-0.22%	0.04451	+9.55%	0.0778	✓	1.11	28k	2022-02-10
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.31	16.2732	-0.23%	17.51	+7.36%	0.1154	✓	1.23	85.9M	2022-02-10
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.0772	2.0723	-0.24%	2.3689	+14.05%	0.0530	✓	1.22	888k	2022-02-10
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.748	4.7355	-0.26%	5.533	+16.53%	0.0020	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-10
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.23	94.9616	-0.28%	111.66	+17.25%	0.0194	✓	1.18	2.8M	2022-02-10
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.65	5.6328	-0.30%	6.43	+13.81%	0.0126	✓	0.94	832k	2022-02-10
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7329	6.7113	-0.32%	6.9043	+2.55%	0.1160	✓	0.94	4.1M	2022-02-10
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.88	6.8578	-0.32%	7.67	+11.48%	0.0740	✗	0.25	1.1M	2022-02-10
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03828	0.038156	-0.32%	0.035501	-7.26%	0.3110	✓	1.55	131k	2022-02-10
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.89	146.4071	-0.33%	179.36	+22.10%	0.0492	✗	1.00	1.7M	2022-02-10
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.39	10.3544	-0.34%	11.41	+9.82%	0.1094	✓	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-10
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,697.59	2,688.15	-0.35%	3,074.85	+13.99%	0.0352	✓	1.10	573.1M	2022-02-10
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.72	29.615	-0.35%	29.1	-2.09%	0.2007	✓	1.19	114.8M	2022-02-10
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.254	0.253049	-0.37%	0.281	+10.63%	0.0401	✓	0.94	70k	2022-02-10
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8308	0.827677	-0.38%	1.3202	+58.91%	0.2455	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-10
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.46	23.3718	-0.38%	28.06	+19.61%	0.0603	✗	0.80	484k	2022-02-10
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.061	1.0569	-0.38%	1.1515	+8.53%	0.0917	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-02-10
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.136	4.1199	-0.39%	4.61	+11.46%	0.0146	✓	0.83	351k	2022-02-10
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002075	0.000020667	-0.40%	0.00003081	+48.48%	0.1843	✗	1.40	1.6M	2022-02-10
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0807	0.080372	-0.41%	0.0919	+13.88%	0.0535	✓	1.22	299k	2022-02-10
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.5146	74.2066	-0.41%	94.3677	+26.64%	0.0423	✗	1.29	351k	2022-02-10
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.19	8.156	-0.41%	9.7	+18.44%	0.0297	✓	1.32	2.5M	2022-02-10
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.773	5.749	-0.42%	6.466	+12.00%	0.0129	✓	0.85	115k	2022-02-10
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.0981	6.0727	-0.42%	7.1425	+17.13%	0.0594	✓	1.44	174k	2022-02-10
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.23	51.0112	-0.43%	52.32	+2.13%	0.2405	✓	1.73	8.8M	2022-02-10
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00935	0.00931	-0.43%	0.01337	+42.99%	0.1644	✗	1.29	1.8M	2022-02-10
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.95	13.8893	-0.44%	16.26	+16.56%	0.0042	✓	1.00	731k	2022-02-10
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.13787	0.137263	-0.44%	0.151631	+9.98%	0.0632	✓	1.06	7.1M	2022-02-10
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.2104	3.1957	-0.46%	3.5527	+10.66%	0.0636	✓	1.10	2.7M	2022-02-10
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.17	6.1409	-0.47%	6.86	+11.18%	0.0121	✓	0.80	504k	2022-02-10
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02918	0.029037	-0.49%	0.03045	+4.35%	0.0859	✓	0.87	8.0M	2022-02-10
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.77	42.5395	-0.54%	44.55	+4.16%	0.1423	✓	1.23	35.8M	2022-02-10
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09321	0.092704	-0.54%	0.10255	+10.02%	0.0584	✓	1.04	47k	2022-02-10
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.38	3.3608	-0.57%	3.9	+15.38%	0.0434	✓	1.25	2.4M	2022-02-10
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.0873	-0.57%	8.495	+19.18%	0.1437	✗	0.24	40k	2022-02-10
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.44	2.426	-0.57%	2.7	+10.66%	0.0495	✓	1.02	644k	2022-02-10
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6279	1.6184	-0.58%	1.8836	+15.71%	0.0162	✓	1.09	76k	2022-02-10
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.874	0.868867	-0.59%	1.029	+17.73%	0.0416	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-10
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4435	0.440876	-0.59%	0.5118	+15.40%	0.0707	✓	1.43	2.1M	2022-02-10
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07603	0.075565	-0.61%	0.0828	+8.90%	0.0225	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-10
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014662	0.014571	-0.62%	0.017169	+17.10%	0.0135	✓	1.16	2.7M	2022-02-10
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	162.76	161.7446	-0.62%	179.15	+10.07%	0.0793	✓	1.18	1.2M	2022-02-10
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	18.42	18.305	-0.62%	18.94	+2.82%	0.2477	✓	1.83	3.9M	2022-02-10
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.37	25.2102	-0.63%	33.86	+33.46%	0.0416	✗	1.65	2.3M	2022-02-10
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1839	0.182737	-0.63%	0.2242	+21.91%	0.0005	✓	1.33	3.6M	2022-02-10
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.294	1.2858	-0.63%	1.323	+2.24%	0.1630	✓	1.25	3.5M	2022-02-10
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.28	19.1569	-0.64%	23.69	+22.87%	0.0279	✓	1.56	422k	2022-02-10
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0657	0.065278	-0.64%	0.076	+15.68%	0.0168	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-10
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.19506	0.193804	-0.64%	0.23172	+18.79%	0.0201	✗	1.03	25.9M	2022-02-10
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	101.02	100.3691	-0.64%	124.85	+23.59%	0.0136	✗	1.33	6.6M	2022-02-10
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2853	0.28345	-0.65%	0.3093	+8.41%	0.1639	✓	1.64	4.2M	2022-02-10
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.88	27.6951	-0.66%	34.39	+23.35%	0.0498	✗	1.09	3.6M	2022-02-10
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.325803	-0.67%	0.408	+24.39%	0.0156	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-02-10
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6487	-0.68%	1.8	+8.43%	0.1118	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-10
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	111.02	110.2568	-0.69%	134.59	+21.23%	0.0089	✓	1.36	33.8M	2022-02-10
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.12	6.0778	-0.69%	6.84	+11.76%	0.0158	✓	0.87	503k	2022-02-10
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1138	0.113015	-0.69%	0.1482	+30.23%	0.0657	✗	1.34	3.4M	2022-02-10
XVG	Verge	native	0.00994	0.009871	-0.69%	0.01219	+22.64%	0.0078	✗	1.32	1.4M	2022-02-10
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.11	3.0885	-0.69%	3.2	+2.89%	0.1901	✓	1.47	22.3M	2022-02-10
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.036103	0.035852	-0.70%	0.050395	+39.59%	0.1492	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-02-10
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.695	1.6831	-0.70%	1.987	+17.23%	0.0279	✓	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-10
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2342	-0.70%	2.07	-8.00%	0.2985	✓	1.45	2.5M	2022-02-10
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.66	0.655345	-0.71%	1	+51.52%	0.1342	✗	1.88	1.0M	2022-02-10
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2361	0.23441	-0.72%	0.2774	+17.49%	0.0111	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-10
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	152.86	151.7653	-0.72%	175.4	+14.75%	0.0730	✓	1.42	11.9M	2022-02-10
SOL	Solana	Solana	101.93	101.1948	-0.72%	106.25	+4.24%	0.1375	✓	1.21	191.4M	2022-02-10
KCS	KuCoin	native	17.927	17.7955	-0.73%	20.473	+14.20%	0.0911	✓	1.51	10.5M	2022-02-10
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.718	0.712722	-0.74%	0.845	+17.69%	0.0059	✓	1.07	1.6M	2022-02-10
XEM	NEM	native	0.1027	0.101942	-0.74%	0.1139	+10.91%	0.0435	✓	1.01	41k	2022-02-10
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1064	0.105587	-0.76%	0.1163	+9.30%	0.1321	✓	1.49	1.6M	2022-02-10
XEC	eCash	native	0.0000764	0.000075813	-0.77%	0.0000925	+21.07%	0.0243	✗	1.14	5.6M	2022-02-10
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01026	0.010181	-0.77%	0.01138	+10.92%	0.0476	✓	1.03	572k	2022-02-10
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	281.46	279.2653	-0.78%	341.1	+21.19%	0.0403	✗	1.04	7.6M	2022-02-10
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.085	6.0369	-0.79%	7.756	+27.46%	0.0922	✗	1.03	341k	2022-02-10
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.936	0.928559	-0.79%	0.9822	+4.94%	0.1237	✓	1.17	31.5M	2022-02-10
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0916	3.067	-0.80%	3.654	+18.19%	0.0168	✗	1.03	2.2M	2022-02-10
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0321	0.031844	-0.80%	0.035	+9.03%	0.1273	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.69	38.3708	-0.82%	45.02	+16.36%	0.0865	✓	1.60	596k	2022-02-10
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.81	20.6349	-0.84%	21.59	+3.75%	0.1409	✓	1.21	31.5M	2022-02-10
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.45	14.3281	-0.84%	18.01	+24.64%	0.1208	✗	0.70	879k	2022-02-10
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0616	0.061075	-0.85%	0.1041	+68.99%	0.3353	✗	1.29	548k	2022-02-10
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	68.49	67.9053	-0.85%	91.18	+33.13%	0.0847	✗	1.37	89.7M	2022-02-10
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.49	2.4687	-0.85%	2.76	+10.84%	0.0766	✓	1.22	524k	2022-02-10
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5436	0.538928	-0.86%	0.6038	+11.07%	0.0887	✓	1.32	2.7M	2022-02-10
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.12	5.0758	-0.86%	5.69	+11.13%	0.0467	✓	1.05	971k	2022-02-10
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.4	3.3703	-0.87%	4.48	+31.76%	0.2488	✗	0.23	1.5M	2022-02-10
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		89.8	89.0149	-0.87%	98.35	+9.52%	0.0447	✓	0.94	1.6M	2022-02-10
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.139	0.137774	-0.88%	0.1649	+18.63%	0.0263	✗	1.00	337k	2022-02-10
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.37	20.19	-0.88%	23.14	+13.60%	0.0485	✓	1.20	10.4M	2022-02-10
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.526	0.521333	-0.89%	0.562	+6.84%	0.1611	✓	1.54	4.6M	2022-02-10
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.04	2.0217	-0.90%	2.07	+1.47%	0.2120	✓	1.53	3.9M	2022-02-10
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.93	18.7586	-0.91%	20.51	+8.35%	0.1250	✓	1.39	46.2M	2022-02-10
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7256	4.6805	-0.96%	5.0692	+7.27%	0.1202	✓	1.30	364k	2022-02-10
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1541	1.143	-0.97%	1.2595	+9.13%	0.0584	✓	1.01	338k	2022-02-10
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.17	5.1199	-0.97%	5.75	+11.22%	0.0005	✓	0.76	398k	2022-02-10
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.629	1.6128	-1.00%	1.719	+5.52%	0.1165	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1967	-1.01%	8.52	+17.19%	0.1243	✗	0.29	1.7M	2022-02-10
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.57	9.4734	-1.01%	10.6	+10.76%	0.0042	✓	0.76	706k	2022-02-10
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01236	0.012235	-1.01%	0.01369	+10.76%	0.0220	✓	0.87	13k	2022-02-10
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.1115	4.0697	-1.02%	6.1336	+49.18%	0.4096	✗	0.00	376k	2022-02-10
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.613557	0.607308	-1.02%	0.677039	+10.35%	0.0776	✓	1.21	3.5M	2022-02-10
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.5	48.0031	-1.02%	63.35	+30.62%	0.0954	✗	1.19	7.8M	2022-02-10
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9279	0.918315	-1.03%	0.9488	+2.25%	0.1394	✓	1.12	14.7M	2022-02-10
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.71	5.6482	-1.08%	6.28	+9.98%	0.0641	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-10
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4067	0.402272	-1.09%	0.4615	+13.47%	0.0691	✓	1.34	9.7M	2022-02-10
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1775	0.175532	-1.11%	0.1806	+1.75%	0.0770	✓	0.69	423k	2022-02-10
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125	123.5515	-1.16%	132.68	+6.14%	0.1303	✓	1.31	54k	2022-02-10
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0898	1.0771	-1.17%	1.2095	+10.98%	0.0792	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-10
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.618	2.5863	-1.21%	2.821	+7.75%	0.1433	✓	1.50	986k	2022-02-10
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020346	0.020092	-1.25%	0.023319	+14.61%	0.0100	✓	1.04	2.7M	2022-02-10
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6171	0.609151	-1.29%	0.7205	+16.76%	0.0685	✓	1.54	1.2M	2022-02-10
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.366	2.3352	-1.30%	2.505	+5.87%	0.0954	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-10
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.89	1.8651	-1.32%	2.16	+14.29%	0.0537	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-02-10
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8263	0.815298	-1.33%	0.88264	+6.82%	0.1853	✓	1.72	378k	2022-02-10
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.09	3.0473	-1.38%	3.241	+4.89%	0.0636	✓	0.82	237k	2022-02-10
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	135.16	133.0536	-1.56%	140.08	+3.64%	0.1073	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-10
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.09	5.005	-1.67%	5.23	+2.75%	0.1486	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-10
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8358	3.7672	-1.79%	4.1273	+7.60%	0.1213	✓	1.38	2.5M	2022-02-10
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0148	-1.84%	4.41	+7.82%	0.1202	✓	1.39	8.5M	2022-02-10
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.1745	3.1138	-1.91%	3.5386	+11.47%	0.0047	✓	0.86	26k	2022-02-10
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,620.52	23,167.90	-1.92%	24,454.91	+3.53%	0.0958	✓	0.98	13.6M	2022-02-10
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2929	0.287036	-2.00%	0.3045	+3.96%	0.1174	✓	1.15	590k	2022-02-10
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.6274	-2.01%	3.1401	+17.11%	0.0310	✗	0.96	3.1M	2022-02-10
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19482	0.190867	-2.03%	0.2098	+7.69%	0.1560	✓	1.63	29k	2022-02-10
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.39	3.3204	-2.05%	2.59	-23.60%	0.4757	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-02-10
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0312	1.9864	-2.21%	1.874	-7.74%	0.1688	✓	0.72	3.5M	2022-02-10
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000207	0.000002021	-2.39%	0.00000223	+7.73%	0.0550	✓	1.00	18.2M	2022-02-10
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04805	0.046883	-2.43%	0.04637	-3.50%	0.1646	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-02-10
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0602	1.0331	-2.55%	1.1096	+4.66%	0.1655	✓	1.54	1.9M	2022-02-10
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2058	1.1736	-2.67%	1.3101	+8.65%	0.0436	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.01	1.9551	-2.73%	2.64	+31.34%	0.1467	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-10
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.456	3.3548	-2.93%	3.584	+3.70%	0.0697	✓	0.88	766k	2022-02-10
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.119	0.115386	-3.04%	0.124	+4.20%	0.0816	✓	1.00	118k	2022-02-10
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.921055	-3.05%	1.01	+6.32%	0.0614	✓	1.00	391k	2022-02-10
STX	Stacks	native	1.43	1.3822	-3.34%	1.62	+13.29%	0.0052	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-10
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5612	0.542147	-3.40%	0.5753	+2.51%	0.1203	✓	1.17	1.6M	2022-02-10
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0779	0.074663	-4.16%	0.0744	-4.49%	0.3917	✓	2.53	26.7M	2022-02-10
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.1861	-4.35%	1.22	-1.61%	0.1937	✓	1.44	490k	2022-02-10

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.