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WARD

Warden · Base · lstm_s1

token id
#545
symbol
WARD
variant
–
chain
Base
address
0xf09e4c8193f16019f0573f370f9a997b11f56638
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-02-04
predictions
756
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
222
of 252 predictions shown
direction hit
77.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.5762
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0671
actual -0.2467

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos0.0027550.002633-4.41%–pending––1.00
2026-10-21oos0.0027650.00268-3.08%–pending––1.01
2026-10-20oos0.002720.002646-2.74%–pending––1.02
2026-10-19oos0.0027250.002659-2.43%–pending––1.02
2026-10-18oos0.0030750.002928-4.79%–pending––1.01
2026-10-17oos0.0026950.002584-4.13%–pending––0.98
2026-10-16oos0.0026950.002578-4.34%–pending––0.98
2026-10-15oos0.0027450.002617-4.66%–pending––0.97
2026-10-14oos0.0027650.002634-4.73%–pending––0.97
2026-10-13oos0.0028350.002737-3.46%–pending––0.98
2026-10-12oos0.002750.002658-3.35%–pending––0.93
2026-10-11oos0.0028250.002726-3.49%–pending––0.78
2026-10-10oos0.002840.002749-3.20%–pending––0.78
2026-10-09oos0.002790.002721-2.48%–pending––0.79
2026-10-08oos0.0027450.002697-1.77%–pending––0.80
2026-10-07oos0.002890.002835-1.91%–pending––0.74
2026-10-06oos0.002940.002887-1.80%–pending––0.77
2026-10-05oos0.003250.003166-2.57%–pending––0.88
2026-10-04oos0.003130.003062-2.17%–pending––0.96
2026-10-03oos0.003030.002957-2.41%–pending––0.94
2026-10-02oos0.002930.002861-2.35%–pending––0.95
2026-10-01oos0.003010.002917-3.10%–pending––0.94
2026-09-30oos0.002960.002889-2.41%–pending––0.92
2026-09-29oos0.0029150.002859-1.93%–pending––0.97
2026-09-28oos0.0030.002939-2.03%–pending––0.91
2026-09-27oos0.003140.003065-2.38%–pending––0.92
2026-09-26oos0.003420.003282-4.03%–pending––0.96
2026-09-25oos0.0028950.002826-2.40%–pending––0.99
2026-09-24oos0.00280.002739-2.17%–pending––1.00
2026-09-23oos0.002840.00279-1.74%–pending––1.00
2026-09-22oos0.0029450.002932-0.44%0.002755-6.45%0.0398✓0.97
2026-09-21oos0.0028950.002909+0.50%0.002765-4.49%0.0204✗1.01
2026-09-20oos0.002520.002473-1.86%0.00272+7.94%0.0766✗0.86
2026-09-19oos0.002630.002593-1.39%0.002725+3.61%0.0431✗0.87
2026-09-18oos0.0028950.002846-1.68%0.003075+6.22%0.0647✗0.90
2026-09-17oos0.002660.002601-2.20%0.002695+1.32%0.0178✓0.83
2026-09-16oos0.00240.002353-1.97%0.002695+12.29%0.0788✗0.84
2026-09-15oos0.0024550.002406-2.01%0.002745+11.81%0.0592✗0.88
2026-09-14oos0.0025450.002491-2.13%0.002765+8.64%0.0663✗0.90
2026-09-13oos0.002580.002535-1.75%0.002835+9.88%0.0431✗0.87
2026-09-12oos0.00270.002662-1.42%0.00275+1.85%0.0178✓0.90
2026-09-11oos0.0027450.002723-0.79%0.002825+2.91%0.0300✓0.83
2026-09-10oos0.0026050.002606+0.02%0.00284+9.02%0.0139✓0.90
2026-09-09oos0.002860.002858-0.08%0.00279-2.45%0.0692✓0.85
2026-09-08oos0.002720.002692-1.05%0.002745+0.92%0.0140✓0.83
2026-09-07oos0.0026250.002582-1.63%0.00289+10.10%0.0705✗0.82
2026-09-06oos0.0026750.002652-0.85%0.00294+9.91%0.0484✗0.87
2026-09-05oos0.0027450.002786+1.48%0.00325+18.40%0.0909✓0.89
2026-09-04oos0.0026350.002683+1.84%0.00313+18.79%0.0855✓0.83
2026-09-03oos0.002880.002993+3.93%0.00303+5.21%0.0207✓0.79
2026-09-02oos0.002930.003011+2.77%0.00293+0.00%0.1105✗0.93
2026-09-01oos0.003210.003318+3.35%0.00301-6.23%0.1826✗0.93
2026-08-31oos0.0030250.003127+3.37%0.00296-2.15%0.1160✗0.99
2026-08-30oos0.002560.002601+1.62%0.002915+13.87%0.0223✓1.24
2026-08-29oos0.0025450.002612+2.62%0.003+17.88%0.0757✓0.97
2026-08-28oos0.0027850.002843+2.07%0.00314+12.75%0.0197✓0.98
2026-08-27oos0.002840.002977+4.82%0.00342+20.42%0.0898✓0.97
2026-08-26oos0.0026850.002826+5.25%0.002895+7.82%0.0332✓0.92
2026-08-25oos0.0027050.002858+5.64%0.0028+3.51%0.0869✗0.93
2026-08-24oos0.0028650.003013+5.18%0.00284-0.87%0.1196✗0.91
2026-08-23oos0.0030550.003196+4.63%0.002945-3.60%0.1849✗1.00
2026-08-22oos0.0029550.003087+4.47%0.002895-2.03%0.1786✗0.98
2026-08-21oos0.003040.003191+4.96%0.00252-17.11%0.2706✗0.97
2026-08-20oos0.003040.003026-0.46%0.00263-13.49%0.2492✓1.02
2026-08-19oos0.00310.003004-3.08%0.002895-6.61%0.2192✓1.18
2026-08-18oos0.003040.002905-4.45%0.00266-12.50%0.3037✓1.30
2026-08-17oos0.003230.003044-5.75%0.0024-25.70%0.4369✓1.20
2026-08-16oos0.003040.002858-6.00%0.002455-19.24%0.3644✓1.15
2026-08-15oos0.003080.002924-5.06%0.002545-17.37%0.3814✓1.13
2026-08-14oos0.0029250.002809-3.96%0.00258-11.79%0.3077✓1.12
2026-08-13oos0.0029250.002816-3.74%0.0027-7.69%0.2770✓1.19
2026-08-12oos0.003190.003034-4.89%0.002745-13.95%0.2851✓0.94
2026-08-11oos0.0029450.002831-3.87%0.002605-11.54%0.2193✓0.73
2026-08-10oos0.0034250.003242-5.34%0.00286-16.50%0.1674✓0.21
2026-08-09oos0.003040.002923-3.85%0.00272-10.53%0.0846✓0.07
2026-08-08oos0.003090.002978-3.63%0.002625-15.05%0.1268✓0.00
2026-08-07oos0.003310.003185-3.76%0.002675-19.18%0.1770✓0.01
2026-08-06oos0.0037250.003521-5.49%0.002745-26.31%0.2631✓0.07
2026-08-05oos0.004980.004114-17.39%0.002635-47.09%0.4547✓0.04
2026-08-04oos0.002990.002898-3.09%0.00288-3.68%0.0291✓-0.15
2026-08-03oos0.003180.003059-3.81%0.00293-7.86%0.0156✓-0.14
2026-08-02oos0.003290.003153-4.16%0.00321-2.43%0.0426✗-0.12
2026-08-01oos0.003250.003099-4.66%0.003025-6.92%0.0117✓-0.16
2026-07-31oos0.003130.003031-3.18%0.00256-18.21%0.1343✓-0.16
2026-07-30oos0.0032150.003089-3.92%0.002545-20.84%0.1581✓-0.19
2026-07-29oos0.003450.003259-5.54%0.002785-19.28%0.1115✓-0.23
2026-07-28oos0.003630.003451-4.92%0.00284-21.76%0.1405✓-0.24
2026-07-27oos0.003650.00349-4.37%0.002685-26.44%0.2143✓-0.22
2026-07-26oos0.003780.003623-4.16%0.002705-28.44%0.2445✓-0.26
2026-07-25oos0.0036950.003549-3.95%0.002865-22.46%0.1651✓-0.24
2026-07-24oos0.003690.003568-3.31%0.003055-17.21%0.1218✓-0.17
2026-07-23oos0.0038350.003692-3.73%0.002955-22.95%0.1857✓-0.22
2026-07-22oos0.0040.003854-3.66%0.00304-24.00%0.1979✓-0.23
2026-07-21oos0.003980.003851-3.24%0.00304-23.62%0.2147✓-0.23
2026-07-20oos0.003880.003756-3.18%0.0031-20.10%0.1796✓-0.21
2026-07-19oos0.004110.003978-3.22%0.00304-26.03%0.2689✓-0.21
2026-07-18oos0.0040650.003948-2.87%0.00323-20.54%0.2018✓-0.20
2026-07-17oos0.0042150.00409-2.97%0.00304-27.88%0.2999✓-0.19
2026-07-16oos0.004320.004211-2.52%0.00308-28.70%0.3149✓-0.18
2026-07-15oos0.004530.004373-3.47%0.002925-35.43%0.4095✓-0.27
2026-07-14oos0.003690.003586-2.81%0.002925-20.73%0.2097✓-0.24
2026-07-13oos0.00410.003986-2.78%0.00319-22.20%0.2210✓-0.10
2026-07-12oos0.0042450.004123-2.87%0.002945-30.62%0.3369✓-0.13
2026-07-11oos0.0043550.004226-2.96%0.003425-21.35%0.2095✓-0.32
2026-07-10oos0.004720.004544-3.73%0.00304-35.59%0.3986✓-0.30
2026-07-09oos0.005330.005163-3.13%0.00309-42.03%0.5070✓-0.24
2026-07-08oos0.004920.004801-2.42%0.00331-32.72%0.3614✓-0.25
2026-07-07oos0.006240.006058-2.91%0.003725-40.30%0.4806✓-0.39
2026-07-06oos0.007430.007144-3.85%0.00498-32.97%0.3570✓-0.41
2026-07-05oos0.008110.007692-5.16%0.00299-63.13%0.9434✓-0.20
2026-07-04oos0.00780.007423-4.84%0.00318-59.23%0.8465✓-0.20
2026-07-03oos0.0082650.007747-6.27%0.00329-60.19%0.8532✓-0.20
2026-07-02oos0.008560.007873-8.02%0.00325-62.03%0.8811✓-0.18
2026-07-01oos0.007910.007411-6.31%0.00313-60.43%0.8506✓-0.24
2026-06-30oos0.00860.00766-10.94%0.003215-62.62%0.8520✓-0.16
2026-06-29oos0.009090.00784-13.75%0.00345-62.05%0.8080✓-0.21
2026-06-28oos0.007110.006629-6.76%0.00363-48.95%0.5821✓-0.28
2026-06-27oos0.007820.007069-9.60%0.00365-53.32%0.6425✓-0.31
2026-06-26oos0.00810.007176-11.41%0.00378-53.33%0.6156✓-0.30
2026-06-25oos0.0079950.007084-11.40%0.003695-53.78%0.6285✓-0.30
2026-06-24oos0.007880.007055-10.47%0.00369-53.17%0.6376✓-0.21
2026-06-23oos0.008610.00764-11.27%0.003835-55.46%0.6788✓-0.27
2026-06-22oos0.008990.007949-11.58%0.004-55.51%0.6765✓-0.31
2026-06-21oos0.008690.007669-11.75%0.00398-54.20%0.6399✓-0.32
2026-06-20oos0.009530.008399-11.87%0.00388-59.29%0.7672✓-0.33
2026-06-19oos0.0091450.008052-11.95%0.00411-55.06%0.6664✓-0.33
2026-06-18oos0.008930.007923-11.28%0.004065-54.48%0.6581✓-0.31
2026-06-17oos0.009710.008596-11.47%0.004215-56.59%0.7158✓-0.36
2026-06-16oos0.010180.008983-11.76%0.00432-57.56%0.7416✓-0.33
2026-06-15oos0.009560.00844-11.72%0.00453-52.62%0.6288✓-0.27
2026-06-14oos0.00840.007464-11.14%0.00369-56.07%0.7079✓-0.32
2026-06-13oos0.009470.008082-14.66%0.0041-56.71%0.6869✓-0.24
2026-06-12oos0.007490.006627-11.53%0.004245-43.32%0.4443✓-0.33
2026-06-11oos0.00740.006548-11.52%0.004355-41.15%0.4067✓-0.33
2026-06-10oos0.007540.006628-12.10%0.00472-37.40%0.3257✓-0.32
2026-06-09oos0.006530.005796-11.23%0.00533-18.38%0.0764✓-0.31
2026-06-08oos0.00720.006392-11.23%0.00492-31.67%0.2667✓-0.38
2026-06-07oos0.007830.006929-11.50%0.00624-20.31%0.1046✓-0.47
2026-06-06oos0.008080.007177-11.18%0.00743-8.04%0.0587✓-0.48
2026-06-05oos0.007890.007123-9.72%0.00811+2.79%0.1472✗-0.43
2026-06-04oos0.008840.008006-9.44%0.0078-11.76%0.0324✓-0.56
2026-06-03oos0.009090.008228-9.49%0.008265-9.08%0.0043✓-0.37
2026-06-02oos0.009750.008777-9.98%0.00856-12.21%0.0489✓-0.30
2026-06-01oos0.012530.010758-14.14%0.00791-36.87%0.5103✓-1.17
2026-05-31oos0.0093850.008344-11.09%0.0086-8.36%0.1761✓-0.90
2026-05-30oos0.008910.007937-10.92%0.00909+2.02%0.0387✓-0.86
2026-05-29oos0.0110.009485-13.77%0.00711-35.36%0.4501✓-0.77
2026-05-28oos0.007290.006449-11.53%0.00782+7.27%0.0499✓-0.70
2026-05-27oos0.0075250.006674-11.31%0.0081+7.64%0.0545✓-0.65
2026-05-26oos0.007670.006775-11.66%0.007995+4.24%0.0018✓-0.69
2026-05-25oos0.008930.007938-11.11%0.00788-11.76%0.0818✓-0.31
2026-05-24oos0.0099650.0089-10.69%0.00861-13.60%0.0890✓-0.27
2026-05-23oos0.010650.009579-10.06%0.00899-15.59%0.0857✓-0.12
2026-05-22oos0.0121750.011018-9.50%0.00869-28.62%0.2503✓-0.07
2026-05-21oos0.013830.012464-9.88%0.00953-31.09%0.2989✓-0.16
2026-05-20oos0.013210.011918-9.78%0.009145-30.77%0.2925✓-0.14
2026-05-19oos0.0177050.015618-11.79%0.00893-49.56%0.5751✓-0.08
2026-05-18oos0.020550.017463-15.02%0.00971-52.75%0.5628✓0.14
2026-05-17oos0.017440.014985-14.08%0.01018-41.63%0.3372✓0.30
2026-05-16oos0.018220.015256-16.27%0.00956-47.53%0.4194✓0.29
2026-05-15oos0.022690.017748-21.78%0.0084-62.98%0.7041✓0.24
2026-05-14oos0.017190.013412-21.98%0.00947-44.91%0.2526✓0.42
2026-05-13oos0.021820.014965-31.42%0.00749-65.67%0.5965✓0.43
2026-05-12oos0.0067850.005389-20.57%0.0074+9.06%0.5842✗1.13
2026-05-11oos0.00440.004357-0.99%0.00754+71.36%0.9289✗1.33
2026-05-10oos0.002440.00247+1.24%0.00653+167.62%1.3990✓1.49
2026-05-09oos0.002430.002391-1.59%0.0072+196.30%1.4631✗1.47
2026-05-08oos0.002380.002332-2.00%0.00783+228.99%1.5745✗1.54
2026-05-07oos0.002270.002215-2.44%0.00808+255.95%1.7098✗1.52
2026-05-06oos0.002240.002189-2.28%0.00789+252.23%1.7401✗1.59
2026-05-05oos0.0023550.002306-2.09%0.00884+275.37%1.5739✗0.97
2026-05-04oos0.00230.002244-2.45%0.00909+295.22%1.6111✗0.96
2026-05-03oos0.002410.002351-2.45%0.00975+304.56%1.5809✗0.96
2026-05-02oos0.002480.002423-2.30%0.01253+405.24%1.7380✗0.97
2026-05-01oos0.002420.002359-2.53%0.009385+287.81%1.4400✗0.96
2026-04-30oos0.0026450.002589-2.12%0.00891+236.86%1.2692✗0.98
2026-04-29oos0.0027450.002696-1.78%0.011+300.73%1.4376✗0.98
2026-04-28oos0.002950.002898-1.75%0.00729+147.12%0.9591✗0.98
2026-04-27oos0.002920.002885-1.18%0.007525+157.71%0.9985✗0.99
2026-04-26oos0.003120.003087-1.06%0.00767+145.83%0.9467✗0.99
2026-04-25oos0.002750.002686-2.33%0.00893+224.73%1.2064✗0.97
2026-04-24oos0.003270.003184-2.64%0.009965+204.74%1.1471✗0.97
2026-04-23oos0.003360.003299-1.81%0.01065+216.96%1.1924✗0.97
2026-04-22oos0.0034450.003371-2.15%0.012175+253.41%1.3193✗0.97
2026-04-21oos0.003270.003199-2.17%0.01383+322.94%1.4492✗0.95
2026-04-20oos0.003560.003472-2.47%0.01321+271.07%1.3161✗0.96
2026-04-19oos0.0035450.003468-2.17%0.017705+399.44%1.5932✗0.95
2026-04-18oos0.0034750.003403-2.07%0.02055+491.37%1.7828✗0.98
2026-04-17oos0.003530.003461-1.94%0.01744+394.05%1.6131✗0.99
2026-04-16oos0.003840.003708-3.43%0.01822+374.48%1.5531✗1.01
2026-04-15oos0.0036050.003487-3.27%0.02269+529.40%1.8177✗1.01
2026-04-14oos0.003580.003477-2.89%0.01719+380.17%1.5093✗1.00
2026-04-13oos0.003540.003437-2.90%0.02182+516.38%1.7849✗1.00
2026-04-12oos0.0040150.003786-5.70%0.006785+68.99%0.4422✗1.10
2026-04-11oos0.0041150.003885-5.58%0.0044+6.93%0.0009✓1.12
2026-04-10oos0.0040450.00385-4.82%0.00244-39.68%0.5890✓1.12
2026-04-09oos0.003850.003699-3.92%0.00243-36.88%0.5483✓1.10
2026-04-08oos0.004030.003839-4.75%0.00238-40.94%0.6109✓1.10
2026-04-07oos0.0043550.004087-6.15%0.00227-47.88%0.7055✓1.10
2026-04-06oos0.0037850.003627-4.18%0.00224-40.82%0.6512✓1.01
2026-04-05oos0.004090.003817-6.66%0.002355-42.42%0.6436✓1.01
2026-04-04oos0.00420.003854-8.23%0.0023-45.24%0.6890✓1.01
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