XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s1

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

65.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2482

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1594

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.00411	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004107	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004114	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004049	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.00424	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004256	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004292	-6.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004052	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.003897	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003841	-6.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003742	-6.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003758	-7.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003752	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003615	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.00382	-7.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003812	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003762	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004178	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003467	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004704	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004746	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004716	-5.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.003918	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004232	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004166	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.00436	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004484	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004873	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004192	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004164	-4.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004164	-3.97%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0339	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.00403	-7.82%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0819	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004269	-6.45%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0250	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004509	-5.96%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0429	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.004917	-9.76%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0724	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.003932	-9.50%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1571	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003501	-8.76%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.3042	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003525	-9.02%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.2207	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003324	-8.83%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.2448	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.002738	-10.38%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.4195	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003524	-9.27%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.1460	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003592	-9.49%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.1346	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003635	-9.35%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.1191	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.00458	-6.56%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1469	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004503	-6.87%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0722	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004404	-6.66%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0542	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004222	-6.79%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0203	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004459	-6.00%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0109	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004844	-4.39%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2280	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004702	-6.26%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0862	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004701	-5.85%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0930	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004367	-6.47%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1537	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.00479	-5.08%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.0979	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.004903	-3.94%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0615	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005028	-3.30%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1018	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005451	+1.23%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1525	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005452	+0.64%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1252	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005243	+0.22%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0040	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.00538	+1.96%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1743	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005167	-0.18%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1400	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.004993	-1.85%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1046	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.00493	+0.08%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1102	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005433	-6.00%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.1872	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005166	-10.14%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.0868	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005021	-13.73%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0670	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005063	-14.04%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.1680	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005114	-14.62%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3052	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005102	-14.86%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.2967	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.00501	-15.31%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.3371	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005006	-15.58%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.5139	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005124	-15.56%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.2975	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.005523	-14.69%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.3490	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.005828	-14.26%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.3915	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.005842	-13.86%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.1957	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005555	-13.94%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.1603	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.005989	-13.74%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.2624	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006082	-14.05%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.3198	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006264	-14.43%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3009	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.005697	-13.27%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1221	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005517	-13.56%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.0920	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005224	-13.93%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.0416	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005084	-14.65%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.0719	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005108	-15.00%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0002	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005107	-14.59%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0009	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005126	-14.97%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0167	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.004979	-14.94%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0831	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.0052	-15.05%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0441	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005409	-14.64%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.0254	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005364	-15.05%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0012	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005336	-15.00%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0115	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005328	-14.21%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.0376	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005316	-13.30%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.0771	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005433	-14.53%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0620	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005278	-15.56%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0909	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.004954	-14.61%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.1611	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.004962	-14.45%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1706	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.004937	-14.85%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1893	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005048	-16.45%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.1688	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005069	-16.99%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.1489	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005167	-19.90%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.1620	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004546	-16.45%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2707	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.00479	-18.29%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.3045	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004553	-16.95%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3985	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.0042	-16.00%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.4681	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.00457	-18.34%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.3181	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003324	-18.57%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.6948	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.002991	-22.58%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.8463	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.002064	-36.29%	0.00732	+125.94%	1.2566	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.001718	-46.99%	0.006568	+102.62%	1.3335	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.001026	-65.82%	0.006383	+112.76%	1.8224	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.000439958	-81.99%	0.00607	+148.53%	2.6088	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.005726	-13.57%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0189	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006201	-13.74%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.0781	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.005988	-13.63%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1021	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.006802	-14.04%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.1808	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.007617	-13.29%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.3343	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.007777	-13.52%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3002	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.007914	-13.69%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.3076	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008025	-13.83%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.3140	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009085	-13.08%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.4193	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.