XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s1

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +7d

assessed

114

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

51.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0627

actual -0.0468

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004178	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004185	-2.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004207	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004225	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004161	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004365	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004384	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004418	-3.55%	0.004312	-5.88%	0.0167	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004185	-3.56%	0.004312	-0.64%	0.0392	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004022	-3.45%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0756	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003975	-3.52%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0939	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003873	-3.48%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.1033	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.0039	-3.55%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1477	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003905	-3.61%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1515	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.00378	-3.52%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1924	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003988	-3.74%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0822	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003969	-3.66%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0482	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003925	-3.74%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0469	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004291	-3.20%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0713	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003665	-3.98%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0939	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004828	-3.21%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1801	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004857	-3.19%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2212	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.00484	-3.46%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1574	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004098	-3.99%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0180	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004379	-3.57%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0570	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004303	-3.40%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0393	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004473	-3.11%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1570	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004582	-3.09%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0869	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004953	-3.18%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0152	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004293	-3.21%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1509	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004229	-2.86%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0008	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004214	-2.81%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0648	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004188	-4.21%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0760	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.00439	-3.81%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0646	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004612	-3.79%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0378	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.00514	-5.68%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0134	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004129	-4.95%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0901	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003694	-3.73%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.2203	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003718	-4.02%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1847	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003544	-2.77%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2232	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.00301	-1.50%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4260	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003766	-3.03%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2507	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003852	-2.94%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3465	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003884	-3.12%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.1063	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.00473	-3.49%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2176	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004667	-3.47%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.1887	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004564	-3.25%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2337	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004387	-3.14%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.3683	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004605	-2.93%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.1766	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004949	-2.31%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2355	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004858	-3.15%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.1880	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004845	-2.96%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0156	✓	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004537	-2.83%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0652	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004926	-2.38%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0352	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005019	-1.68%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.0978	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005126	-1.41%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.0720	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005451	+1.23%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0699	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005463	+0.84%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.0915	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005272	+0.78%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0585	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.00537	+1.78%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1414	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005197	+0.38%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0296	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.00505	-0.72%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0154	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004967	+0.83%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0439	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005602	-3.09%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0508	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005487	-4.56%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0231	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005479	-5.85%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0639	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005536	-6.02%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.0661	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005616	-6.24%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1021	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005614	-6.32%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1185	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005537	-6.41%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1377	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005542	-6.52%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0275	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005665	-6.64%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0054	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006041	-6.69%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0391	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006328	-6.90%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.0725	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006319	-6.83%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0501	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006023	-6.69%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0018	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006445	-7.17%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.0822	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006537	-7.62%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.0961	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006709	-8.35%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.0984	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.00609	-7.28%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0613	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005913	-7.36%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.1395	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005625	-7.32%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1874	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.00551	-7.50%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1603	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005555	-7.56%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.2248	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.00555	-7.18%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2429	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005597	-7.16%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2685	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005445	-6.99%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1877	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005679	-7.22%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.1167	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005868	-7.39%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0326	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005831	-7.65%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0192	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005794	-7.69%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0345	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005756	-7.32%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0379	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.00571	-6.88%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0546	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005871	-7.65%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0030	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005764	-7.79%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0581	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005402	-6.88%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1613	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005403	-6.86%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1544	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005388	-7.08%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1534	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005556	-8.03%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.1160	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005588	-8.50%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0972	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005787	-10.28%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0707	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005018	-7.77%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1734	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.00533	-9.08%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005023	-8.40%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.1281	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004612	-7.75%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.2325	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.00506	-9.59%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1678	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.00377	-7.63%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.4432	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003495	-9.55%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5869	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.002675	-17.45%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.7376	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.002455	-24.28%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.8681	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.001849	-38.37%	0.005483	+82.76%	1.0762	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.001123	-54.00%	0.005	+104.73%	1.4677	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006354	-4.08%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1540	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006936	-3.52%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5675	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006756	-2.55%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6377	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007576	-4.25%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9113	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008352	-4.93%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0131	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008531	-5.13%	0.003	-66.64%	1.0964	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008691	-5.21%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3105	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008828	-5.21%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3166	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009866	-5.61%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.2997	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.