2022-01-20 · +7d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.1302

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-7.14%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

78.6%

in alpha space · 84.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-8.56%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.680838	+1.30%	0.4535	-32.52%	0.3098	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-01-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0779	+1.18%	0.9645	-9.46%	0.0629	✓	1.94	1.2M	2022-01-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.053471	+1.08%	0.0541	+2.27%	0.1012	✓	1.00	23.9M	2022-01-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	4.0056	+0.90%	2.79	-29.72%	0.2306	✗	1.46	32.4M	2022-01-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.2792	+0.75%	16.82	-20.36%	0.0679	✗	1.87	4.1M	2022-01-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	120.7756	+0.70%	73.6045	-38.63%	0.3913	✗	1.16	489k	2022-01-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.1145	+0.35%	0.0947	-17.00%	0.0742	✗	1.29	2.0M	2022-01-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	20.2244	+0.22%	15.23	-24.53%	0.1742	✗	1.22	73.6M	2022-01-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.9861	+0.20%	6.37	-20.08%	0.2256	✗	0.01	1.2M	2022-01-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.045448	+0.17%	0.0403	-11.17%	0.0217	✗	1.10	24k	2022-01-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068965	+0.17%	0.04978	-27.70%	0.2031	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-01-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.9719	+0.15%	5.62	-29.40%	0.2832	✗	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.1114	+0.13%	0.81	-27.03%	0.1661	✗	1.68	556k	2022-01-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	188.868	+0.07%	144.6	-23.38%	0.1775	✗	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	30.2718	+0.07%	24.3	-19.67%	0.0692	✗	1.68	2.7M	2022-01-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.9907	+0.04%	19.61	-21.50%	0.1135	✗	1.44	34.3M	2022-01-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	24.399	+0.04%	18.67	-23.45%	0.1276	✗	1.56	1.0M	2022-01-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,685.75	+0.04%	37,188.37	-8.56%	0.0004	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-01-27
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0703	+0.03%	0.8838	-17.39%	0.0633	✗	1.43	3.7M	2022-01-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012271	+0.01%	0.01041	-15.16%	0.0461	✗	1.32	2.1M	2022-01-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.045181	-0.04%	0.0357	-21.02%	0.1124	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-01-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	198.2622	-0.05%	144.54	-27.14%	0.2071	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-01-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.012063	-0.06%	0.00534	-55.76%	0.6015	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-01-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.067644	-0.07%	0.056453	-16.61%	0.0955	✓	0.95	486k	2022-01-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	132.2133	-0.08%	93.16	-29.59%	0.2655	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-01-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.427638	-0.08%	0.314	-26.64%	0.1892	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.282257	-0.09%	0.2367	-16.21%	0.0828	✓	1.04	397k	2022-01-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.08148	-0.11%	0.07195	-11.79%	0.0581	✓	0.74	56k	2022-01-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.035291	-0.11%	0.02909	-17.66%	0.1100	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-01-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018357	-0.11%	0.014097	-23.29%	0.1545	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-01-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.3463	-0.12%	8.39	-26.14%	0.1974	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-01-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	1.0158	-0.15%	0.8032	-21.05%	0.1444	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-01-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	7.0449	-0.17%	5.5654	-21.14%	0.1060	✓	1.45	251k	2022-01-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	9.4151	-0.18%	6.745	-28.49%	0.3229	✓	0.12	38k	2022-01-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	120.9295	-0.18%	91.73	-24.28%	0.1685	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-01-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1592	-0.19%	0.9364	-19.37%	0.1047	✓	1.22	30.5M	2022-01-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,339.92	-0.19%	37,269.30	-10.02%	0.0157	✓	0.98	16k	2022-01-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.7987	-0.19%	4.05	-30.29%	0.2425	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-01-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	9.5015	-0.19%	6.75	-29.10%	0.3258	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-01-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.327319	-0.21%	0.243	-25.91%	0.2265	✓	0.80	51k	2022-01-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,994.20	-0.22%	2,425.82	-19.16%	0.1141	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-01-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.680359	-0.24%	0.482	-29.33%	0.2093	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-01-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.3671	-0.25%	26.76	+5.23%	0.1181	✗	0.72	342k	2022-01-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	118.5326	-0.26%	88.89	-25.20%	0.1691	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.096135	-0.27%	0.08437	-12.48%	0.0270	✓	1.16	34k	2022-01-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3571	-0.31%	5.84	-20.87%	0.1735	✓	0.64	652k	2022-01-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.00002639	-0.34%	0.00002125	-19.75%	0.0956	✓	1.35	1.7M	2022-01-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.067608	-0.36%	0.04646	-31.53%	0.2621	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-01-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6728	-0.37%	1.399	-16.68%	0.0737	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-01-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.154911	-0.38%	0.141443	-9.05%	0.0083	✗	1.11	6.5M	2022-01-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8633	-0.39%	1.5616	-16.52%	0.0743	✓	1.14	89k	2022-01-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.779	-0.40%	2.23	-20.07%	0.1040	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-01-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.4327	-0.40%	10.32	-28.78%	0.2170	✓	1.32	12.4M	2022-01-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.886449	-0.40%	0.65	-26.97%	0.1389	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-01-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8089	-0.40%	2.3156	-17.90%	0.0897	✓	1.16	665k	2022-01-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.050432	-0.40%	0.038232	-24.50%	0.1691	✓	1.20	8.4M	2022-01-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2537	-0.41%	1.0428	-17.17%	0.0819	✓	1.14	100.6M	2022-01-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.099774	-0.43%	0.0794	-20.76%	0.1280	✓	1.12	244k	2022-01-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.9662	-0.44%	3.0464	-23.53%	0.1581	✓	1.18	3.9M	2022-01-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.7875	-0.45%	2.3	-17.86%	0.1028	✓	1.00	855k	2022-01-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.7098	-0.45%	3.89	-17.78%	0.1306	✓	0.68	445k	2022-01-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012285	-0.45%	0.00965	-21.80%	0.1289	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-01-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.6579	-0.47%	3.38	-27.78%	0.2199	✓	1.13	2.3M	2022-01-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.0202	-0.48%	1.59	-21.67%	0.1433	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-01-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.233454	-0.49%	0.1754	-25.23%	0.1642	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-01-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	126.8824	-0.50%	89.55	-29.78%	0.2445	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.071933	-0.51%	0.0638	-11.76%	0.0208	✓	1.11	21k	2022-01-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.147638	-0.51%	0.1127	-24.06%	0.1568	✓	1.27	4.2M	2022-01-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.6956	-0.52%	2.9095	-21.68%	0.1145	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-01-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.0999	-0.53%	1.58	-25.15%	0.1817	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-01-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1367	-0.55%	0.861	-24.67%	0.1533	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-01-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.230209	-0.56%	0.194019	-16.19%	0.0769	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-01-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.8511	-0.56%	5.07	-26.42%	0.2217	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-01-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.651836	-0.57%	0.530399	-19.09%	0.1020	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-01-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2648	-0.57%	1.42	+11.64%	0.2400	✗	1.39	4.0M	2022-01-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.281568	-0.58%	0.2343	-17.27%	0.0684	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-01-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	26.039	-0.58%	19.21	-26.65%	0.2046	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-01-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.933087	-0.63%	0.725	-22.79%	0.1636	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-01-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.1828	-0.64%	24.33	-17.16%	0.0845	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	18.2216	-0.65%	13.95	-23.94%	0.1767	✓	1.01	807k	2022-01-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.108783	-0.65%	0.0984	-10.14%	0.0049	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	128.9367	-0.67%	106.92	-17.63%	0.0658	✓	1.36	30.5M	2022-01-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	78.8172	-0.67%	64.73	-18.42%	0.0878	✓	1.22	87.3M	2022-01-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	161.0805	-0.67%	121.94	-24.81%	0.1721	✓	1.19	95k	2022-01-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.073099	-0.68%	0.065	-11.68%	0.0094	✗	1.42	826k	2022-01-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.683	-0.70%	3.4851	-6.03%	0.0598	✓	-0.05	371k	2022-01-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.839	-0.70%	18.13	-21.17%	0.1082	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-01-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.9825	-0.71%	6.5312	-7.12%	0.0105	✗	0.86	4.3M	2022-01-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.3471	-0.72%	5.9	-20.27%	0.1506	✓	0.77	638k	2022-01-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.87	-0.72%	5.873	-15.13%	0.0934	✓	0.71	163k	2022-01-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	237.8763	-0.72%	164.64	-31.29%	0.2604	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-01-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000089872	-0.73%	0.00007022	-22.43%	0.1552	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-01-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	3.0372	-0.75%	1.95	-36.27%	0.3266	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-01-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.692	-0.75%	5.67	-26.84%	0.2174	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-01-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.3348	-0.75%	2.65	-21.13%	0.0985	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-01-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.52	-0.75%	2.121	-16.46%	0.0822	✓	1.01	24k	2022-01-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	44.8256	-0.76%	38.35	-15.10%	0.0557	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-01-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	47.237	-0.76%	36.7	-22.90%	0.1172	✓	1.51	620k	2022-01-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.165252	-0.81%	0.1146	-31.21%	0.2842	✓	0.91	362k	2022-01-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.496027	-0.81%	0.4054	-18.94%	0.0843	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.8293	-0.82%	3.107	-19.53%	0.1373	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-01-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.1685	-0.82%	4.2126	-19.16%	0.0946	✓	1.23	443k	2022-01-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.01207	-0.82%	0.00962	-20.95%	0.1359	✓	1.02	641k	2022-01-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.3305	-0.83%	1.76	-25.11%	0.1615	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-01-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.025819	-0.85%	0.020242	-22.26%	0.1500	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.2628	-0.86%	16.064	-17.32%	0.0361	✓	1.62	10.7M	2022-01-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.4622	-0.88%	12.75	-12.61%	0.0651	✓	0.68	813k	2022-01-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	354.5585	-0.89%	289.64	-19.04%	0.1104	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-01-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.7367	-0.90%	4.57	-4.39%	0.0722	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.555485	-0.91%	0.4474	-20.19%	0.0919	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-01-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	103.3248	-0.95%	89.31	-14.39%	0.0594	✓	0.96	1.8M	2022-01-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	31,112.26	-0.96%	23,910.78	-23.89%	0.2015	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-01-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.897848	-0.96%	0.83214	-8.21%	0.0855	✗	1.80	866k	2022-01-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.859799	-0.97%	0.5781	-33.41%	0.2709	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-01-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.1203	-0.97%	0.99692	-11.88%	0.0205	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-01-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.176441	-0.99%	0.1614	-9.43%	0.0275	✓	0.69	573k	2022-01-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.0793	-0.99%	5.12	-16.61%	0.1121	✓	0.67	505k	2022-01-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3808	-0.99%	1.0754	-22.89%	0.1687	✓	0.91	402k	2022-01-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.637627	-1.02%	0.5092	-20.96%	0.1085	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.3148	-1.05%	2.26	-32.54%	0.2854	✓	1.09	752k	2022-01-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.3576	-1.06%	47.47	-31.29%	0.2651	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-01-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.6092	-1.11%	2.2527	-14.62%	0.0532	✓	1.05	4.3M	2022-01-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.5432	-1.11%	2.955	-17.53%	0.1177	✓	0.71	523k	2022-01-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.070091	-1.20%	0.050557	-28.73%	0.2372	✓	1.00	682k	2022-01-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	9.9651	-1.24%	8.93	-11.50%	0.0428	✓	0.75	800k	2022-01-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015315	-1.26%	0.01439	-7.22%	0.0111	✓	0.82	21k	2022-01-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.364505	-1.30%	0.2772	-24.94%	0.1387	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-01-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	76.3363	-1.39%	54.08	-30.14%	0.1763	✓	1.88	7.7M	2022-01-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.1127	-1.49%	2.7628	-12.56%	0.0149	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-01-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.3577	-1.65%	5.722	-23.51%	0.1362	✓	1.29	301k	2022-01-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5451	-2.30%	1.8043	+14.09%	0.2302	✗	0.84	1.3M	2022-01-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.184419	-2.50%	0.17087	-9.66%	0.0651	✗	1.58	6,611	2022-01-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.0508	-3.05%	0.8569	-20.94%	0.1133	✓	1.01	108k	2022-01-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	9.4675	-3.10%	6.617	-32.27%	0.2687	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-01-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	37.7608	-3.10%	30	-23.02%	0.1444	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-01-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.6895	-3.20%	2.7225	-28.57%	0.2359	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-01-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	2.9931	-3.29%	2.637	-14.80%	0.0278	✓	1.73	1.1M	2022-01-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.558328	-3.34%	0.5303	-8.19%	0.0719	✗	1.38	1.7M	2022-01-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.731224	-3.41%	0.6525	-13.80%	0.0470	✗	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.0367	-3.66%	3.97	-5.25%	0.0717	✗	0.99	471k	2022-01-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.