XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s1

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +1d

assessed

119

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

52.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0637

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0116

actual -0.0077

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004336	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004315	-0.57%	0.004362	+0.50%	0.0096	✗	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004339	-0.59%	0.00434	-0.57%	0.0047	✓	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004274	-0.59%	0.004365	+1.53%	0.0204	✗	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004492	-0.65%	0.0043	-4.90%	0.0414	✓	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004514	-0.67%	0.004521	-0.51%	0.0012	✓	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.00455	-0.69%	0.004544	-0.80%	0.0035	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.00431	-0.67%	0.004581	+5.57%	0.0631	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004139	-0.64%	0.004339	+4.17%	0.0419	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.004094	-0.64%	0.004166	+1.10%	0.0220	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003987	-0.63%	0.00412	+2.69%	0.0314	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.004018	-0.63%	0.004012	-0.77%	0.0013	✓	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.004025	-0.63%	0.004044	-0.18%	0.0046	✓	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003895	-0.58%	0.004051	+3.39%	0.0397	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004115	-0.65%	0.003918	-5.42%	0.0513	✓	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004094	-0.64%	0.004142	+0.54%	0.0117	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004051	-0.65%	0.00412	+1.04%	0.0168	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004406	-0.59%	0.004078	-8.01%	0.0787	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003793	-0.63%	0.004432	+16.13%	0.1601	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004958	-0.60%	0.003817	-23.48%	0.2610	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004986	-0.62%	0.004988	-0.58%	0.0003	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004979	-0.68%	0.005017	+0.08%	0.0159	✗	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004238	-0.70%	0.005013	+17.46%	0.1674	✗	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004512	-0.65%	0.004268	-6.02%	0.0544	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004427	-0.61%	0.004541	+1.95%	0.0206	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.00459	-0.57%	0.004455	-3.51%	0.0298	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.0047	-0.59%	0.004617	-2.36%	0.0163	✓	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005082	-0.66%	0.004728	-7.58%	0.0737	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004409	-0.61%	0.005116	+15.33%	0.1488	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.00433	-0.56%	0.004436	+1.88%	0.0172	✗	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004312	-0.57%	0.004354	+0.40%	0.0085	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004337	-0.80%	0.004336	-0.82%	0.0231	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004529	-0.76%	0.004372	-4.19%	0.0355	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004756	-0.80%	0.004563	-4.81%	0.0398	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005378	-1.30%	0.004794	-12.02%	0.1046	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004301	-1.00%	0.005449	+25.44%	0.2372	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003813	-0.62%	0.004344	+13.22%	0.1335	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003847	-0.70%	0.003837	-0.96%	0.0128	✓	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003632	-0.36%	0.003874	+6.28%	0.0688	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003055	-0.02%	0.003645	+19.30%	0.1754	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003868	-0.40%	0.003056	-21.33%	0.2357	✓	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003954	-0.37%	0.003884	-2.12%	0.0160	✓	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003993	-0.42%	0.003968	-1.03%	0.0107	✓	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004867	-0.69%	0.00401	-18.19%	0.1943	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004802	-0.68%	0.004901	+1.38%	0.0187	✗	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004689	-0.62%	0.004835	+2.48%	0.0276	✗	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004504	-0.56%	0.004718	+4.16%	0.0477	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004718	-0.54%	0.004529	-4.52%	0.0404	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005044	-0.45%	0.004744	-6.37%	0.0662	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004987	-0.57%	0.005066	+1.01%	0.0310	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004967	-0.53%	0.005016	+0.46%	0.0095	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004648	-0.45%	0.004993	+6.93%	0.0677	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005026	-0.40%	0.004669	-7.47%	0.0709	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.00509	-0.28%	0.005046	-1.14%	0.0104	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005186	-0.24%	0.005104	-1.82%	0.0147	✓	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.00539	+0.10%	0.005199	-3.45%	0.0444	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.00542	+0.05%	0.005385	-0.60%	0.0022	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005234	+0.06%	0.005417	+3.57%	0.0362	✓	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005285	+0.17%	0.005231	-0.86%	0.0120	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005177	+0.01%	0.005276	+1.93%	0.0239	✓	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005079	-0.15%	0.005177	+1.76%	0.0217	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.00493	+0.06%	0.005087	+3.26%	0.0268	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005747	-0.57%	0.004926	-14.77%	0.1624	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005702	-0.82%	0.00578	+0.54%	0.0095	✗	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005758	-1.05%	0.005749	-1.22%	0.0079	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005826	-1.10%	0.00582	-1.20%	0.0013	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005921	-1.15%	0.00589	-1.66%	0.0077	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005923	-1.16%	0.00599	-0.04%	0.0116	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005848	-1.16%	0.005993	+1.29%	0.0244	✗	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005859	-1.18%	0.005916	-0.21%	0.0105	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005994	-1.23%	0.005929	-2.30%	0.0109	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006388	-1.32%	0.006068	-6.27%	0.0512	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006699	-1.46%	0.006474	-4.76%	0.0336	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006683	-1.46%	0.006798	+0.23%	0.0186	✗	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006365	-1.39%	0.006782	+5.07%	0.0636	✗	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006829	-1.63%	0.006455	-7.02%	0.0564	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006948	-1.81%	0.006942	-1.89%	0.0019	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007163	-2.14%	0.007076	-3.33%	0.0117	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006455	-1.72%	0.00732	+11.45%	0.1256	✗	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006273	-1.72%	0.006568	+2.91%	0.0462	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.00597	-1.64%	0.006383	+5.16%	0.0669	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005859	-1.64%	0.00607	+1.90%	0.0360	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005912	-1.61%	0.005956	-0.88%	0.0073	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005892	-1.47%	0.006009	+0.50%	0.0198	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005944	-1.42%	0.005979	-0.82%	0.0062	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005775	-1.34%	0.006029	+3.00%	0.0431	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.006033	-1.44%	0.005854	-4.37%	0.0301	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006237	-1.57%	0.006121	-3.39%	0.0198	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006209	-1.65%	0.006336	+0.36%	0.0216	✗	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006171	-1.69%	0.006314	+0.58%	0.0231	✗	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006111	-1.60%	0.006277	+1.07%	0.0261	✗	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.006039	-1.51%	0.006211	+1.29%	0.0281	✗	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006246	-1.75%	0.006132	-3.54%	0.0185	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006144	-1.71%	0.006357	+1.71%	0.0359	✗	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.00572	-1.40%	0.00625	+7.74%	0.0902	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005719	-1.40%	0.005801	+0.01%	0.0139	✓	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005714	-1.46%	0.005801	+0.04%	0.0184	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005937	-1.72%	0.005798	-4.02%	0.0233	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005992	-1.87%	0.006041	-1.07%	0.0051	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006296	-2.38%	0.006107	-5.32%	0.0264	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005353	-1.60%	0.00645	+18.56%	0.1436	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005745	-2.00%	0.00544	-7.20%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005383	-1.83%	0.005863	+6.93%	0.0859	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004918	-1.64%	0.005483	+9.66%	0.1143	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005471	-2.25%	0.005	-10.67%	0.1050	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004025	-1.38%	0.005597	+37.13%	0.3147	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003796	-1.76%	0.004082	+5.64%	0.0900	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003128	-3.46%	0.003864	+19.25%	0.2219	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.00308	-5.00%	0.00324	-0.06%	0.0442	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002746	-8.46%	0.003242	+8.06%	0.1580	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002129	-12.84%	0.003	+22.84%	0.3341	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006586	-0.58%	0.002442	-63.13%	1.0088	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007162	-0.38%	0.006625	-7.85%	0.1030	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006921	-0.17%	0.007189	+3.69%	0.0137	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.00787	-0.54%	0.006933	-12.39%	0.0992	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008719	-0.75%	0.007913	-9.92%	0.1085	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.00892	-0.80%	0.008785	-2.31%	0.0076	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009095	-0.81%	0.008992	-1.93%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009239	-0.80%	0.009169	-1.55%	0.0125	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.01035	-0.98%	0.009313	-10.90%	0.0843	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.