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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s1

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
753
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +1d

assessed
250
of 251 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0785
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0048
actual -0.0139

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-21oos0.0027350.002728-0.25%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002712-0.28%0.002735+0.55%0.0113✗1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002716-0.35%0.00272-0.18%0.0120✓1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.003061-0.44%0.002725-11.38%0.1143✓1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002689-0.21%0.003075+14.10%0.1264✗0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.00269-0.20%0.002695+0.00%0.0035✗0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002739-0.21%0.002695-1.82%0.0089✓0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002759-0.21%0.002745-0.72%0.0118✓0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.00283-0.19%0.002765-2.47%0.0048✓0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002745-0.17%0.002835+3.09%0.0168✗0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.00282-0.18%0.00275-2.65%0.0070✓0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002835-0.17%0.002825-0.53%0.0108✓0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002785-0.17%0.00284+1.79%0.0160✗0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.00274-0.18%0.00279+1.64%0.0098✗0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002884-0.22%0.002745-5.02%0.0351✓0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002935-0.19%0.00289-1.70%0.0055✗0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003241-0.28%0.00294-9.54%0.0953✓0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003124-0.20%0.00325+3.83%0.0482✗0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.003023-0.23%0.00313+3.30%0.0153✗0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002923-0.24%0.00303+3.41%0.0333✗0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.003005-0.17%0.00293-2.66%0.0214✓0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002955-0.18%0.00301+1.69%0.0044✗0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002909-0.19%0.00296+1.54%0.0182✗0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002993-0.24%0.002915-2.83%0.0283✓0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003132-0.25%0.003-4.46%0.0321✓0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003407-0.38%0.00314-8.19%0.0822✓0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.00289-0.17%0.00342+18.13%0.1646✗0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002796-0.15%0.002895+3.39%0.0384✗1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.002835-0.17%0.0028-1.41%0.0125✓1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002939-0.20%0.00284-3.57%0.0137✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002888-0.24%0.002945+1.73%0.0241✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002515-0.18%0.002895+14.88%0.0849✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002624-0.23%0.00252-4.18%0.0396✓0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002886-0.33%0.00263-9.15%0.0967✓0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002653-0.26%0.002895+8.83%0.0393✗0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002396-0.17%0.00266+10.83%0.1024✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002451-0.18%0.0024-2.24%0.0273✓0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.00254-0.18%0.002455-3.54%0.0039✓0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002575-0.19%0.002545-1.36%0.0272✓0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002694-0.23%0.00258-4.44%0.0378✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002737-0.29%0.0027-1.64%0.0143✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002596-0.34%0.002745+5.37%0.0479✗0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002848-0.43%0.002605-8.92%0.0698✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002715-0.20%0.00286+5.15%0.0539✗0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002621-0.14%0.00272+3.62%0.0436✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002672-0.12%0.002625-1.87%0.0041✓0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002742-0.10%0.002675-2.55%0.0304✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002632-0.10%0.002745+4.17%0.0403✗0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002876-0.13%0.002635-8.51%0.0721✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.002922-0.28%0.00288-1.71%0.0611✓0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003195-0.46%0.00293-8.72%0.0856✓0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003015-0.32%0.00321+6.12%0.0774✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002557-0.11%0.003025+18.16%0.1538✗1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002543-0.10%0.00256+0.59%0.0139✗0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002782-0.11%0.002545-8.62%0.0940✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002837-0.11%0.002785-1.94%0.0115✗0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002682-0.12%0.00284+5.77%0.0428✗0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002701-0.16%0.002685-0.74%0.0117✓0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.00286-0.17%0.002705-5.58%0.0505✓0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003048-0.22%0.002865-6.22%0.0779✓1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.002947-0.26%0.003055+3.38%0.0273✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.00303-0.33%0.002955-2.80%0.0091✓0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.00303-0.33%0.00304+0.00%0.0684✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.00309-0.32%0.00304-1.94%0.0779✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.00303-0.32%0.0031+1.97%0.0670✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003216-0.43%0.00304-5.88%0.0601✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.00303-0.34%0.00323+6.25%0.0344✗1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.003069-0.34%0.00304-1.30%0.0064✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002918-0.25%0.00308+5.30%0.0534✗1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002918-0.25%0.002925+0.00%0.0110✗1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003177-0.41%0.002925-8.31%0.0829✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002937-0.26%0.00319+8.32%0.0838✗0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003405-0.58%0.002945-14.01%0.1440✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.00303-0.34%0.003425+12.66%0.1236✗0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.003078-0.39%0.00304-1.62%0.0124✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.00329-0.61%0.00309-6.65%0.0626✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003685-1.08%0.00331-11.14%0.1079✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004864-2.34%0.003725-25.20%0.2665✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002989-0.03%0.00498+66.56%0.5117✗-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003176-0.13%0.00299-5.97%0.0590✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003284-0.19%0.00318-3.34%0.0321✓-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003249-0.04%0.00329+1.23%0.0145✗-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003134+0.12%0.00325+3.83%0.0363✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003217+0.06%0.00313-2.64%0.0330✗-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003448-0.05%0.003215-6.81%0.0671✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003625-0.15%0.00345-4.96%0.0492✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.003646-0.10%0.00363-0.55%0.0040✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003772-0.20%0.00365-3.44%0.0396✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003693-0.05%0.00378+2.30%0.0271✗-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003691+0.02%0.003695+0.14%0.0017✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003832-0.07%0.00369-3.78%0.0411✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003994-0.15%0.003835-4.13%0.0442✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003976-0.10%0.004+0.50%0.0045✗-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003882+0.04%0.00398+2.58%0.0291✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.00411-0.01%0.00388-5.60%0.0558✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.004067+0.06%0.00411+1.11%0.0101✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.004218+0.07%0.004065-3.56%0.0342✗-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004324+0.09%0.004215-2.43%0.0251✗-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004532+0.05%0.00432-4.64%0.0519✗-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003699+0.26%0.00453+22.76%0.2015✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.004112+0.30%0.00369-10.00%0.1042✗-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004257+0.28%0.0041-3.42%0.0405✗-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004368+0.30%0.004245-2.53%0.0287✗-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004733+0.27%0.004355-7.73%0.0848✗-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005344+0.26%0.00472-11.44%0.1206✗-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004938+0.37%0.00533+8.33%0.0800✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006238-0.04%0.00492-21.15%0.2440✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007413-0.23%0.00624-16.02%0.1766✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.008077-0.40%0.00743-8.38%0.0823✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007768-0.41%0.00811+3.97%0.0447✗-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.008222-0.52%0.0078-5.63%0.0509✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.00851-0.59%0.008265-3.45%0.0261✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007864-0.58%0.00856+8.22%0.0908✗-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.008542-0.68%0.00791-8.02%0.0730✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.009021-0.75%0.0086-5.39%0.0537✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.007092-0.25%0.00909+27.85%0.2515✗-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007784-0.46%0.00711-9.08%0.0929✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.00806-0.49%0.00782-3.46%0.0306✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007958-0.46%0.0081+1.31%0.0191✗-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007845-0.44%0.007995+1.46%0.0144✗-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.008566-0.52%0.00788-8.48%0.0908✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.00894-0.55%0.00861-4.23%0.0441✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.008642-0.55%0.00899+3.45%0.0430✗-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.00947-0.63%0.00869-8.81%0.0911✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.009088-0.62%0.00953+4.21%0.0512✗-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.008873-0.64%0.009145+2.41%0.0331✗-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.009636-0.76%0.00893-8.03%0.0851✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.010085-0.93%0.00971-4.62%0.0439✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.009479-0.85%0.01018+6.49%0.0686✗-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.008342-0.69%0.00956+13.81%0.1390✗-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.009383-0.91%0.0084-11.30%0.1060✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.007455-0.46%0.00947+26.44%0.2438✗-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.007373-0.37%0.00749+1.22%0.0156✗-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.007518-0.29%0.0074-1.86%0.0050✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.006541+0.17%0.00754+15.47%0.1409✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.007195-0.07%0.00653-9.31%0.1054✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.007805-0.32%0.0072-8.05%0.0824✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.008058-0.27%0.00783-3.09%0.0100✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007875-0.19%0.00808+2.41%0.0244✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008782-0.66%0.00789-10.75%0.1321✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.009022-0.75%0.00884-2.75%0.0217✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.009649-1.04%0.00909-6.77%0.0715✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.012323-1.65%0.00975-22.19%0.3131✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.009282-1.10%0.01253+33.51%0.2719✗-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.008813-1.09%0.009385+5.33%0.0606✗-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.010819-1.64%0.00891-19.00%0.1899✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.007236-0.75%0.011+50.89%0.4175✗-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.007453-0.96%0.00729-3.12%0.0292✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.007584-1.12%0.007525-1.89%0.0216✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.008819-1.24%0.00767-14.11%0.1455✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.009842-1.23%0.00893-10.39%0.0963✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.010517-1.25%0.009965-6.43%0.0534✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.012015-1.31%0.01065-12.53%0.1195✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.013626-1.47%0.012175-11.97%0.1170✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.013004-1.56%0.01383+4.69%0.0617✗-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.017365-1.92%0.01321-25.39%0.2727✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.020028-2.54%0.017705-13.84%0.1230✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.017014-2.44%0.02055+17.83%0.1906✗0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.017712-2.79%0.01744-4.28%0.0129✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.021925-3.37%0.01822-19.70%0.1822✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.01662-3.31%0.02269+32.00%0.3218✗0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.020935-4.05%0.01719-21.22%0.2068✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.00662-2.44%0.02182+221.59%1.2097✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004346-1.24%0.006785+54.20%0.4660✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.002434-0.23%0.0044+80.33%0.6005✗1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002424-0.23%0.00244+0.41%0.0214✓1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002374-0.27%0.00243+2.10%0.0146✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002265-0.21%0.00238+4.85%0.0459✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002234-0.25%0.00227+1.34%0.0439✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002349-0.24%0.00224-4.88%0.0540✓0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002295-0.23%0.002355+2.39%0.0133✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002406-0.18%0.0023-4.56%0.0607✓0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002475-0.21%0.00241-2.82%0.0250✓0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002417-0.14%0.00248+2.48%0.0204✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.00264-0.17%0.00242-8.51%0.1117✓0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002739-0.22%0.002645-3.64%0.0420✓0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002942-0.28%0.002745-6.95%0.0619✓0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002908-0.41%0.00295+1.03%0.0278✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003102-0.57%0.00292-6.41%0.0439✓0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.00274-0.35%0.00312+13.45%0.1171✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003261-0.28%0.00275-15.90%0.1728✓0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003348-0.36%0.00327-2.68%0.0133✓0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003434-0.33%0.00336-2.47%0.0226✓0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.00326-0.31%0.003445+5.35%0.0323✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003544-0.44%0.00327-8.15%0.0866✓0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003526-0.53%0.00356+0.42%0.0163✓0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003459-0.45%0.003545+2.01%0.0495✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.00351-0.57%0.003475-1.56%0.0076✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003817-0.61%0.00353-8.07%0.1038✓1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.00359-0.42%0.00384+6.52%0.0630✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003565-0.43%0.003605+0.70%0.0024✓1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003525-0.42%0.00358+1.13%0.0191✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003996-0.48%0.00354-11.83%0.1768✓1.10
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