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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s1

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +7d

assessed
244
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
72.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2428
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0262
actual -0.0868

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002699-1.32%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002683-1.37%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002684-1.51%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003019-1.82%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002662-1.21%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002662-1.21%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002711-1.23%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.00273-1.25%0.002735-1.08%0.0116✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.0028-1.22%0.00272-4.06%0.0272✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002717-1.18%0.002725-0.91%0.0017✓0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002792-1.18%0.003075+8.85%0.1123✗0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002806-1.21%0.002695-5.11%0.0256✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002756-1.22%0.002695-3.41%0.0124✓0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.00271-1.26%0.002745+0.00%0.0085✓0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002853-1.28%0.002765-4.33%0.0160✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002908-1.08%0.002835-3.57%0.0031✓0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003207-1.32%0.00275-15.38%0.1115✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003097-1.05%0.002825-9.74%0.0599✓0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002994-1.17%0.00284-6.27%0.0323✓0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002896-1.17%0.00279-4.78%0.0149✓0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002979-1.03%0.002745-8.80%0.0462✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002927-1.10%0.00289-2.36%0.0097✓0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002883-1.10%0.00294+0.86%0.0021✓0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002964-1.21%0.00325+8.33%0.0675✗0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003103-1.17%0.00313-0.32%0.0134✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003366-1.59%0.00303-11.40%0.1087✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002868-0.93%0.00293+1.21%0.0165✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002777-0.84%0.00301+7.50%0.0753✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002816-0.85%0.00296+4.23%0.0597✗1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002925-0.68%0.002915-1.02%0.0257✗0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002877-0.63%0.003+3.63%0.0792✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002492-1.10%0.00314+24.60%0.1968✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002599-1.17%0.00342+30.04%0.2412✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002855-1.40%0.002895+0.00%0.0211✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002622-1.43%0.0028+5.26%0.0177✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002371-1.22%0.00284+18.33%0.0945✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002425-1.24%0.002945+19.96%0.0791✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002515-1.17%0.002895+13.75%0.0487✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002548-1.23%0.00252-2.33%0.0593✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002665-1.30%0.00263-2.59%0.0581✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002707-1.38%0.002895+5.46%0.0287✗0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002566-1.48%0.00266+2.11%0.0380✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002816-1.53%0.0024-16.08%0.1363✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002691-1.08%0.002455-9.74%0.0608✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002602-0.88%0.002545-3.05%0.0125✓0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002657-0.66%0.00258-3.55%0.0097✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.00273-0.54%0.0027-1.64%0.0178✗0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.00262-0.55%0.002745+4.17%0.0726✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002876-0.13%0.002605-9.55%0.0520✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002899-1.07%0.00286-2.39%0.0252✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003165-1.40%0.00272-15.26%0.1641✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.002996-0.96%0.002625-13.22%0.1388✓0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002543-0.65%0.002675+4.49%0.0087✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002532-0.50%0.002745+7.86%0.0609✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002771-0.49%0.002635-5.39%0.0732✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002839-0.04%0.00288+1.41%0.0025✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.00268-0.20%0.00293+9.12%0.1096✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002696-0.32%0.00321+18.67%0.1877✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.002855-0.34%0.003025+5.58%0.0626✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003034-0.68%0.00256-16.20%0.1692✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002931-0.81%0.002545-13.87%0.1561✓0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003013-0.89%0.002785-8.39%0.0726✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.002997-1.41%0.00284-6.58%0.1507✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003049-1.63%0.002685-13.39%0.2821✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002987-1.76%0.002705-11.02%0.3514✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003159-2.21%0.002865-11.30%0.3405✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002982-1.91%0.003055+0.49%0.2205✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003018-2.01%0.002955-4.06%0.2474✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002874-1.74%0.00304+3.93%0.1886✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002873-1.79%0.00304+3.93%0.1111✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003114-2.39%0.0031-2.82%0.0878✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.00289-1.88%0.00304+3.23%0.0377✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.00332-3.07%0.00323-5.69%0.0292✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002971-2.25%0.00304+0.00%0.0249✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003015-2.44%0.00308-0.32%0.0216✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003208-3.09%0.002925-11.63%0.0919✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.00357-4.16%0.002925-21.48%0.1984✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004621-7.20%0.00319-35.94%0.3698✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002956-1.15%0.002945-1.51%0.0048✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.00313-1.56%0.003425+7.70%0.0909✗-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003233-1.75%0.00304-7.60%0.0588✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003213-1.14%0.00309-4.92%0.0336✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003117-0.41%0.00331+5.75%0.0652✗-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003193-0.68%0.003725+15.86%0.1528✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003409-1.18%0.00498+44.35%0.3815✗-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003575-1.53%0.00299-17.63%0.1778✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003602-1.32%0.00318-12.88%0.1253✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003716-1.69%0.00329-12.96%0.1292✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003654-1.11%0.00325-12.04%0.1229✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.00366-0.82%0.00313-15.18%0.1597✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.00379-1.18%0.003215-16.17%0.1655✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.00394-1.51%0.00345-13.75%0.1406✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003927-1.33%0.00363-8.79%0.0882✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003851-0.75%0.00365-5.93%0.0584✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.004072-0.94%0.00378-8.03%0.0722✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004038-0.66%0.003695-9.10%0.0904✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004191-0.57%0.00369-12.46%0.1267✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.0043-0.47%0.003835-11.23%0.1108✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004501-0.65%0.004-11.70%0.1123✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003697+0.18%0.00398+7.86%0.0795✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.00412+0.49%0.00388-5.37%0.0556✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.00426+0.35%0.00411-3.18%0.0339✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004372+0.38%0.004065-6.66%0.0676✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004731+0.22%0.004215-10.70%0.1165✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005343+0.25%0.00432-18.95%0.2104✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004956+0.72%0.00453-7.93%0.0800✗-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006173-1.08%0.00369-40.87%0.5045✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007318-1.50%0.0041-44.82%0.5907✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007924-2.30%0.004245-47.66%0.6236✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.00761-2.43%0.004355-44.17%0.5560✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.00803-2.84%0.00472-42.89%0.5262✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.008298-3.06%0.00533-37.73%0.4377✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007658-3.19%0.00492-37.80%0.4334✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00831-3.37%0.00624-27.44%0.2739✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.008777-3.45%0.00743-18.26%0.1534✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.00695-2.24%0.00811+14.06%0.1733✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.0076-2.81%0.0078-0.26%0.0416✗-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007869-2.85%0.008265+2.04%0.0613✗-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007771-2.80%0.00856+7.07%0.1056✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007661-2.79%0.00791+0.38%0.0285✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00836-2.90%0.0086-0.12%0.0097✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.008722-2.98%0.00909+1.11%0.0222✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008426-3.04%0.00711-18.18%0.1893✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.009218-3.28%0.00782-17.94%0.1873✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008843-3.30%0.0081-11.43%0.1060✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.00862-3.47%0.007995-10.47%0.0912✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009352-3.69%0.00788-18.85%0.1914✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.009768-4.04%0.00861-15.42%0.1416✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009199-3.77%0.00899-5.96%0.0328✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.00811-3.45%0.00869+3.45%0.0570✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009094-3.97%0.00953+0.63%0.0460✗-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007271-2.92%0.009145+22.10%0.2289✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007206-2.62%0.00893+20.68%0.2108✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007368-2.28%0.00971+28.78%0.2914✗-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006499-0.48%0.01018+55.90%0.4682✗-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007087-1.57%0.00956+32.78%0.3183✗-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007635-2.49%0.0084+7.28%0.1129✗-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007898-2.25%0.00947+17.20%0.2087✗-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.00773-2.03%0.00749-5.07%0.0144✓-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008514-3.68%0.0074-16.29%0.1424✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008733-3.92%0.00754-17.05%0.1621✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009294-4.68%0.00653-33.03%0.3758✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.011794-5.88%0.0072-42.54%0.6373✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008922-4.94%0.00783-16.57%0.2661✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.00847-4.93%0.00808-9.32%0.2118✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010343-5.97%0.00789-28.27%0.4127✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006949-4.68%0.00884+21.26%0.1416✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007107-5.55%0.00909+20.80%0.1493✗-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007173-6.48%0.00975+27.12%0.2187✗-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008341-6.60%0.01253+40.31%0.3818✗-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009342-6.25%0.009385-5.82%0.0077✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009999-6.11%0.00891-16.34%0.1201✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011486-5.66%0.011-9.65%0.0453✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013077-5.44%0.00729-47.29%0.5930✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.012469-5.61%0.007525-43.04%0.5108✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.016749-5.40%0.00767-56.68%0.7820✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.019266-6.25%0.00893-56.55%0.7695✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.016374-6.11%0.009965-42.86%0.4949✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017007-6.66%0.01065-41.55%0.4626✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.020943-7.70%0.012175-46.34%0.5313✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.015861-7.73%0.01383-19.55%0.1185✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.019733-9.56%0.01321-39.46%0.3913✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.006364-6.20%0.017705+160.94%1.0767✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004239-3.65%0.02055+367.05%1.6589✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002407-1.34%0.01744+614.75%2.0696✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002397-1.38%0.01822+649.79%2.0756✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002344-1.49%0.02269+853.36%2.2917✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002237-1.44%0.01719+657.27%2.0188✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002205-1.57%0.02182+874.11%2.3347✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.00232-1.50%0.006785+188.11%1.0784✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002265-1.54%0.0044+91.30%0.6419✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002377-1.37%0.00244+1.24%0.0175✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002445-1.41%0.00243-2.02%0.0301✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002389-1.28%0.00238-1.65%0.0275✓0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002611-1.27%0.00227-14.18%0.1867✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002708-1.36%0.00224-18.40%0.2608✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002906-1.49%0.002355-20.17%0.2676✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.00287-1.72%0.0023-21.23%0.2528✓0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003056-2.06%0.00241-22.76%0.2360✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002702-1.75%0.00248-9.82%0.0984✓0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003214-1.72%0.00242-25.99%0.2932✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003294-1.95%0.002645-21.28%0.1947✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003377-1.97%0.002745-20.32%0.1762✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003208-1.91%0.00295-9.79%0.0833✓0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003475-2.39%0.00292-17.98%0.1927✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003452-2.64%0.00312-11.99%0.1613✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003391-2.41%0.00275-20.86%0.2340✓0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003436-2.67%0.00327-7.37%0.0541✓0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003723-3.06%0.00336-12.50%0.1436✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003514-2.51%0.003445-4.44%0.0642✓1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003488-2.56%0.00327-8.66%0.0935✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003451-2.52%0.00356+0.56%0.0122✓1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003895-2.99%0.003545-11.71%0.1407✓1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003983-3.22%0.003475-15.55%0.1763✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.003918-3.13%0.00353-12.73%0.1656✓1.12
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