2022-01-26 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0929

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+7.38%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

55.2%

in alpha space · 58.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.937	+2.46%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1159	✓	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.467852	+1.86%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2381	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	8.065	+1.83%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0325	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	79.8784	+1.77%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0846	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.2384	+1.77%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0452	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.5014	+1.72%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0157	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049937	+1.70%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0608	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.73	+1.60%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0049	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.812567	+1.57%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5115	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	99.1611	+1.57%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1331	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.0878	+1.52%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0644	✓	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.116735	+1.51%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1418	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9383	+1.48%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0232	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007915	+1.48%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2708	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.56566	+1.45%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.1013	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	94.4904	+1.43%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0180	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	167.6617	+1.42%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0351	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	93.4417	+1.37%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0849	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047833	+1.34%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1378	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.2461	+1.33%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0393	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.174923	+1.29%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0272	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.250178	+1.29%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0029	✓	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.4841	+1.28%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0361	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.326124	+1.28%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0347	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.1655	+1.27%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0419	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.9059	+1.25%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0648	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.1152	+1.21%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0573	✓	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	20.0973	+1.19%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0688	✓	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.8846	+1.16%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0760	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.1082	+1.15%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0195	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.677553	+1.13%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0613	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.3687	+1.11%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0820	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.1197	+1.11%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0460	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	148.2393	+1.09%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0172	✓	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	150.0176	+1.08%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0357	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.6926	+1.06%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0183	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.87651	+1.06%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0724	✓	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.6858	+1.04%	26.33	-18.61%	0.2188	✗	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3337	+1.03%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0501	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034346	+1.02%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0134	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.86468	+1.01%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0179	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044324	+0.97%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5683	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5666	+0.94%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0765	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021305	+0.92%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0349	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,412.69	+0.92%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0604	✗	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.505567	+0.91%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0871	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,645.62	+0.91%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0309	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.258407	+0.90%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0707	✓	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.4426	+0.84%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0351	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.5811	+0.84%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1339	✓	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.931024	+0.84%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0107	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	50.0324	+0.83%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0211	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6406	+0.83%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0627	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.9149	+0.81%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0289	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.080532	+0.79%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0169	✗	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.453755	+0.77%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0622	✗	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.03861	+0.76%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0109	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.9833	+0.75%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0414	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6615	+0.74%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0597	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0758	+0.73%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0313	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014693	+0.73%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0034	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010425	+0.73%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0937	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.1006	+0.70%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0596	✓	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5585	+0.69%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0057	✓	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.2889	+0.68%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0505	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.807813	+0.66%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0371	✓	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009843	+0.65%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0094	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.00962	+0.63%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0192	✓	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0929	+0.60%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0112	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.225498	+0.58%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2068	✓	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	59.1247	+0.55%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2207	✗	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.9024	+0.55%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0748	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.1481	+0.54%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0301	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3125	+0.54%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0625	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,478.21	+0.54%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0768	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3926	+0.52%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1303	✗	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.7088	+0.51%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0562	✓	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.030027	+0.49%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0276	✗	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099587	+0.49%	0.11	+11.00%	0.0961	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.749487	+0.47%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0440	✗	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.4074	+0.46%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1187	✓	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7379	+0.46%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0702	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041966	+0.45%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1597	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9557	+0.45%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2356	✓	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118915	+0.43%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0882	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.069147	+0.43%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0632	✓	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.533079	+0.43%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0674	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.2414	+0.42%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0851	✓	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.8041	+0.42%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0479	✓	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.062028	+0.37%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0335	✓	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083598	+0.35%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0645	✓	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056355	+0.34%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0376	✓	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	6.0712	+0.33%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0555	✗	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.3277	+0.33%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0325	✓	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.235766	+0.33%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0215	✗	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8939	+0.30%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0041	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050615	+0.27%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1517	✗	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.502822	+0.26%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0679	✓	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6342	+0.26%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0054	✗	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.00007201	+0.25%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0491	✓	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0748	+0.24%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2200	✗	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012206	+0.21%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0298	✓	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.405486	+0.19%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0046	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.3792	+0.16%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0730	✓	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.197236	+0.15%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0233	✗	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.9171	+0.14%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0231	✓	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.9849	+0.14%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0252	✓	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,878.85	+0.10%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0010	✗	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	107.1097	+0.10%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0086	✓	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.052504	+0.07%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3467	✗	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.097758	+0.06%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0352	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020918	+0.06%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0352	✗	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	289.3844	+0.05%	278	-3.88%	0.0425	✗	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0393	+0.04%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0389	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6915	+0.03%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1179	✓	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6511	+0.03%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0336	✗	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.0785	+0.01%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0517	✗	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1599	-0.04%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1585	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.142887	-0.12%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0436	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8832	-0.13%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0479	✗	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2529	-0.14%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0126	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.06438	-0.19%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0754	✓	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.4094	-0.19%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1614	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.1336	-0.21%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0935	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.602	-0.22%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1101	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.859205	-0.23%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0052	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.3452	-0.26%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0674	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.807007	-0.36%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0001	✓	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.8237	-0.41%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0573	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	90.2366	-0.42%	90	-0.68%	0.0048	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.600193	-0.45%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2560	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5755	-0.52%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1455	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.324	-0.68%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0374	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.164141	-0.71%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1490	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0209	-0.71%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0178	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.161256	-0.77%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0838	✗	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.275	-0.79%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3612	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9758	-0.81%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0145	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.5782	-1.12%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1492	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.696	-1.77%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.0912	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.674	-2.80%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0780	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.513492	-3.13%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0405	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.3741	-4.27%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1155	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.